I would say that's the way to go. Stick with the underlying facts until the facts change.
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I think it goes beyond being optimistic. The optimistic demand calculation won't result in optimistic date movement immediately. The demand calculation itself is rooted in feedback we see from fellow members - about folks returning back, multiple PERMs etc. This information is something that USCIS and DoS cannot collect and verify easily. Their only choice is to move dates till they get the demand they need for approvals. I would say we are cautious as in the past we have been blindsided by sudden ROW demand jumps and backlog clearance.
Also USCIS always had a buffer of few thousand cases for EB2ROW even when they are current - Oct 2011 inventory shows 10K which indicates a real backlog. Now that they are rebuilding the demand for EB2IC, I think they would want to do the same.
So a optimistic movement comes from this angle.
So there are two forces at work. Optimistic demand calculation rooted in feedback of fellow members and optimistic date movement based in USCIS inventory history.
Teddy, a minor correction. I meant CO's office is the entity that intimates NVC over date movement instruction and backlog estimates. NVC is under DOS and so is CO. USCIS is under department of homeland security and does not have any direct relation with CO's office. On the other hand, NVC is direct sibling of CO's office, and speculative fee notices for future has to come from CO, the big boss of visa control division.
In hindsight, this all looks like a conspired plan, with CO bent on sticking to the direction his office gave to NVC.
I have been hounding other forums for data mining, and multiple PERMs thing is a bit deeper reality than I thought, this I will say. Also EB1 is seeing big slow down in processing, they are pissed off.
I have a question that I've been meaning to ask from quite sometime now. My PD got current in the Dec bulletin and I am getting things to ready to file as early as Dec 2nd. Now taking into account that it takes 90 days for EAD and AP, I am hopeful to have something by March end- latest.
I am planning to make a trip to India late March/ early April for a family event. My real question is- I have not been to India in the last 6 years.. ever since I came here on H1. Can I make a trip in just few weeks of getting EAD/ AP? Or will I be scrutinize for planning a trip to India right after my EAD/ AP arrival.
I wasn't able to plan a visit for multiple reasons and hoping I don't get into trouble for not leaving the country on H1, but on EAD/ AP. Please advice if someone has been in the similar situation?
Just by receiving EAD/AP you dont move into that status unless you change form (I dont recollect exact name of the form...but this is form you fill with HR when you joj company or when alien's status chanegs) to reflect this change. Why not attempt stamping H1 and keep EAD/AP as backup? Also, please make sure you check all your options with a competent immigration lawyer.
This is confirmed by my Lawyer that you can work on H1 and considered in status if someone applied for extension before the H1 expiry date. Even if its not approved and still getting processed by USCIS, the status is considered valid. I had a situation where my lawyer sent my file for extension four times to USCIS for extension and every time it came back from the officer saying he needed extra 500$, because of not considering successor of interest details. My lawyer was adamant not to pay a single penny extra to USCIS and on the lighter side may be wanted to keep that with himself, even if the company gave a go ahead to pay the extra amount since we wanted a receipt number before expiry date (end of Oct). Finally he sent the docs with reasoning to the Supervisor and it was approved. Also when the final docs were sent to Supervisor the receive date at USCIS was beyond my H1 expiry date, but Lawyer said we are good and in status as we have proof that we did the right thing and the USCIS officer did not accept because he was not looking at the right information. Hope this helps.
That is interesting info with significant bearing on PD movement. Thanks Teddy.
The factors that are important right now for EB2I movement in my mind:
A) Buffer level desired by CO - I think 30K is being considered a good estimate - could be as high as 40K.
B) Demand density 07/07 onwards - We are settling in at 2.5K/month and going down sharply after mid-2008. There is potential of this turning out to be lower with DD (Demand Destruction).
C) EB1, EB2ROW consumption levels this FY - trackitt is showing slowdown - will need to see if the trends continue. If USCIS goes on a backlog reduction mode for EB1/EB2ROW then that will negate some of the positive impact.
All in all looking quite good. I guess July 01, 2008 NVC Fee Notice is looking right on the money.
BTW - for some reason, some posters on trackitt forums consider our forum to be inaccurate. It doesn't bother me - but I don't think this is warranted. We are a fact based discussion group and our assumptions are all laid out in public and discussed. After that if predictions are not accurate - it is because of the inherent systemic issues with the process and not the analysis. Even then, I don't think we have been any more off the mark than any other source. If anything, IIRC, Teddy nailed down the end of FY PD and Q has been correct about by when the pipeline needs to be filled.
I know it is not mandatory to send tax returns, W2 and pay stubs to file I-485. My lawyer is not asking for those documents and also insists that we should not send them more documents than they require. Wanted to put this on the blog and get a feel of what other lawyers r doing. So all who became current. r your lawyers asking for these documents?
Ha ha - yes I hope. Right now, I would consider it a better than half chance (hence "expecting") - although it can very well get pushed to Oct-Nov-Dec 2013 if stars don't align well. In any event, I am looking at between 3.5 to 4.5 years for filing 485 - which, considering everything, is quite acceptable.
Based on what I have read, joint tex returns are good to have (not essential) if you have a spouse as dependent. Recent pay stubs are good to have along with EVL. W2s, though not essential again, are a small bit of paper with significant information - so good to have again. I would rather that you have more supporting docs (well arranged, with a good cover letter listing them in order) than get an RFE for something.
Guys, maybe it's time to update the first page with latest predictions. Mar'08 is no longer a prediction, it is a fact. Just my .04$.
Monica,
someone in our forum posted that he/she had Sept2008 PD and his friend/co-worker with same PD received NVC notice because for some reason their lawyer had his friend in CP
here is the post and link
la_2002_ch
Gurus, one of my colleagues with a similar PD as mine (Sep 2008) just heard from our common attorney that he has received the fee notice for his CP case. (dont know why the HR decided to file my case as AOS and his as CP).
Does this help us in predicting any good/bad news (Hoping good... so that I can file the EAD for my wife).
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...=6687#post6687
Came across these news.
New ImmigrationTracker Visa Bulletin Report Enables a Head Start of up to 15 Days in Filing Green Card Petitions
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...web8894626.DTL
I don't know whether the tracker would be just predicting an advancement of the date with an inbuilt software program or whether it would provide attorneys or HR, a real time information of the advancement of PDs 15 days earlier than visa bulletin release. If it is only meant to do prediction, than it is just another way to make money for the company. Anyways, I shared it as I thought it was interesting.
Second article is for people in EB3 category whose children is more than 21 years old and had their AOS (I-485) filed in 2007 when they were less than 21.
http://www.ilw.com/articles/2011,1026-mehta.shtm
My lawyer also asked for same, they did not include tax return/pay stubs/schools certificates( thought she said would exame that and let me know if i need affidavit or not as my BC registration date was june 2007 and my wife parents does not have last name in the BC).
Note: probably we need to move this discussion to I485 thread, any moderator if you agree please move this to I485 documents thread.
These are the documents that my lawyers sent:
Primary Applicant:
- Filing fee in the amount of $1,070.00
- Forms G-28, I-485 and G-325A
- Forms G-28 and I-765
- Forms G-28 and I-131
- I-140 Approval Notice
- Letter from applicant's employer verifying the permanent offer of employment.
- Copy of applicant's most recent I-94 Arrival/Departure Record evidencing lawful admission to the U.S.
- Copy of the applicant's current passport and any prior passports
- Copies of the applicant's status documents evidencing immigration history and current lawful nonimmigrant status in the US.
- Copy of I-20 forms (both: The initial one with SEVIS barcode & the second one that was issued when applying for OPT)
- Copy of EAD from OPT
- Copy of all H1-B approval notices.
- Copy of applicant's birth certificate.
- Form I-693 sealed medical examination results
- Six passport photos.
Dependant
- Filing fee in the amount of $1,070.00
- Forms G-28, I-485 and G-325A
- Forms G-28 and I-765
- Forms G-28 and I-131
- Spouse's I-140 Approval Notice
- Letter from applicant's spouse's employer verifying the permanent offer of employment.
