Originally Posted by
nishant2200
I think that for Dec VB, we might get lucky, unless 20k people file I-485 in first few days of November. But for January VB, they will have a rough idea of how much a certain amount of move may fetch. And even for November, it is not completely accurate, because some of the guys from July 15th to August 15th would have just got in during the July 2007 fiasco, so hopefully it would be to our advantage, just a little bit.
I would be highly surprised if we get VB after November 7th. Considering there's thanksgiving holidays too, CO might want to give people proper time to start getting their documents and applications ready, as well as his mind would be made up, unless an anamoly like above suggested. Just a counter thought to the proposed Nov 11th.
I also think they are not that much into how many PERM, how many 140 etc, and are just relying on plain old demand grabbing of 485. They might use that (PERM, 140 etc) for a very very high level rough guesstimate.