Using laptop and Chrome. Let me check on my home desktop tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Attachment 975
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Using laptop and Chrome. Let me check on my home desktop tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Attachment 975
Hello CancerQuote:
Originally Posted by cancer24
In this screen you do see the commentary tab. Just click on each item below to view that section. The "current year outlook" section can only be viewed if you have an active paid forecasting plan on your account.
Feel free to contact us by email at help at whereismygc dot com.
Hey I got the subscription too. I had a question. In my forcesast I saw about 25k ppl ahead of me. Does that number account for worst case porting numbers. My pd is 10/08/2010. Just wanted to know if potential future porting has been taken into account. Thanks
Hello Knighthood,Quote:
Originally Posted by knighthood83
It includes estimated current year porting. It does not include future portings for a number of reasons. However we build enough contingency in our future demand pattern to ensure our average forecast is on track. Hope this helps.
We will make an update to forecast this weekend. This update will be based on the 2015 actual visa usage published by DoS this week.
p.s. - The 20% discount ends tonight. Buy today to avoid paying higher price over weekend.
https://www.whereismygc.com/pricing.php
We have updated the forecast as well as the commentary accompanying it. Paid users can access both of them now onwards.
To serve WhereismyGC users better, we have changed the free forecast as follows:
The FREE Forecast will now provide a date range rather than providing an optimistic forecast only. Thus the users will see the optimistic side as well as pessimistic side as well.
Those who want to know more details or a more precise forecast will have to buy a paid plan.
General Announcement:
The current WhereismyGC predictions already factor in the PERM approval growth spurt and resulting potential increase in the demand of 485s for ROW.
So what you see on the website is our latest forecast.
-----------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
My WhereismyGC paid forecast predicts XXXXXX as a average approval date for EB 3 India March 2005 PD.
But we have not received any indications of visa bulletin move from State department ?
Dear UserQuote:
Originally Posted by asaxena2
Even if the State Dept hasn't indicated so - our forecast model does suggest that the dates will move that far and you should be greened by that timeframe. So lets see. A forecast can be wrong. But at this time we feel pretty confident in that forecast.
p.s. - Please desist from publishing paid forecast in public forums such as this one. You can always write to us by email help at whereismygc dot com.
Wish you all a very happy new year and a happy padwa / ugadi / yugadi.
For Friday and Saturday we are offering following promotions on forecast plans:
25% Off on Year Plan (Code - PRATIPADA)
10% Off on Half-Year or Month Plan (Code - PADWA)
A lot of people asked us how this Visa Bulletin changes WhereismyGC forecast.
We will send out a message (and a possible forecast Update) by Saturday.
Briefly speaking Visa Bulletins generally do not force us to rethink anything. They do not contain much actionable information in terms of forecast. Our forecast model is quite fundamental and works on real data rather than "He said she said". Visa Bulletins frankly although not exactly a "He said she said" thing - are not much better either. DoS should be using WhereismyGC or build something like WhereismyGC. That will do away with a lot of crappy date movements and retrogressions once and for all. They are too blind for their own good.
Anyway ... end of self promotion.
We will send out a message by Saturday explaining if this impacts the forecast and how.
Dear User
Thank you for asking. An update has been made. The emails are on their way explaining the update. The batch job runs every 30 minutes ... so that's about 2 minutes from now!
In summary the update is not quite impactful for EB-India folks. We made an adjustment to account for Chinese portings. That's about it.
Thank you
Team WhereismyGC
Quote:
Originally Posted by asaxena2
When will the update be available --- after considering the June2016 VB? I am looking for EB3-I. Will this retro in EB2-I impact EB3-I?Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
EB2-I shouldn't retro doesn't have any bearing on EB3-I's chances whatsoever.Quote:
Originally Posted by GCwaiting
There is nothing in VB that warrants an update to WhereismyGC. So we will keep the forecast as is at least until July 2016.
What is the impact of the April 2016 Inventory numbers on your prediction especially for EB3-I.
Dear Users,
Recently the Apr 2016 485 Inventory Report was released.
We looked for any reasons that force us to update the forecast.
Here are the insights from the report:
1. EB4 may be running under and may yield some numbers.
2. EB1 is having more demand than supply. So much so that it will probably eat up any spillover from EB4/5 as well.
3. EB3 seems to be holding steady and not showing any reduction in inventory. That is very surprising and kind of bad news for EB3I. We will explain later below.
4. EB2 also holding steady - this was expected bad news for EB2I. No surprises there.
So the biggest takeaway is that EB3-I may not rely as much on spillover from EB3-ROW as one would have thought. Because the inventory is steady, one can say that ROW is actually utilizing its full allocation. The gut feel does not validate that however. We will investigate further and possibly update the forecast by weekend.
Thanks & Regards,
Thanks. Will wait for the update.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Do you feel EB3 will reach the expected filing date of 07/01/2005 without spillover?