- Copy of applicant's most recent I-94 Arrival/Departure Record evidencing lawful admission to the U.S.
- Copy of the applicant's current passport and any prior passports
- Copies of the applicant's status documents evidencing immigration history and current lawful nonimmigrant status in the US.
- Copy of H4 extension approval notice.
- Copy of applicant's birth certificate.
- Copy of applicant's marriage certificate.
- Form I-693 sealed medical examination results
- Six passport photos.
As you can see, no pay-stubs or w2 forms were included. So, if your lawyers say they are not needed, then don't worry about it.
FYI...my lawyer asked for w2 and paystubs...i guess it's not compulsory but some lawyers request these docs as a backup or they are trying to ensure we don't get an RFE...
I wouldn't send anything more than asked for upfront. You have to assume that the lawyers know what they are doing (although sometimes its really hard ... Fragomen I'm talking to you). There's no harm in keeping the extra docs (paystubs, tax returns, etc) ready but don't send them unless asked for. I know I would be pissed off if someone sent me more than I asked for and have to take them out myself.
I did my masters here and was on OPT for 1 year.
For the question 11 "Have you ever before applied for employment authorization from USCIS ?
if i say yes should i enter the information from 1 Year OPT card or from the current H1 approval
Applied USCIS Office
Applied Date
Result
Employment Authorization Info
Was in same situation a while back. And the answer is yes.
Folks .... updated the header with my latest understanding. I haven't yet looked at the YTD consumption .... it is a bit early to do that anyway. Will take a look at consumpion trned and update in 2 weeks.
What your lawyer sent you is accurate. But if you are married for less than 2 years, you need 2 documents from the following:
If you have been married for less than two years and your spouse is applying for Adjustment of Status with you,
USCIS will require documentation to verify that you have entered into and that you currently maintain a valid
marital relationship. If you have been married for less than two years, please also submit to us with your
documentation the following items:
1) Documentation showing joint ownership of property (if applicable);
2) A lease showing joint tenancy of a common residence (if applicable);
3) Documentation showing commingling of financial resources, which could include income tax returns, bank
and credit records;
4) Birth certificates of children born to you and your spouse (if applicable); and
5) Evidence of co-participation of medical or life insurance in the same insurance plan.
--------------------------------
I know we don't have to pay for the EAD for the first time as the 485 fees would cover EAD and AP. Could someone please let me know how many years the first time EAD would be valid for?
Thanks, Suninphx- You are always a big help
My best friend (works for a big company here- direct employment) went to India this year April and got stuck for 3 months for no absolute reason. I don't want to get stuck in the same situation hence I want to evaluate my option of using EAD/AP. I don't mind coming back as a parolee so long as I don't get questioned at POE. I have all clear papers.. was never out of job.. and had no issues in H1 renewals. I have seen people going through mess despite the fact that they have all the papers and good employers to back the details. I would have no issues to get my stamping done.. but my commitments here are delicate (house, work and family) that if I get stuck there for more than a week.. things will get pretty ugly here.
I will check with my lawyer to see if there would be any issues in using EAD/AP. But thanks for the prompt response :)
This is what I found through my Attorney...
If you don't H1 Visa Stamp and you have got AP, he recommends me to go for Visa stamping. As per him, I can still use AP to come back, but after that I will be
considered as parolee and the expiry date of my legal status will be that of what I have got in my AP, but not H1.
This is ok, for guys with an expiration date on H1 lesser than the exp date on AP. You can as well apply for H1 using your I-140 and once you get a new H1, your status will change from parolee to H1.
But, if your AOS is under process when you are in parolee status, by chance (God forbid) AOS App is denied, then your AP will be canceled and you will start accruing out of status days.
http://www.imminfo.com/News/Newslett...011-11-15.html Latest newsletter. There is talk of HR 3012 becoming law!!
If you go for visa stamping and get "stuck" do you get your passport back ? I didn't think you got it back. In which case have AP doesn't matter does it. You wouldn't be able to travel. What am I missing ?