Visa bulletin is published.
https://travel.state.gov/content/vis...uary-2016.html
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Visa bulletin is published.
https://travel.state.gov/content/vis...uary-2016.html
We have waited quite some time for DoS as well as DHS to release 2015 visa consumption by country and category. Both agencies have not yet released the data for Employment based categories. Few days back DoS released waiting list data for overseas / counselor processing. We made one update last week - however - based on the visa bulletin just released we think it is necessary to make an update to our model based on some assumptions on visa consumption during 2015.
This update is not perfect but it positions us well for 2016. Please read the commentary at www.whereismygc.com to learn the details of the update.
Hi,
I have the same question but PD is DEC-2013. I would appreciate to know whats is the guesstimate year for DEC-2013 to be current.
Appreciate a reply.
Consider purchasing the WhereismyGC subscription or one day use (if still offered) to see the forecast. Beyond that all the data and analysis in on this thread. Please don't tl;dr the effort put in to this.
Happy Indian Republic Day to all.
Dear Users,
We were founded precisely because we saw how lack of good information leads to heightened expectations followed by crestfallen mood of backlogged candidates. Today after the release of 485 inventory we sense the same crestfallen mood among backlogged candidates.
The 485 inventory shows EB3-I not receiving a single extra visa during Q1 of 2016. All other categories seem to be expanding inventory. So before people jump to wrong conclusions - let us tell them that 485 inventory is like a snapshot of an airport. It tells you how many people are at the airport at a point in time. It doesnt tell you how many came and went. So do not read too much into 485 inventory.
This year should turn out good for EB3 and not much good for EB2. Our tool is not perfect but we guarantee you that it is fruit of 5 year labor and it predicts GC forecast darn good for a majority of people. So we are going to shamelessly go ahead and say - subscribe today to annual membership. It will be money well spent. It wont give you green card. But at least it will give you a good sense why it is taking so long.
We wish you the best regardless.
Thanks & Regards,
Team WhereismyGC
www.whereismygc.com
We have updated the forecast based on latest 485 inventory, as well as latest PERM data.
We will update the commentary by Sunday morning.
The forecast commentary is now updated as well.
Maybe be it's just me but I don't see anything on the Commentary tab. I tried logging off and logging in again but no luck...Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Mobile browsers don't support tabs. Are you accessing from mobile? If so please use desktop/laptop.Quote:
Originally Posted by cancer24
Using laptop and Chrome. Let me check on my home desktop tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Attachment 975
Hello CancerQuote:
Originally Posted by cancer24
In this screen you do see the commentary tab. Just click on each item below to view that section. The "current year outlook" section can only be viewed if you have an active paid forecasting plan on your account.
Feel free to contact us by email at help at whereismygc dot com.
Hey I got the subscription too. I had a question. In my forcesast I saw about 25k ppl ahead of me. Does that number account for worst case porting numbers. My pd is 10/08/2010. Just wanted to know if potential future porting has been taken into account. Thanks
Hello Knighthood,Quote:
Originally Posted by knighthood83
It includes estimated current year porting. It does not include future portings for a number of reasons. However we build enough contingency in our future demand pattern to ensure our average forecast is on track. Hope this helps.
We will make an update to forecast this weekend. This update will be based on the 2015 actual visa usage published by DoS this week.
p.s. - The 20% discount ends tonight. Buy today to avoid paying higher price over weekend.
https://www.whereismygc.com/pricing.php
We have updated the forecast as well as the commentary accompanying it. Paid users can access both of them now onwards.
To serve WhereismyGC users better, we have changed the free forecast as follows:
The FREE Forecast will now provide a date range rather than providing an optimistic forecast only. Thus the users will see the optimistic side as well as pessimistic side as well.
Those who want to know more details or a more precise forecast will have to buy a paid plan.
General Announcement:
The current WhereismyGC predictions already factor in the PERM approval growth spurt and resulting potential increase in the demand of 485s for ROW.
So what you see on the website is our latest forecast.
-----------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
My WhereismyGC paid forecast predicts XXXXXX as a average approval date for EB 3 India March 2005 PD.
But we have not received any indications of visa bulletin move from State department ?
Dear UserQuote:
Originally Posted by asaxena2
Even if the State Dept hasn't indicated so - our forecast model does suggest that the dates will move that far and you should be greened by that timeframe. So lets see. A forecast can be wrong. But at this time we feel pretty confident in that forecast.
p.s. - Please desist from publishing paid forecast in public forums such as this one. You can always write to us by email help at whereismygc dot com.
Wish you all a very happy new year and a happy padwa / ugadi / yugadi.
For Friday and Saturday we are offering following promotions on forecast plans:
25% Off on Year Plan (Code - PRATIPADA)
10% Off on Half-Year or Month Plan (Code - PADWA)
A lot of people asked us how this Visa Bulletin changes WhereismyGC forecast.
We will send out a message (and a possible forecast Update) by Saturday.
Briefly speaking Visa Bulletins generally do not force us to rethink anything. They do not contain much actionable information in terms of forecast. Our forecast model is quite fundamental and works on real data rather than "He said she said". Visa Bulletins frankly although not exactly a "He said she said" thing - are not much better either. DoS should be using WhereismyGC or build something like WhereismyGC. That will do away with a lot of crappy date movements and retrogressions once and for all. They are too blind for their own good.
Anyway ... end of self promotion.
We will send out a message by Saturday explaining if this impacts the forecast and how.
Dear User
Thank you for asking. An update has been made. The emails are on their way explaining the update. The batch job runs every 30 minutes ... so that's about 2 minutes from now!
In summary the update is not quite impactful for EB-India folks. We made an adjustment to account for Chinese portings. That's about it.
Thank you
Team WhereismyGC
Quote:
Originally Posted by asaxena2
When will the update be available --- after considering the June2016 VB? I am looking for EB3-I. Will this retro in EB2-I impact EB3-I?Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc