Congrats to all who become current including me. its a great feeling to become current
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Congrats to all who become current including me. its a great feeling to become current
Congrats to all who became current.. I know all Odds are against any further movement.. But i am hopeful CO can still keep this pace for next visa bulletin..
PD: 12/2009
Congrats to all who became current in Jan '12 bulletin !
If this is real then its great news for multiple reasonsQuote:
Originally Posted by mrperfect
1) First and foremost...lot of people get to file 485 - congrats all who are current
2) HR3012 or no HR3012 , CO is covered
3) Within few months we will know 'actual' demand of 2008 making picture much more clearer. ( Many people have including me have been skeptical about this data)
All in all sounds positive. Good luck guys!
i think so mesan. This is most likely in anticipation of 3012.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mesan123
Friends, seems like in parallel universe. Lots of best wishes. CO has destroyed all predictions beyond my wildest dreams.
It can be either demand destruction, to cover ground in case 3012, or purely benevolent act of kindness taking advantage of low numbers in DD.
Retrogression is certain sometime. But that time is not now obviously
Let's see if he puts any comments. I think he will hint towards retro in his last move VB.
Yes - CO has covered himself in either scenarios.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
AWESOME NEWS!!!!
Congrats for the Wishes, I am in excited-unexcited hung state until official bulletin is out :)
CONGRATULATIONS for all folks who became current!!!
Friends this is great and amazing news, congratulations to everyone who is current. We are now kind of at the 45K mark from where FY 2011 ended. This bulletin can in a very large part be attributed to the positive sentiment around HR 3012; the bulletin is way beyond any expectations or predictions. All the best once again to those who became current.
That's correct, what time the actual VB released last month when the dates leaked in Mumbai consulate?Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
My bad! I clearly misunderstood.
p.s. - removed other comments to avoid distraction. I am sorry suninphx.
Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
I'm on pins and needles waiting for the 'official' bulletin. How many times has the Mumbai Consulate made a blunder? I remember one occasion. Is it safe to rely on their bulletin completely?
I have edited my post.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
My take is.. CO has progressed the dates this far to get a lot more intake than to just cover the SOFAD/3012.
Reasoning: If he just covers SOFAD/3012, then, as Spectator has mentioned, the DD for most of the months will not show any demand.
Too many DDs with No demand will raise the question, "Why are countries retrogressed if there is no demand for so many months?"
The only way CO could tackle this was by either retrogressing too far back from where he was on the Dec VB ( Cannot do it, since if the intake is not enough he may end up wasting Visas) ..
Advancing too much into the future, just short of making it current, so that enough demand is generated beyond the SOFAD/3012, that way the visibility of the demand increases, and they are covered both legally and from the predictability point of view.
I am expecting NO movement in the Feb bulletin, and Retro in March bulletin (possibly to Mar 08). Then it will be stagnant until the demand has been worked out .... No numbers here.. just a theory !
As Q has mentioned, make hay while the sun shines... don't wait on your 485 apps ... don't be a PWMB2 !! :) Congrats once again .. !
just my .2 cents.
many congrats sportsfan. Wish you the best!
Quote:
Originally Posted by sportsfan33
RMS,Quote:
Originally Posted by RMS_V13
I do not believe CP is riskier. But clearly it wont give you an EAD. That's the only drawback i see.
Except for that one time when they did wrong copy-paste, they have been reliable. Past few months they have been entirely correct. So - relax - 01/01/09 is real.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheedge
You are fine Q! Lets enjoy the news! :)Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Nishant,Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
I agree with you.
With such a large movement, there can be no excuse not to put a comment in the VB. I await that with interest.
Hopefully USCIS will publish a new Inventory as at the beginning of January 2012. That could answer the questions about actual demand and allow recalibration as necessary.
I think some members don't appreciate the uncertainty of the calculations at the moment and can only criticize, even though it has been spelt out time after time. There is one in particular who does nothing but that on several forums. Discussion as to why an assumption may be wrong and why it might be adjusted to is far more constructive.
Congratulations guys!. Hope the movement continues in 2012!!
These are times when I miss QBF :-) We have no visibility on what is going on in the Chinese side - I would imagine they will be at 01-Jan-2009 as well.
