To Canada
It is just the nature of lobbying in the USA. It is a game of continuous cat and mouse. The organizations opposing this legislation also work behind the scenes and keep their cards close to their chest. It is positive that the House Bill has come up for a vote on Wednesday. The strategy has probably been thought out in private but seems to be shifting on a reactive basis. Two weeks ago it was placed on the consensus calendar to be taken up in the fall and suddenly placed on a suspension calendar for this week. It appears like it is the base Bill with no amendments that is being voted on and does not include the Grassley Amendment but other forum members can clarify this.Per House rules no floor amendments can be offered under suspension but the sponsor of the Bill can offer amendments while making the motion to offer the Bill under suspension which I don't think happened in this case. This is not in line with the Bill in the Senate for which the UC was asked for 10 days ago which included the Grassley Amendment and was blocked. This could mean so many things.
1. The House expects quick and decisive movement in the Senate with a one or more additional amendments and returned to the House for concurrence (Best Possible Scenario). However in that case why not wait for the Senate to pass the Bill first and not have the House do it twice? The procedure for unanimous consent and not taking up floor time in the Senate is the same for House and Senate Bills
2. This has been Rep.Lofgren's dream since 2008 and having spent most of the time in the minority since then this would be her first opportunity to move the Bill forward. She has no control over what happens in the Senate and may want to move it out of the House before the summer recess when opposition can mount. The suspension route needs 290 members and if 21 congressmen change their mind this route may no longer be available. Very unlikely and I really feel that the final vote tally will be a lot more favorable
3.The push may also be because of the effective date of the Bill which is October 2019
4. Maybe apply pressure in the Senate on all the people who are holding this up. The senate has made numerous attempts to clean up the Hold process but a lot of these are still being done informally
This from a CRS report a few years ago
"A second challenge to hold regulation involves the nature of the transmission itself. Both recent proposals address a particular kind of communication: a letter written and delivered to a Senator’s party leader that expresses some kind of reservation about the timing or merits of a particular proposal or nomination. Hold requests might be conveyed in less formal ways as well; in a telephone call to the leader’s office, for instance, or in a verbal exchange that occurs on or off the Senate floor. An objection to a unanimous consent request transmitted through the “hotline” represents another common method of communicating preferences to Senate leaders.18Some Senate offices have circulated “Dear Colleague” letters specifying certain requirements legislation must adhere to in order to avoid a hold being placed. It remains unclear, however, whether or not these alternative forms of communication fall within the purview of recent hold reforms"
The Bloomberg report says that there are additional holds and while this may very well be true there is no way of confirming this. There are numerous Bills on Hold but the senate legislative calendar only lists one item. Sometimes only the lead sponsor or the chairman of the affected committee knows who these holds are. See an example below
https://www.rollcall.com/news/congre...n-holds-senate
Interestingly it was mentioned that Sen.Lee was one of the holds of the retirement Bill above according to Politico but could not be confirmed
We will wait and see