Most forums are stating that there will be a spillover from EB3-ROW to EB3-I & EB3-I will move quite ahead.
What makes you say that EB3-ROW will be utilizing its full allocation?
Site is updated. Please see the commentary section on site to understand the changes, rationale and impact.
Haven't looked at the paid subscription/commentary, but noticed that the dates for EB2I seems to have gotten a little better on the free forecast. I likely missed something, but is there reason to believe that near term dates (mid 2009 dates) will likely get greened this year? My priority date is in July 2009, and the forecast suggests that we should be greened by June 2017. Prior to this update, the window was Jan 2017-May 2018.Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
We will answer this today. But going forward we will let WhereismyGC site tell what changes why when and how?Quote:
Originally Posted by mechanical13
What has changed from prior to new (changed) model is:
------------------------| Old ---------------| New ---------------|
1. ROW EB2:3 mix -------| 75:25 -------------| 60:40 --------------|
2. 485 Processing time -| 4-5 months --------| 8 months -----------|
3. ROW New demand ------| Oct 2015 onwards --| Mar 2015 onwards ---|
The commentary (paid part) contains more details.
July 2016 VB was quite a disappointment especially for EB3-I.
The predictions given by DOS for EB3-I ... is disappointing
"Indications are that there will be “otherwise” unused numbers available under the Worldwide limit. This should allow the September date to reach early 2005."
All forums predicted good spillover from EB3-ROW to EB3-I.
At the minimum, it was predicted that it would meet the filing date of 07/01/2005.
How does this July Visa Bulletin change WhereismyGC forecast? Are you planning any updates?
We have updated WhereismyGC forecast 2 days back. Today we also updated the commentary. Both things require paid membership - except the FREE forecast.Quote:
Originally Posted by GCwaiting
Today Supreme court tied on immigration executive actions and thus the block on Obamas executive immigration actions remains in place.
Read further ...
CNN News - http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/23/politi...urt/index.html
NBC News - http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/...policy-n582961
Hi
What is your prediction for EB3I - March 2005 now?
I see that your forecast date is from Nov2015 to April 2017 a range of about 1.5 years. This is too large a range !!!
Now that Aug VB is announced, when will you update this forecast?
---------------------------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by GCwaiting
Are we expecting an update ??
--------------------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
Will there be an update to whereismygc.com based on August 2016 visa bulletin
Hello asaxena2,Quote:
Originally Posted by asaxena2
We updated the commentary but left the forecast untouched.
The forecast for EB23IC is not going to hold now. We don't want to update it without any intelligent data point and just to match the visa bulletin after the fact. So while we admit it is inaccurate, we don't want to change it just for the sake of it.
FREE ! FREE !! FREE !!!
WhereismyGC is being offered completely FREE until Saturday midnight.
Our apologies in advance for not being able to entertain any questions from users with FREE plan. Enjoy the FREE plan.
www.whereismygc.com
p.s. - You have to subscribe to the Day plan which is FREE until Saturday midnight.
The tool shows Jan 1, 2009 to be current by Sept 2016 avg and pessimistic by Oct 2016. Do you guys think that would have happen realistically ?
Hello Asankaran,Quote:
Originally Posted by asankaran
You may want to subscribe to WhereismyGC emails. We generally comment on visa bulletins and latest forecast updates every month. As per the latest situation - we have updated the model to suit current visa bulletin (obviously not to forecast what is already knows but rather being able to forecast 2017).
The best Sale of the year is here once again. From Nov 23rd to Nov 28th enjoy following promotions.
- 40% off on Annual and Semi-Annual forecasting plans. Use code THANKSGIVING40
- Double the duration on all forecasting plans. Use code THANKSGIVING100
From all of us at WhereismyGC, have a happy thanksgiving to you and your family.
We have updated the forecast model at WhereismyGC based on latest 485 data as well as latest NVC (Consular Processing) data. Paid Subscription required to view the updated forecast.
The website forecast is updated to reflect following things from latest 485 inventory.
1. Apparent end of India EB3 to EB2 porting. Same is true for china EB2 to EB3 porting.
2. Slightly lower EB2 ROW demand.
Check your forecast HERE.
FREE ! FREE !! FREE !!!
Enjoy FREE forecast at whereismygc.com.
Available ONLY today.
https://www.whereismygc.com
EXPIRED
Only 3 hours and 15 minutes left before this deal expires. Remember our site already has a FREE forecast but today we are opening up the "Paid" forecast plan for a "Day" completely FREE.
Quote:
Originally Posted by whereismygc
The DoS published visa bulletin for May 2007.
There is good movement for EB3-India in filing dates. For EB2-India there is minor retrogression in filing dates. The overall trend is in line with our predictions so far.
Mr Q, any idea when the updated Forecast will be generated based on latest inventory reports?
Moved to the appropriate thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by derekjbj