Whew.....! :))Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
If it is in anticipation of 3012, then there should be some movement in EB3 too?
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5630.html
Congrats to all who's current now!!!
No Kripton - as remember EB3 I dates are only at 2002 but they have plenty of i-485s already in the system upto 2007 (during the fiasco).
EB2 I - Jan 1 2009 (officially confirmed :) )
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5630.html
Good to hear from many of you - esp teddy spec veni nishant. It's been a while we have been silent :)
My god! This is terrific news for so many people waiting to file 485 for sooooooo looooong.
Quote:
Originally Posted by saky007
OFFICIAL VB IS OUT - this is CO's comments
The China and India Employment Second preference cut-off date has been advanced at a rapid rate in recent months. As previously noted, this action was intended to generate significant levels of new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) offices. USCIS has reported that the rate of new filings is currently far below that which they had anticipated, prompting an even more aggressive movement of the cut-off date for January and possibly beyond. While this action greatly increases the potential for an eventual retrogression of the cut-off at some point during the year, it also provides the best opportunity to utilize all numbers available under the annual limit.
The official bulletin is out - 1/1/09
Spec - you are a gem - I am sure there are hundreds who value your opinion and analysis for every one who only raises questions. We all understand that we are working with limited data and uncertain decision making by CO. Predictions deal with making sense of the available data, of course that does not cover the entire variance - but that is to be expected. Thank you for all your work, help and support.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
There definetly seems to be a lot of demand destruction ! Below is the relavant note in the VB.
The China and India Employment Second preference cut-off date has been advanced at a rapid rate in recent months. As previously noted, this action was intended to generate significant levels of new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) offices. USCIS has reported that the rate of new filings is currently far below that which they had anticipated, prompting an even more aggressive movement of the cut-off date for January and possibly beyond. While this action greatly increases the potential for an eventual retrogression of the cut-off at some point during the year, it also provides the best opportunity to utilize all numbers available under the annual limit.
clear demand destruction baby!!! perm conversations to 485 clearly less than we calculated...
Teddy, remember I had been optimistic and suggested aggressive demand destruction? Seems to be true. I guess next month's I-485 inventory will shed light on the actual numbers. Who knows tomorrow USCIS will turn around and say they did not count the numbers right - they did it last year!Quote:
Originally Posted by venkat
Woooooooohhhhhhhhhhhhhooooooooooooo Congrats to all those who are current :-)
This is so exciting. It has not sunk in yet. After waiting for so long, finally current. Can't wait for all the freedom that comes with EAD and AP. I am sure there are tons of other members who share the same feeling.
Congrats to everyone who is current !
From the bulletin:
"The China and India Employment Second preference cut-off date has been advanced at a rapid rate in recent months. As previously noted, this action was intended to generate significant levels of new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) offices. USCIS has reported that the rate of new filings is currently far below that which they had anticipated, prompting an even more aggressive movement of the cut-off date for January and possibly beyond. While this action greatly increases the potential for an eventual retrogression of the cut-off at some point during the year, it also provides the best opportunity to utilize all numbers available under the annual limit. "
Congrats to all those who are current!!!
The bulletin is definitely great news. Since the official statement is there about the demand destruction being significant I believe we should agree to that, definitely the filings have been significantly lesser that what they have anticipated. The Jan inventory will give us a good snapshot. Once again congratulations to everyone who became current, this bulletin has been a washout. I believe that the sentiment around HR 3012 has also contributed to the movement.Quote:
Originally Posted by kd2008
Congratulations to those who became current. I believe, most of the new filers will be able to enjoy the benefits of EAD / AP, if not getting GC immediately. I heard from some of my friends that their consulting companies (desi) are not showing any enthusiasm in getting the AOS apps filed immediately as it doesn't benefit them in long run. Show patience with your employers and get the things done, if you guys have to bend your heads.
I also feel sorry for those, who actually left US during last 3 years, who otherwise would have applied if they were in US.
sportsfan33 - buy a lottery today :-)
Congrats to all who are current, and expecting HR 3012 to become Law and we can expect the same happiness and cheer from EB-3 folks.
Praying for all.