thanks kanmani....that answers my question. no dual Biometrics is neededQuote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
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thanks kanmani....that answers my question. no dual Biometrics is neededQuote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Probably, this is a wrong time for this post as everyone is busy discussing SO and Demand Data. I could not think of any other forum where I could post this.
I filed the AR-11 change of address online, yesterday. I also updated the address for pending I-485 application (which was described to as Step 2, in the application). The system generated two codes.. one for the AR-11 and another code indicating address on I-485 application has changed..The last three characters for the I-485 code are CA******NSC.
I am able to enter the code for the generic AR-11 and download the form for my records. I am unable to enter the I-485 code to download the I-485 change of address form. Does anyone know of the link where I can get that?
Also, I did not get any LUDs when I changed the address. Did anyone get the text/emails? My friends told me that you get the letters in mail in about a week. Do the letters include confirmation for both the generic change of address and I-485 profile update?
Thanks!
ChampU,
I received the change of address confirmation, it was a formal acknowledgement to our address change request and no mention on our pending cases.
It was very disturbing to me then, Later I confirmed with the L2 against the I-485 receipt number. Hope this helps.
Kanmani,
Thanks for your reply. I am expecting the formal acknowledgement in a couple of weeks. I will call L2 officer and get it confirmed..Peace of mind is priceless :)
champuQuote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
call L2 officer and confirm. I know u need to wait for 30-40mns to get him on the phone, but its worth it.
My ead was sent to wrong address and i never got it back. . i never bothered to apply for ead again....then after 6 mnths they sent me a new ead and AP to new address and my online status said address was changed..
speak to L2.
Dec2007,Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Will do! Thanks for sharing your experience!!
Hey Teddy
Can you please elaborate your prediction of Dates ending this FY between Apr 08-July 08?
Does the CO prediction say - dates moving to maximum of Feb 08 by end of this FY - is there a possibility that dates can move beyond that date?
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
The way DD is increasing in EB2I, my guess is all the porting cases are already reflected in the DD.
Once the date moves lets say until dec 2007 then 8K GC's will be issued to EB2I.
I don't think there will be additional 4-5K porters that will be added.
Am i missing something or is it fair assumption?
Nov 2007, You have a new thread......http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...6005#post36005
EB-ROW Porting
I am not sure if any one here knows how much porting is there from EB3-ROW. But if EB3-ROW cutoff date moves into early 2009, would there be less porting from EB3-ROW folks with PD's in 2007 to 2008?
The dates might retrogress, but at least everyone will get an EAD and I am thinking that it should reduce porting from EB3-ROW.
I am trying to figure out the "real" timeline to get GC for EB3 middleman with PD mid-2008.
We all know that once demand will be build CO will stop movement and eventually retrogress PD for EB3ROW.
The only data available to us it's PERM, but I have difficulty to make any gestimate from that data.
Any ideas how many eb3row people actually in line?
I'm eagerly waiting for the July VB to come out with some good news and see some happy faces around once again. Looks like we have to wait till Monday for it! Have a nice weekend - and hope to see lots of happy faces starting next week:-)!!!
Good luck - everyone!!!
July Bulletin is out. EB2-I still at at Sep 04.
http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_1360.html
Really disappointing
"India: At this time it appears that the availability of “otherwise unused” Employment Second preference numbers will allow for movement of this cut-off date in August and/or September. It is expected that such movement will generate heavy new applicant demand, primarily by those who are upgrading their status from the Employment Third preference category. A sustained level of heavy demand could impact the cut-off date at some point during fiscal year 2014."
This tells me that CO wants to limit the porting cases getting ahead of the regular applications. This leaves him with 2 months to use up the numbers which is do-able given that all cases are pre-adjudicated and probably stacked according to the PD. It also tells me that the Feb-08 is actually a conservative date even though the phrase used "as far as" in the Fragomen update suggests otherwise.
However what beats me is the sentence "A sustained level of heavy demand could impact the cut-off date at some point during fiscal year 2014."
Another slap in the face .... Again
Sorry for venting.
