So are you sayin the PI only has cases that have not moved to Field Offices. Would they be the cases filed before October 1, 2017? How do we get the Field Office Inventory?Quote:
Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting
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So are you sayin the PI only has cases that have not moved to Field Offices. Would they be the cases filed before October 1, 2017? How do we get the Field Office Inventory?Quote:
Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting
Haha, EB1 reduced crazy. I am not sure what is going on??? HmmQuote:
Originally Posted by bikenlalan
Perhaps this ....???
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...ll=1#post59162
Quote:
Originally Posted by texas_
No it doesn't look like S-P Inc AAO decision affecting overall EB1 reduction. It's a something else. Numbers have been fudged up to a great extent.
How come overall EB Inventory drastically reduced without changing much to 48K. Unbelievable
April one is for All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers and January one is for All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers and Field Offices. If you notice EB1, EB2 and EB3 in April one, pending inventory after March 2017 is zero as all pending applications are moved to NBC or field offices for mandated interviews.Quote:
Originally Posted by texas_
EB2I inventory in 2008 is reduced by ~900 from Jan to April but It's difficult analyze and estimate spillovers without field offices inventory and this document is not of much help.
My priority date is Feb 2011. What's the prediction on it being current for eb2I?
I sincerely apologize with all due respect to anyone whom ever concerned.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
That means from January 2018 there were total close to 100,000 pending EB green cards. Now its close to 48K. So 52K are awaiting in line for mandated Interviews from Jan thru April 2018.
I doubt that the pending inventory at the service center for 48K would increase unless, there is inventory build up occurs
My priority date for EB2I is Feb, 2011. What's the prediction of my faster being current?
Hey Texas - what are you apologizing for!Quote:
Originally Posted by texas_
This forum is meant for establishing clarity. None of us know why things move the way they do. We can only make intelligent guesses based on available facts and information.
So speak up your mind and don't worry a thing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Understood!
Sorry I am too busy to respond and hence I did not respond to your argument earlier.Quote:
Originally Posted by texas_
My silence means either I agree or don't have much to add to the conversation. If I had disagreed - I would never keep silent!
No one here would be able to predict but I hope we all would get it eventually.
Hi Spec/Q and Other Gurus,
Since we are seeing drastic reduction of inventory data, can we expect some forward movement in EB2-India.
I know that, EB2-I inventory reduce only few hundreds but overall EB2 category is reduced by lot. moreover USCIS may need more applications to keep them busy?
Also, if not "Final Action Dates", At least "Filing Dates" for EB2-India needs to move forward. It is still in April 2009.
BTW, What happened to the case they files against moving "Filing Dates" back in Oct 2015.
Please share your thoughts.
Thanks
Tatikonda.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bikenlalan
That does not make sense bro. You are saying the applications have moved to field offices for interviews, that means they are current and waiting to be approved. If that is true, then how come EB3ROW 2017 cases are not showing up in the Inventory at all, but older cases are showing up in the Inventory? Per your logic, the older cases should have moved out to Field Offices first as they are current and waiting to be approved, whereas the new applications should show up in the inventory (although they are also current, but are not supposed to be approved before the older cases)!Quote:
Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting
Not sure what they are doing but how is it that after March 2017, there are no numbers? It's as if they have never filed.Quote:
Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar
Hi,
Inventory data shows in table "All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers as of April 2018"
But
1) I see no cases in 2017 and 2018 for EB3. How is it possible, this is 2018 April and EB3-ROW is current all the time.
2) I see only 703 is EB2, How is it possible ? We are 2018.
3) Finally, EB1 ZERO CASES in 2018.
I guess, I am missing something very obvious.
Attachment 1339
Quote:
Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting
Just move the header one column left (years) and console and satisfy ourselves and our prying eyes ;-)Quote:
Originally Posted by tatikonda
2018 Mar Monthly Immigrant Visa Issuance
Url below
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...issuances.html
China India Mexico Philippines South Korea Vietnam ROW-SK-VET Total EB1 119 21 09 03 29 03 162 346 EB2 04 05 03 33 119 04 148 316 EB3 91 88 41 451 52 03 298 1024 EB4 07 09 00 00 01 00 114 131 EB5 214 23 02 00 92 140 152 623 Total 435 146 55 487 293 150 874 2440
My understanding based on the report is "Perhaps they are counting the non interview cases, just in case if they have to give Green cards in last quarter without wasting visas and which takes less effort" Also they might have generated this report to CO.Quote:
Originally Posted by tatikonda
Hi Spec/Q and other Gurus,
Please share your thoughts on April 2018 Inventory Data and Monthly Immigrant Visa Issuance Data.
They does not seems to match.
Regards
Tatikonda.
Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
Monthly visa issues seem like overseas numbers rather than aos cases.Quote:
Originally Posted by tatikonda
Sounds like a logical explanation. If I project it to the annual total, comes to 20% of Total Visa issuance.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
USCIS Changes STEM OPT Employment Policy Prohibiting Out-Placed Employment and Training
From the OH Law Firm. I know its been around for some time. Was checking if this would impact the H1 filings for people doing masters here?
If yes it could mean less applications for GC in future, not that it impacts us who are already in the queue for more than 10 years.
It looks like its less promising to do masters in US, and better look at Canada and other countries!
Attachment 1340
I am assuming we have not seen the impact of the Interview requirements on the Spillover yet. But correct me if I am wrong, shouldn't we start seeing the impact in a month or two? Just for example, I am attaching the Trackitt Data of EB1 filing. You can see from the total number that EB1 applications spiked in May 17 and then dropped all of a sudden. If you go in to details of those number, I see a dramatic drop in EB1C (mostly Indians) applications. My guess is they have started processing these March to May cases now. One they are done processing these cases, we should see big spillover from EB1 to EB2 (Probably end of this year or early next year). I hope they will notice the drop in EB1C applications and start using using SO on EB2I from Oct. 18. This can move the date in the late 2009 by the end of 2018.
Good evening people, my first post here. Have been studying this site for a little while and this place is a huge den of wealth with respect to predictions.
USCIS released Q1 Data Set: Form I-485 Application for Adjustment of Status. I know they are bit late in releasing the data. But it gave the picture what's happening at service centers and Field offices.
In Q1 Field offices have 27830 Pending, 5027 Approved and 168 denied.
At service centers, 114,734 pending, 25396 Approved and 1826 denied.
Based on this stats, we can assume, in Q4 service centers will fulfill most of the cases which doesn't require interviews.
Here is the url.
https://www.uscis.gov/tools/reports-...ustment-status
Redsox2009 - Please elaborate on what this means. Did you mean that EB2I will move forward or just that ROW cases which don't require interviews will be approved?Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
The pending inventory has only about 6000 in EB2 and another 6000 in EB3 for ROW. They don't have enough ROW inventory to approve people without interviews.Quote:
Originally Posted by rock581
Will EB3 to EB2 porting applications qualify for interview ? and how would be the impact?Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
It all depends how the Field offices process the applications and how CO handles the demand vs. supply. But there is a possibility there could be a movement in last qtr, but how great and how big all depends in the hands on CO.Quote:
Originally Posted by rock581
Also some Field offices processed less than 10% of the applications and few processed above 25%. Question is if all field offices starts processing applications above 25% then it is less likely there will be greater movement.
But based on last inventory report, it is obvious that USCIS and CO are looking at non-interview data.
I've had a cursory look at some of the data published today (thanks redsox2009 for the heads up - I'd given up looking).
From the various sources of information, we can estimate EB visa usage for Q1 FY2018:
All Forms Report (USCIS) (AOS) - 30,472
CP Approvals Reports (DOS) (CP) - 8,442
Total -------------------------- 38,914 (27.8% of annual allocation)
The Field Office Report raises more questions than it answers for me.
For Pending EB cases, the Field Office report shows:
Service Center - 114,734
Field Office ---- 27,830
Total ---------- 142,564
Service Center --- 80.5%
Field Office ----- 19.5%
That report is analogous to the January 2018 Inventory Report which purports to show:
All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers and Field Offices as of January 2018
This report shows a figure of 103,675 Pending EB cases. The similar Field Office report has a figure 38,889 higher, or 37.5% higher.
There might be slight timing issue, but the difference is huge.
I don't think we'll get a true sense of the split between Service Center and Field Office until the Field Office Q2 report is released in another 3 months.
I looked at I-485 applications processed in Q4 of 2017.
At field offices, 983 approved, 139 denied and 9565 pending, however Service centers processed 22341 approvals, 1863 denials and 139K pending.
From 2017 Q4 to 2018 Q1, field office processing rates increased. I looked at trackitt data in Q2 &Q3 2018, majority of the cases that were approved were pre-interview cases.
In trackitt data approvals in Q2 and Q3 with pre-March 2017 priority date are 657.
Out of 657, 195 are EB1, 269 are EB2 and 189 are for EB3.
Q2 and Q3 with post-March Priority date are 110.
Out of 110, 51 are for EB1, 40 are for EB2 and 19 for EB3.
This data shows there could be a good movement in Q4.
When you say good movement in Q4 , is it for EB2I or EB3I?
Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
Already EB3I are having Pinacoladas in Bahamas. Now its EB2I turn.Quote:
Originally Posted by EB2-03252009
but if you compare trackitt approvals of 2017 and 2018, they are similar, I dont see EB2-ROW is giving any SOs, so where do you expect the SOs from and how many?
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...2014-vs-FY2013
Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
How much would be SO this time and how far the EB2 India would be moved if CO decides to apply those SO's to EB2 -India
My guess is between Sep 2009 to Dec 2009.Quote:
Originally Posted by march1612
Thanks, This means EB2-I would be receiving close to 20K as SO?
Me: EB3, PD 9th Sept 2009
Husband: EB2, PD 7th Oct 2009
We sort of have a stake in both EB2 and EB3. We also have EAD (husband is the primary) since 2012. Any chance of us getting GC this year in either of the EB category??