Hi Q,
What is the last date to apply for 485 when PD is current.
My PD is current with the december bulletin.
Is there a specific time frame to send the application??? can i apply around 15-20 december???
Please suggest.
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Hi Q,
What is the last date to apply for 485 when PD is current.
My PD is current with the december bulletin.
Is there a specific time frame to send the application??? can i apply around 15-20 december???
Please suggest.
Hi Pdmay2008,
You mean i can apply till 31st Dec 2011 since my PD will be effect from Dec 1st 2011.
My Wife is in INDIA and will be here on Dec 5th, so after the medicals and all i am planning to apply around 15 Dec 2011.
Just want to check with gurus that its safe to do that. If not i have to prepone her trip.
Hi GreenReddy,
USCIS should get your documents on or by Dec 31st. Incase for January bulletion the dates moves further or stay as it is and do not go back prior to yours then you will have additional 31 days (of January) to file your papers. You will get to know that once the next bulletin is out in second week of December. Thanks
Guru's one more question,
Is it better to apply together along with my dependent or can we both apply individually with a gap of 10 days.
Which one is a better option??
I got the check list of docs from my attorney.. I have a DWI offense in NJ in 2007 on my arrest record.It isnt a criminal offense. He asked me to submit a "certified copy" of the court disposition letter. I do have the original disposition letter with the court seal.
Does the certified copy mean the original court letter or a notarized copy of the same?
Thanks to all of you :) .Thanks to all those conveying congratulations. I still cannot beleive it is true.Leaving for my medicals in a few minutes.
This forum has been a godsend,cannot state in words the guidance this forum had given in terms of the opaque gc process.
Too emotional right now ...Thank you all and I pray rest of the 2008 folks get an chance to file EAD soon as well.
Q/Teddy -
I was an early follower/participant on the original thread on **. I had always believed in the analysis, going as far back as VDLRao's calculations. I am finally current in this bulletin and just wanted to say that you guys have done a great job in bringing clarity to the date movements and the actual numbers involved.
Q - you have also managed to maintain a reasonable environment here given how bitter the tone usually gets with immigration related discussions. Kudos and keep it sane.
I am not sure what went between ** and you but I think you both have your own place in this world (them with advocacy and you with analysis). Note: I do routinely defend the much-reviled "predictions/calculations" there, so had to balance it out here :-)
Anyway, just wanted to check in and say hello.
Here I am with a PD of 3/15/2008...truly on the edge. I KNOW after reading the visa bulletin and the numerous posts on Q blog that I'm NOT current come Dec 1. Funnily, my company lawyer insists I am current and should definitely file in Dec. Somebody told me if I do that, checks would be cashed and application would be denied.
Here's what I'm thinking of doing - get everything ready and wait for Dec 10 (Jan bulletin). If dates move and I'm really current, I file on Jan 1 2012. If not, we'll see.
BTW, I've been trying to post after registering for weeks. Q sorted everthing for me today. Even though my first post is all about my situation, I do want to thank all of you guys...Q, Teddy, Spec, Nishant, Veni...and many others. I've been reading the blog everyday since I chanced upon it, it is such a breath of fresh air! You guys absolutely rock and have managed to make sense out of the vaguest information available. Thank you all.
I am PWMB filed on July 1st for me and my wife.....Got receipts in 20days, finger print notice received on aug 1st for aug 30th...got my EAD and AP in 45 days...
during finger printing they said I should receive my GC in another 45 days...
Its been almost 4 months now and status is still in Initial stage...My application is from TCS and current processing time is Mar 6th...
guys is there way to expedite the processing or we need to wait till processing times to reach till july 1st for them to look at my case...?
My PRiority date is 03/23/2011 , what are the best predications ? Will i be lucky to get current by 2013 March or it would be longer than that ?
Guys its difficult to respond to all, but once again hearty congratulations to all those current!
pbuckeye thanks for your courtesy. But most importantly congratulations! I absolutely remember you. It has been a pleasure. ** basically banned me and then spread rumours about me. Anyway that's not important. The clearance of EB2IC backlog is paramount. And to the extent people feel that we helped them even a little bit is satisfying.
gcseeker, again ...it makes it worth to see genuine reactions from people. I really wish people continue to come here and help each other.
ChampU you should be mentioned our hall of fame!! Certified means notarized in my opinion. But I may be wrong.
Pedro - the registration itself allows a fairamount of annonymity. So i think its fair for people to register if they want to post something. As per Kanmani's thread - or anybody else who wants to attrack attention - a small piece of advice. People are always driven by self-interest. And nothing wrong in that. If they are not participating .... its not as important or valuable to them. Don't take it personally. That's just the bottomline. A case in point - we have so many other sub-forums - poetry - donation - enterprenuer etc .... but the traction is here. The reason is simple - people really care about understanding when they are going to get their GC!! Now that explains why we do see some traction to advocacy!
As long as your date remains current (which I assume will remain current) you can file. I do not think that dates will or should retrogress from where they are today. Only if they move beyond Apr or May I would expect tehy would retrogress.
FrenzyRider, H1 is dual intent visa. There is no reason why they should NOT stamp her solely based on her GC application. If they decline it will be because of different reason. Not because of her GC application.
qbf stop pause and listen. 485 is something that you can file on your own!!! You DO NOT need your employer for that. Alright?? Just do it!
Praying doesn't get you GC. I'm sure you know that.
In today's world, you don't get anything unless you work for it. Take a day off and try to meet with the local congressmen and/or the senator. If you can't do that, praying won't help much...it's a good thing though.
Thanks RRRRRR, That helps.I did not know this simple fact but it helps in my favor.Even though I am all set with the docs...my company takes around 3-4 weeks to process lawyers payment and the timing works well.
On another note, I hope CO will be generous in the next few bulletins so that folks can atleast get their EAD's...partial freedom I guess.
Gurus,
Pardon me if this question has been asked before.
What is the approx ETA to get the green card if I apply for I485 on Dec 1st.
My PD is Feb 27th 2008.
Once again, congrats all who got current in this bulletin. Got my medical exam done today. It was a breeze!
It is amazing how fast we have moved from a calculation/prediction mode to a primarily "how-to" mode. Nothing wrong with that - I guess the audience profile is changing fast with the old guard (PWMBs, Late 2007 PDs) moving on and new batch (2008/2009 PDs) becoming more active. We are building a good amount of knowledge base here and considering that the search here is not very effective, we need something like a Hall-of-Fame thread to archive posts with valuable information - I am aware of the different threads for 485 etc - but they also tend to fill up with chatter.
I have no problem with people asking questions - I myself asked one recently and was helped immensely by the board. However, please also consider logging in and helping others as well. If you have two posts six months apart and both of them are questions - then that does not reflect well on your contribution to the forum. I am sure people will be more inclined to help if you have helped others in the forum in the past.
Q, I have a humble request. Please let us know how can we contribute monetarily to keep this site up and running. You, Veni, Spec, Teddy, Nishant and many significant others have been doing a wonderful job which is really helping a lot of people and I would feel really bad if along with doing all these, you guys are also shelling out of your pocket to maintain it. I was under the impression that sponsors take care of maintaining the site.
Certainly, I can not match you folks in data mining, calculations and predictions neither I intend to but at least I can contribute in whatever way I can to help out.
I think most of the visitors of this site will be willing to contribute. Please let us know.
Thanks again.
Leo / Jonty / Trident,
We are quite blessed to even have such people who offer to donate.
We are fine. We receive about 100 dollars per month in revenue. And that is ok for since we ourselves do the maintenance etc.
May be I can hire some professional help to maintain it and add some functionality. But in any case I can't accept donations since this site is technically not a 501C3 i.e. US non-profit (although we run it like one).
If you would like to donate - please donate to our charity of month (10-20-100 or even bigger!!). And if you choose to do so - please do let me know - I will mention your name on our website.
I had all docs ready before bulletin was released and as soon as it came out I sent to lawer and by end of the day he sent me all forms to make a print and sing. This weekend I will be doing medical and mid of next week all set.