Oh well! Life goes on. :)
"indiani/Dec2007" will be very dissapointed with this July bulletin. As am disappointed too. There were lots of hopes on this VB, but EB2I have to keep waiting more time I guess. Now I doubt any SO will be applied to EB2I in this FY. If at all if applied in 2 months time PD will hardly cross 2007JAN I guess. Any way we are well practised to sit calm and wait. One thing we need to learn patience is the key to GC.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Dont worry/disappoint Folks !!..
Aug/Sep. Bulletin's will not disappoint surely for EB2I till Feb 2008.
What's in his mind. Is he talking about EB3-I upgrade applicants who have not filed 485 yet?Quote:
Originally Posted by natvyas
Moving the dates in August limits the ability of EB3-I applicants with PD after July 2007 to apply for 485 and get approval before he retrogress the dates again. They will be able to apply for I-485 under EB2 directly.
I think 2012 un predicted demand made him move cautiously this time, kind of not leave any room for changing status to "U".Quote:
Originally Posted by pdmay2008
My belief in Fragomen's update is further strengthened by the movement of WW-EB3 category which has moved to Jan-09 just as mentioned in the update. In addition to that it will stay there per the July VB, which was also mentioned in that update.
Prediction for 2 more months:
"At this time it appears that the availability of “otherwise unused” Employment Second preference numbers will allow for movement of this cut-off date in August and/or September. It is expected that such movement will generate heavy new applicant demand, primarily by those who are upgrading their status from the Employment Third preference category. A sustained level of heavy demand could impact the cut-off date at some point during fiscal year 2014."
No mention of spillovers from any category other than EB2
No mention of how far approximately it can move.
If CO really mentioned something to Fragomen attorneys why not mention that in VB.
This is utter incompetence on their part to run this like they want without any rationale basis.
last year just b'cos of the rapid movements everything got screwed and they want to repeat the same mistake.
This VB not only deeply dissappointed me, it also made me very angry as I can't comprehend the stupid logic they have about not giving even a 3 month chance for first time filers, not capable of organised GC approvals with FIFO.
The accountability is totally absent.
The AILA meeting at the month end is probably only other chance of any further news from CO apart from the actual august and sept bulletins
Never trust politicians and govt officials.Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I am flabbergasted. This is absolutely stupid. I guess CO is making sure that EB2I suffers because of what happened last year(Unfortunately EB2I were issued more visas). This is genuinely bad for all of EB2I. Now I am convinced that PD will reach only Aug 1 2007 and starting Oct 1 2013 will go back even further. This year it stopped at Sept 2004 now after this year it will be same as EB3I and will stay there till EB3I makes good progress. CO in my mind is too concerned about porting. EB2I is screwed for a foreseeable future. Those who got GC last year out of turn are indeed lucky.
With the current state of politics no CIR is ever passing till Obama is the president. So till year 2017 be ready to be waiting for your GCs.
Unused numbers can “fall-down” from E1 to E2 to E3. Unused numbers can “fall-up” from E4 and E5 to E1.Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
It accounts for all fall down from E4, E5 and E1 to E2 and then to E2 India.
Spec, qesehmk, viz, Matt... Any comments ?
Header of the thread updated with VB commentary.
what you have mentioned is the law which is there in every bulletin.Quote:
Originally Posted by natvyas
I am trying to interpret the language specifically used in this bulletin and trying to understand the CO thought process.
I am aware of the fact that the unused visas in various categories will come to EB2I (with exception of of course EB3).
EB2 India: At this time it appears that the availability of “otherwise unused” Employment Second preference numbers will allow for movement of this cut-off date in August and/or September.
CO: I'm still worried how many visas EB1, EB2-WW, EB4 and EB5 might need for the year. I'm going to wait longer before making a move.
Spec: It seems pretty clear that despite the low Trackitt approvals, EB2-I is using at least 285 visas a month. It is even possible EB2-I has already reached the 3,163 limit, or is close to it.
It is expected that such movement will generate heavy new applicant demand, primarily by those who are upgrading their status from the Employment Third preference category.
CO: I'm expecting a lot of porting applications to be approved or adjudicated when I move the dates.
A sustained level of heavy demand could impact the cut-off date at some point during fiscal year 2014.
CO: I'm going to have to retrogress the EB2-I dates several years again when the new FY begins. I thought I would warn you in an obtuse way.
EB3 Worldwide: No additional movement. This cut-off date has advanced 18 months during the past three months. Such rapid movement can be expected to generate a significant amount of new demand, with the impact not being felt for three to five months. Therefore, the cut-off date will be held until it can be determined what level of demand is to be expected, and whether it is likely to be sustained.
CO: I know new demand will be generated from the movement I have made already. Be thankful for it. I also know those lazy ***** at USCIS will take ages to process applications, so I won't see the demand from them for several months. I could move the dates for one more month, but I'm not going to. I'm not going to make the same mistake as last year and have any risk whatsoever of overusing visas. It's safer just to shaft you again.
spec,
Do you think that CO might be seeing plenty of demand in EB1/4/5/WW even now, if he is not so sure b'cos of still heavy demand why would he give feb 2008 dates to Fragomen (if we were to believe thats true- I personally think law firm like fragomen will not post something which they are not sure of )
My attorney said yesterday that she definitely will ask CO ( she believes someone sure would bring the cut off date question ) at AILA at the end of this month.
If he sticks with the same prediction of feb 2008, then I guess he might actually be thinking about moving dates at that time ( aug/sep) , may be he just doesn't like porters consuming any additinal GC's for this fiscal year so he is planning to release it so late that they don't get their GC's this fiscal year. ( I personally do not have anything against porters )
I think on your first point CO I think knows how many visas are available for the year(Otherwise he would not have mentioned 2008 in the conference with Fragoman). He just does not want to give them as he does not want to process any applications than the ones adjudicated and in the queue. If he had moved dates in July then more interfiling applications would have been processed. Since demand is not static he will wait till the end. I think august is going be a wash. September finally there will be movement.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
This is a move to limit porters consuming visas which personally I'm all for. The fundamentals are still the same. The COD date range for me is still Apr to Jun 2008. Of course it could now well be June - Sep 2008 as porting impact will be reduced slightly.
another anxious 30-33 days to go.
when I decided to come to this country in 2000, I had no clue about this whole mess that we are seeing now.
I don't think anyone would have predicted at that time ( 13 yrs ago ) and partly the boom in the IT sector and partly inefficiency of uscis ( then INS ) and labor dept. all added to this rather pathetic condition.
anyone have suggestion about how they plan to kill these anxious coming days
Why would the CO care between someone who ported from EB3 to EB2 or original EB2 filers? I mean he could have always moved it by say 3-6 months to see the response right, but he stayed put at Sept 2004. Is there a possibility that he did not have enough information in time to move the dates?
If we assume Fragomen info if genuine, then he already knows there are enough visas to cover till feb 2008.Quote:
Originally Posted by sandyn16
So apart from stopping new applicants from getting Gc's thhis fiscal year ,I can't see any other logic to wait till aug/sept.
He certainly does not have any data on EB3-I who have priority date after July 2007(they have not filed I-485 yet). He is worried about how much that demand would be. EB3-I applicants before July 2007 have their EADs and some of them are not worried to port and get into faster lane. CO is aware that when he moves dates anything above July 2007 will generate new I-485s demand from EB3-I porters. He is very cautious to move dates to guage the demand. I believe in August bulletin he moves dates to Feb 2008 as he mentioned to Fragomen. All the new I-485s will not become documentarily qualified(so called demand) before August 10th(That's when he releases September Bulletin). And he does not need to take these new I-485s into equation to decide September cutoff date.Quote:
Originally Posted by sandyn16
To decide September cutoff date he will have approximately correct number of unused numbers and demand data. It will be easier for him to decide the further movement at that time.
Need inputs from Gurus: I heard last year or year before that Visa number gets allocated to documentarily qualified applicants in September and GC can be issued in October even if it is new fiscal year and/or dates get retrogressed. Is this true?
I personally don't think CO would care to limit porting. He has enough ready to go demand and is just being cautious. Just an opinion.Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard