http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_6062.html
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Btw, in case this hasn't been posted yet, Oct 2013 VB is out: http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_6062.html . EB2-I dates remain unchanged (15JUN08).
EB2 China has moved ahead by a month. Wondering if the CO is using the monthly quota to move the dates forward.
As expected Oct 2013 bulletin doesn't show retrogression. As the Sep and Oct data comes in the dates might retrogress. As of now i think the chances of retrogression in Nov are 50-50. It all depends on how well USCIS clears EB2I backlog through the dates that are current.
This is definitely good news for people like me waiting after being Current. This buys in more time to get approvals. Also this makes it no numbers get wasted if they can allocate the numbers ahead of time.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
That's a good point pdmay. I tend to believe (although I can't prove it) that DOS/USCIS continue to approve cases using prior year number into Oct. Thus it gives me some comfort to see dates not moving back - which would mean - the visas are not going waste now. But as I said - I don't really have proof for my theory except that in prior years i have noticed very large october approvals.Quote:
Originally Posted by pdmay2008
Great news !!Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Gurus, assuming that all FY 2013 visa numbers for EB2I are used up by September, how many visa numbers will be available for EB2I in October?
I am trying to assess my chances of being approved in October, in case I do not get approved in September.
PD: March 11, 2008. TSC.
EB2I will get approx. 1/12th of 28.2% of 7% of 140K. That's approx 230 visas.Quote:
Originally Posted by pseudonym
Do any of the knowledgeable folks here believe there could be mechanisms in place that allow the assignment of 2013 visa numbers to pending cases while they physically get approved in Oct 2013?
i.e. is there any way the DOS Visa Bureau may be able to assign visa numbers to outstanding cases in Sep 2013 while they may not get approved/issued until October?
Just wondering if that's one of the possible reasons behind maintaining the same cutoff date for EB2I going into FY 2014...
Many thanks
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...ctober2013.pdf
EB2 I - No Change.
Finally got approved, after 6.5 years long wait.
Congratulations ThisSummer.Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisSummer
Gurus,
What do you think of the latest visa bulletin ? For Eb2-I and EB3-I no movement forward or backward. How do you explain that.
The only explanation I can come up is CO is on vacation, so asked his staff to copy paste from earlier bulletin :-)
Any reason why Trackitt data on Q forum is not being updated since Sep5th 2013?
Congrats this summer....Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisSummer
Spec may be away on vacation... I guess that is the reason...Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
Here is what I pulled from trackitt....Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
Approvals in Sept as of today:
June 08 - 18
May 08 - 36
Apr 08 - 51
Mar 08 - 29
Feb 08 - 18
Jan 08 - 17
Dec 07 - 03
Nov 07 - 08
Oct 07 - 02
Sep 07 - 04
Aug 07 - 04
Pre Aug 07 - 38
Total Approvals - 228
Hello All Gurus
By far this has been the most nerve wrecking waiting period in my life...my PD - 05/14/08 - Eb2 I - TSC with RD - 03/14/12.
I am guessing they are processing based on RD's order and thats why im getting delayed. I have no idea how long this wait is going to be. I hope it ends soon and wish the same for everyone who is on the same boat.
With VB showing dates being 15 Jun 08 for Oct as well - do i stand a good chance of getting my GC before end of October? Also what is the criteria in processing 485 applciations? i saw lot of approvals in TSC in May and June08.
please share some thoughts
thanks
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
I am not a guru but still will reply...Quote:
Originally Posted by SeekingGC2013
There have been discussions in the past on the topic of PD vs RD. It should be in the current thread or in thread of Aug approvals
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...e-with-details
Several opinions between the gurus like Q, Spec, Kanmani, Indiani, ...
Many supportive documentations as well... Please read through the posts to conclude for yourself...
General consensus according to me is:
1. People who haven't received RFE
2. PD
3. RD
However, many would say it is 2) RD and 3) PD.
Thanks for forwarding the thread.
I qualify under the 1) No RFE category.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Jagan...I'm waiting on when you can feel that I will be greened.. remember you promised you will let me know as you predicted Indiani...:-)Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Lol.. please say tomorrow :(..
Mine no rfe... apr.28 pd, ppl after my pd lot of em got grn..rd 19 jan 2012.. same as pedro.. he got 2nd day:(...mine waiting...
@RogerFederer - Looks like we share the receipt date and the fate. am still waiting too...Quote:
Originally Posted by RogerFederer
@Gurus - Just wanted to check if anyone has done any analysis or estimates on how many GCs have been used up so far (in Aug/Sep) for EB2I? And how much are remaining? Looking at the pace of approvals, looks like there is a higher chance of GCs running out then getting wasted - is that correct?
Thanks for your thoughts in advance!!
-- (Patiently waiting) Techsavvy1973
I don't see any specific pattern followed, there are plenty of approvals which will disprove all the theory. I guess the "luck" should be first one. You can improve your luck with some triggers like SR etc. That is what i am seeing now.Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Hey Rogerfederer,Quote:
Originally Posted by RogerFederer
If I knew when you would get GC then I would surely tell you. :)
It was just one coincidence about Indiani... I do not know when anyone is getting greened.
Yes the visas would most likely not get wasted. How soon they run out is difficult to say but most likely they wouldn't run out before the last week of Sept.Quote:
Originally Posted by Techsavvy1973
Hmm so random it is .. waiting continues..hopefully tomorrow will be my day :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
My PD is FEB 2008; got an RFE responded back in July 24; no sign of movement in my file... God only knows when I would get it ...
My case is with Texas Service Center ... dependents also received an RFE responded back in Aug 24th ... Any prediction on movement greatly appreciated ....
thanks
Bharmanandam
Welcome to forum. It is difficult to make a prediction on individual cases.
Clearly your case has some unresolved issues. It might be worthwhile to take an infopass and/or approach your senator/congressman for help. I wish you the best.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bharmanandam
I have a feeling that he is staying away due to a comment that was made on this forum. I am not going into details. I may be wrong.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Today is the 7th processing day in Sept for those waiting for GC. Since this also the last month for this visa year I feel that once we reach 12th day of processing for Sept then we will definitely see approvals slowing down. I am getting nervous by the hr. God know whats in store for me.
Based on Trackitt, first time I-485 and EAD filers in August 2013 are now recieving their EAD cards. Some have recieved EAD cards with one year validity while others have two years of validity. Now there's rampant speculation that applicants who were granted a one-year EAD are more likely to recieve their GC before possible upcoming retrogression in the next month or two while those with a two-year EAD will have to wait until summer next year to get their GCs. Do any of you think that there's any possibility of that being the case.
A little further digging shows that someone with a PD of Dec 13, 2007 got a one year EAD while another with a Dec 19, 2007 PD got a two-year EAD. If the logic applies, then dates should retrogress back to somewhere between Dec 13 and Dec 19, 2007. Of course this whole argument is very simplistic because we simply don't have enough data points and I have no way of knowing if people with PDs before that date have a one or two year EAD.
http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussi...g-2013/page/59
Druvraj, why do you feel there will be a slowdown after the 12th day of processing? Based on past month's experience?Quote:
Originally Posted by druvraj
This happened last year too, and I was one of the folks that received a one year EAD, yet no approval. The same theories were floated around at that time. And we know how far the dates went back.Quote:
Originally Posted by Still_Waiting
My case is not yet passed the 60 day processing time. In couple of weeks from now it will pass, and I will give a call to Texas Service Center. Thank you very much for very valuable suggestions and prediction.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bharmanandam
Diverging from the CPO-based discussion, are there any chances for the dates to move forward - 'coz of factors like PERM approval slowdown, EB-1/EB-2 WW usage - in the 2nd qtr or there isn't a chance that dates shall not move until last qtr. My date is end july '08.
Congratulations Summer!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisSummer
I dont quite understand how the dates stayed the same. To me it implies 1 or a combo of 4 things - all of which are a lil hard to believe.
1. CO doesn't have faith that USCIS will consume this FYs quota and is planning on carrying it over (which is technically illegal)
2. CO expects monthly demand of less than 230 for Oct - Again really hard to believe.
3. CO is applying QSP early in the quarter - again a risky call.
4. CO simply screwed up on the VB dates
There has to be some internal retrogression mechanism. I really can't see too many approvals happening beyond Week 1 in Oct unless something goofy is going on (over and above this).
PS: Id love to see some updated DD
Dates wont move ahead. The only way they can move ahead is if the CO applies QSP (Quaterly Spillover). That was done once in the past (2011) and it was a fiasco.Quote:
Originally Posted by IsItWorthTheTrouble
Dates stayed the same as the demand has not surfaced yet. The first time I-485 applicants (EB3 to EB2 porters post Aug 2007), would have been filing their applications and they would be reflected in the demand around Nov. Hence, the dates will retrogress in Dec 2013.Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
So according to the stats there will be very few applicants left before June 2008 in the demand data until Nov DD is published. CO might think that 230 is enough to handle them and in the worst case he will apply QSP.
I am sure that he will retrogress dates in Dec 2013 bulletin.