I know, hindsight is always 20/20. Unfortunately, back in 2008..I had no clue about the cut off date pattern. And the lawyer would not have listened to me anyway. I understand there is a huge chance of movement in the next bulletin so I am not that disappointed. What's another 30 days when we've waited so long?
The company lawyer INSISTS I am current. He says he been in this business for years and thats how they have always interpreted the cut off date!!
What will happen if I do file in December? Will the petition be denied?
see this from bulletin:
"Only applicants who have a priority date earlier than the cut-off date may be allotted a number."
http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_5603.html
From http://immigration-law.com/
Please discuss in the advocacy section.Quote:
11/11/2011: Senate Version of the House H.R. 3012 Per Country Numberical Limitation Elimination Bill Introduced in the Senate Yesterday, 11/10/2011
One of the hottest House bills, H.R. 3012, was introduced by a Congressman from Utah on the House side. Now, a Republican Senator from the same state of Utah, Mike Lee, introduced S.1857 to eliminate the per-country numerical limitation for employment-based immigrants and to increase the per-country numerical limitation for family-sponsored immigrants. This bill may be a companion bill of the H.R. 3012 on the Senate side, which apparently was introduced yesterday in anticipation of House passing H.R. 3012 and reaching of the bill in the Senate soon. The full text has yet to be made available. Please stay tuned to this website for the full text of the Senate version.
There already are a few posts on immigration forums from people with 2008 PDs who left the country and did not anticipate that EB2I will move this fast. The demand destruction is real and not insignificant. I would imagine though that a good fraction of people who have left will attempt to either come back (for AOS) or change to CP. Although there will be a time lag for the process - so it would still benefit the PD movement.
Is this going to be put for vote by senate or is it going to a Committee and the entire process starts again? if you look here it seems like it is going to be considred by committee- http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=s112-1857
From the calculations perspective we had the 20% factor dropout from Perm to I485 which would take care of I140 denials primarily. Now there are 2 scenarios there is definitely demand destruction i.e. people who have gone back or got GC by other means only those who can get some kind of EVL or recent paystubs (Working with same employer in home country) can attempt CP. Also some people have multiple perms as Kanmani is calculating.
There is another category that of NIW, National Interest Waiver folks can file I140 straight away, in fact as pointed out by tonyromo the reason why the Jul 2007 inventory does not add up is due to high NIW. I will try to get some statistics on these. In 2008 perm was at a standstill so that could have motivated more people to go for NIW if they could not go for EB1. So the NIW numbers could be compensating the dropouts and we can probably agree on 20% as the overall dropout rate or loss factor.
Meanwhile I agree that the monthly I485 expected for Jul 2007 - Apr 2008 is closer to 2500. I am still working on those details, will let the group know sometime over the weekend. Porting also should be 3K by all accounts. Appreciate all your feedback.
any1 got receipt notices/finger print notices who applied after Nov 01 2011?
Teddy, While I have lot of respect for you. I strongly disagree that monthly PERM count could be 2500. I believe going by what I see in trackitt, just around 200 cases filed between July to Nov 01 which could translate to around 1500 EB2 India cases. The total number of EB2 cases for 485 from July to December could be only around 3~4k. I am very eager to look at the parameters you consider when reporting PERM EB2 cases and also translation to 485. I would use factor of 1 as somewhere suggested by Veni.
Let's start getting bullish about the current state of affairs for EB2.
Teddy,
Could you please let me know what do you think of the following?
EB2 IC I-485 demand = IC PERM approvals x 0.7 (for EB2) x 0.87 (I-140 approval rate) x 0.8 (catch all factor for duplicate PERMS, EB3-Eb2 upgrades etc) x 2.04 (no. of I-485 applications filed for I-140 approval)
This gives,
EB2 IC I-485 demand = 0.9939 x IC PERM approvals
I guess what everyone is saying is that the above factor might be even less than that - 0.67 instead of 0.8 for the catch all factor due to demand destruction etc.
So,
EB2 IC I-485 demand = 0.8323 x IC PERM approvals