Hi Gurus,
When will the new inventory release?
thanks
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Hi Gurus,
When will the new inventory release?
thanks
Spec,Q and other gurus,
Forgive me for my ignorance. I was looking at trackitt I-140 data for EB1C from October 2014 to Jan 2015 based on USCIS received date and found that to be very less (1/4th) when compared to the data from October 2013 to Jan 2014.
Is that because people update trackitt very late and may show up in coming months or has the Eb1C filings reduced?
I think a more likely explanation is that USCIS is approving E1C so fast and efficiently that the applicants simply never reach a state of mind where they need to register on trackitt. From all indications, EB1C is at an all time high, and EB2 is the new EB3.Quote:
Originally Posted by gcpursuit
It is pretty depressing, but you could be a physician, you may be a NSF fellow with publications in Nature and Science or you may win the Nobel prize...but USCIS will still give you an RFE and you'll be crapping in your pants, expecting to get a 485 denial.
If you are EB1C, however, USCIS is processing applications on a priority basis. It doesn't matter if you're submitting proposals to outsource 100,000 jobs to Asia. You'll get your GC in 6 months or less from the day you get off the boat.
The basis for US skilled immigration has reached a new low in this country, and the definition of extraordinary ability is being massively abused - and there is no reform in sight. Sigh.
Any body know why DOS stopped publishing the demand data? I do not see it since several months. Is there a way to get the latest information?
Thanks!
Gurus.. when will the Jan inventory be released?Quote:
Originally Posted by helooo
EAD/AP renewal and India travel
-------------------------------------
My spouse's EAD/AP renewal is pending. We are planning on traveling to India and the planned return date is 3-4 days before expiry of current AP. Is there anything to be concerned about during re-entry given the proximity of the AP expiry date?
We are also planning on getting our H1B stamped during our visit since we don't want to deal with the stress of the 120-day EAD deadlines next time around. I am curious to know what happens in a 221G situation. Do they retain our passport or give it back? Can we return to the US using AP for re-entry and effectively refuse further H1B processing?
Gurus, please move to a separate thread after a response. Thanks in advance.
Hi,
I'm hearing that there are about 4K FB spillover to be applied to EB in FY 15. How that's split between categories? Just EB2I and EB3I(Most retrogressed countries' categories) will get 2K each provided all other categories (EB1, EB4 and EB5) take care of themselves?
The extra visas are allocated exactly as the original 140,000 would be:Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
EB1 - 28.6%
EB2 - 28.6%
EB3 - 28.6%
EB4 - 7.1%
EB5 - 7.1%
28.6% of 140,000 (40,040) increases to 28.6% of 144,000 (41,184) based on an extra 4,000 visas from FB.
7.1% of 140,000 (9,940) increases to 7.1% of 144,000 (10,224) based on an extra 4,000 visas from FB.
The 7% limit rises proportionately. Overall it would become 25,900 (from 25,620) across the total for FB and EB. If you prefer, the 7% limit for India in EB2/EB3 would increase from 2,803 to 2,883 in each Category.
See this DOS publication.
I think you meant 41,184. But I got the message. Thanks for the explanation Spec.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
looks like last year around march uscis started issuing mass-rfe's for EB3I and EB2I. Will they start around that time to have the medicals etc done and completed valid medical reports be on file by july ? did they give like 60 days time to respond to rfe ?
Generally for the Medicals and EVL how much time does usics give to respond back ?
The next bulletin for March 2015 should be out by tomorrow.
I hope they do not move it again by 6 months. The more they move it now the lesser the chances of it advancing beyond May 2009.
Keeping fingers crossed.
Quote:
Originally Posted by krishn
EB2I at 1 JAN 07. That's a big jump!
http://travel.state.gov/content/visa...arch-2015.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
http://travel.state.gov/content/visa...arch-2015.htmlQuote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
EB2I moves from 01SEP05 to 01JAN07
EB2C moves from 15MAR10 to 01SEP10
I can't believe the total number of EB1 I pending for the year 2014. Were there really that many applications? It is scary!
Spec/Q/Other gurus, what is your take on that?
http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/f..._1_12_2015.pdf
Quote:
Originally Posted by CleanSock
To me, it shows slow processing of I-485 applications. I'm not sure if it's a scary thing. Waiting for others' input.
Why so? Any thoughts on it?Quote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
Two main reasons:Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
1) If the dates move slowly, there is more opportunity for porters to file and get processed. Porting has already been cited to be the primary reason why dates didn't move as much as time.
2)USCIS will have a much better handle on actual immigrant VISA consumption, so there a smaller chance that they will move dates more drastically towards the end of the year
These are just a few reasons I can think of. Others may have other ideas.
I've NO changes to my earlier predictions. All the new data pointers are inline with the earlier predictions.
EB3-I predictions:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...4074#post54074
EB2-I predictions:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...3828#post53828
EB-India total:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...4877#post54877
YTeleven,Quote:
Originally Posted by YTeleven
so you think there will be 8.5k visas for eb3I in FY2015 , i.e a fallacross/spillover of 5500 visas?
thanks
imho, By advancing the COD so earlier we will see a lot of porting.
This will eat up the allocation of this fiscal easily. Hence in the last quarter if we get really less spillover ( as all indicators by experts) are promising we will see minimal advancement from last years cutoff of May 2009.
Now everything depends on how much EB1 will use up quota and how much fall across EB2ROW will give ( which depends on PERM processing speeds)
If any of these variables becomes detrimental we will have extremely pessimistic results.
Quote:
Originally Posted by krishn
I think CO may be changing strategy in light of executive action memo.Quote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
The bold part in above text probably means he can no longer do his vigilante justice by trying to reduce porting.Quote:
The directive from USCIS director is to work with Department of State to modernize the visa bulletin systems, provide green cards to the eligible individuals when there is demand for such individuals, review the current policy and make changes as needed to help the approved employment based petitions remain valid, when they change jobs.
"provide green cards to the eligible individuals when there is demand for such individuals"
Should this actually mean that they make the date current so long as they have visa numbers available? Now this would result in a mess when applied to FB category but this is an opinion many have...
I think an "Eligible" individual is an individual with "Current" date among other things.Quote:
Originally Posted by kkruna
I think this movement may be because of the change in medical policy. Moving slowly will provide every I-485 application to be processed and approved in less than 365 days so that applicants do not have to re-do medicals. I really doubt if the next inventory building will be as aggressive as it was in 2011-12.
I think you are giving USCIS too much credit. They really don't care and the process is far more messed up than one could fathom:Quote:
Originally Posted by bluelabel
1) They would follow FIFO and not randomly approve GCs when dates become current
2) They would send medical RFEs to only those who are close to becoming current. Not a random shotgun spray that covers years and years.
3) They wouldn't be harassing PhDs and Researchers with RFEs, while approving E1C 'international manager' cases left and right.
...the list is very long.
I think you meant fathom. :)Quote:
Originally Posted by mechanical13
http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/us...english/fathom
Sorry.. m a little testy today and I don't know why. :confused:
Ha ha yes...thanks for pointing this out. Very erudite of you!Quote:
Originally Posted by gten20
You need to consider the number of chances people with those PDs have received.Quote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
PDs up until Aug 2007 have been current in 2007, 2011, 2013, 2014. Most of them have already ported and have pending I-485s. Very few people before this date will port.
PDs up until Jun 2008 have been current in 2011, 2013, 2014. I would say majority have already ported.
PDs up until May 2009 have been current in 2011 and 2014. I would expect some porting from people in this range.
PDs after May 2009. Have been current only ONCE in 2011. Major porting from these candidates.
According to me you should not be worried about porters before Jun 2008. But if date moves beyond Jun 08 pretty quickly then it is something to worry about.
That's probably important to factor in.
While i cannot begin to fathom the reasons why CO does this different every year, it will be interesting to see the fallout of this strategy when the end of Fiscal year comes around and when we expect spillover and fall across.
I always thought he cannot apply spillover and fall across until July, Aug and September.
From his statement at AILA/Bulletin he mentioned that we will have some progress in COD till the end though 'not as much' as last year.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
He may not need to apply spillover and fall across until third quarter. He might just end up using 3k annual quota and that is till sufficient for movement into summer of 2008.Quote:
Originally Posted by aquatican
HE mentioned 'not as much' as last year. Depends how you see it. According to me, last years movement was Jun 08 (FY 2013 end) to May 09 (FY 2014 end). 11 months effective progress. It may be less than that and might be 7 months and enough to cover Dec 2009.
To me, it looks pretty straightforward. CO is simply advancing the date to consume the annual quota for EB2I. For the first 6 months, he should be giving out 1400 visas, and the date is advanced to simply fulfill that number.
Remember that in FY 2014, CO spent the entire EB2I quota in the first 2 months itself. There were simply no more visas to be given out; hence the date stayed stuck.
Unless someone can prove, I don't think CO is applying any form of quarterly spillover yet. So there is just nothing to worry about.
Finally, as jagan has pointed out, the porting density until the beginning of 2008 should have been reduced quite substantially. The inventory shows quite a low number for the years 2005 and 2006. If the data gets into 2008, that's the time to start worrying. I hope it's not going to happen and the big jump will simply happen in 1 step for some time in 2010.
Should not we also consider that for the last section of PDs after May 2009, they would be reaching eligilibility for EB2 - 5 + Years of experience just arount this time (if not all but most) and it would take time for them to get a new labor approved and have that number on the lower end until end of 2016.
Just my thoughts.... on considering that there should not be much porting numbers added for 2009 to 2011 until a couple of years from now!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
I have followed this forum for over 2 years now and it has given me good insights on overall GC process, which has helped me plan things quite well. Zillion thanks to all members to create and maintain such forum and to educate people like me.
I always have this question(and may be it has been answered before) on porters, that when dates move how can one port in that limited window? Don't they have to refile labor ? which takes time . I can understand that they can file I-140 and I-485 concurrently but labor alone can take 4-5 months and in mean time dates moves back . So how can those have effect on increasing I-1485 applications/inventory unless people have already started the porting process expecting that date movement.
Thanks for taking time to answer my question!
You answered your question. "unless people have already started the porting process expecting that date movement". PERM can be filed anytime and people do that in advance.Quote:
Originally Posted by tiredtotrack
It doesn't mean people are going to start filing PERM to port the moment visa bulletin was released. It's about the people who have already done the PERM and waiting for the dates to cross their previous PD. For example, with an EB3I PD of 1 Oct ,2007(Meaning he never filed I-485), someone could have easily obtained EB2 PERM in the last few months. For him, when the dates move beyond 1 Oct,2007, he's gonna file for I-485. Like this there are many people who filed EB2(Previous PD EB3) PERM and waiting for their dates to be current so that they can file I-485 or they can ask USCIS to interfile their existing I-485 applications with their new PERM with old PD. Thus they increase the no of visa numbers consumed for EB2I.Quote:
Originally Posted by tiredtotrack
As others have noted, people have clear labors well in advance. What we don't know in my knowledge is the number of outstanding labor applications at the USCIS broken down by the country and category. That's a massive big black hole which makes prediction almost impossible.Quote:
Originally Posted by tiredtotrack
The way to project future demand has been to get the PERM data instead, estimate the categories (PERM does not indicate EB2/EB3), estimate the effect of porting, subtract "parallel" applications, etc. etc. All of the multiple PERM and other effects have been captured in a number called the "PERM multiplier", which was a little over 1 (1.05 if memory serves me right) for EB2I. This means for every approved PERM that shows up for India in a given year, you can expect something like 1.05 485 applications that will eventually show up in EB2I inventory.
I don't know how much of all this historical calculation is still accurate though. I haven't looked around lately.
In the interest of everybody ... here is a list of biggest GC sponsors in the US since 2010 and the (approximate) number of cases they filed.
MICROSOFT CORPORATION 10487 COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS US CORPORATION 3940 INTEL CORPORATION 2885 GOOGLE INC. 2049 CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. 1420 AMAZON CORPORATE LLC 1370 ORACLE AMERICA, INC. 1251 APPLE INC. 1177 QUALCOMM, INC. 1012 INFOSYS LTD. 927 DELOITTE CONSULTING LLP 854 BROADCOM CORPORATION 798 IBM CORPORATION 716 YAHOO! INC. 683 BLOOMBERG L.P. 656 BANK OF AMERICA 617 QUALCOMM TECHNOLOGIES INC. 607 PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS 588 ERNST & YOUNG U.S. LLP 582 TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INCORPORATED 577 VMWARE, INC. 566 KFORCE INC. 552 HEWLETT-PACKARD COMPANY 548 NVIDIA CORPORATION 530 MASTECH, INC., A MASTECH HOLDINGS, INC. COMPANY 521 FACEBOOK, INC. 497
These are just the employers that count towards the annual cap I think. I know that University systems, especially those with large medical systems, are a big part of H1B numbers as well - but they don't count towards the cap.
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Good observation imdeng. Thanks.Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng