EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

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Originally Posted by Spectator

It's not unexpected and only for the remainder of the FY.

All of EB1 will become current again from October.

The retrogression will also affect China, since they will also have already exceeded 7% and be relying on FA within EB1. Since Cut Off Dates have already been established in EB4 & EB5, we know those categories should not provide any spare numbers to EB1.

As Suva said, it doesn't affect either EB2 or EB3 FA availability, since there is no provision under the INA for these visas to FU to EB1.

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If EB1I dates are indeed retrogressed/have cut-off in Aug/Sep VB, then it will be very interesting to see what happens next year. Technically CO should then only be allocating the EB1I allocation (approx 2800) until the SO season for FY17 and not allot any FA to EB1I until the SO season. If that does happen then EB1I may see a cut-off date soon after being current in Oct 2016.

The above scenario can lead to EB1I applications reducing as people will not be able to apply concurrently and that might get some relief to EB2I in FY17.

I hope EBIC is choked really badly as it is high time that justice needs to be done. Some users on this forum might find my statement offending but the truth is that EB1C has consistently abused the system in the name of "international managers". The above is my opinion and everyone is entitled to theirs.

The sad part is that truly deserving EB1A and EB1B will also suffer because of the abuse by EB1C.

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Originally Posted by Jagan01

If EB1I dates are indeed retrogressed/have cut-off in Aug/Sep VB, then it will be very interesting to see what happens next year. Technically CO should then only be allocating the EB1I allocation (approx 2800) until the SO season for FY17 and not allot any FA to EB1I until the SO season. If that does happen then EB1I may see a cut-off date soon after being current in Oct 2016.

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Jagan,

I doubt that's what will happen.

With the almost certainty of large numbers of spare visas available as FA within EB1, there's no need to allocate purely against the 7% limits for EB1-C and EB1-I.

CO will use historical data to decide whether a COD is necessary.

That's going to show that ROW/M/P use about 23k EB1 visas per FY, leaving 17k visas available for China and India in EB1 (11k FA).

India and China have used about 19k in each of the last 2 FY. Prior to that, it was below 17k. The numbers for EB1-C/ have risen steadily over the years, whereas ROW/M/P numbers have fallen.

Since EB1 will only have to have been retrogressed once (in FY2016), CO will likely leave the dates Current for FY2017 and only retrogress them in FY2017 if necessary. That's likely to be quite late in the FY again.

If the increased demand in EB1 for India is sustained (or increases further) in FY2017, then CO may have to consider a small sustained retrogression for EB1-C/I in FY2018.

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Originally Posted by Spectator

CO will use historical data to decide whether a COD is necessary.

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CO tried relying on historical data for EB2ROW usage in FY15 and that did not play out well. He ended up over-allocating to EB2I and was aggressive in applying in SO.

He has learnt his lesson and has gone very cautious this year. The same lesson will apply to EB1I as well. I personally think that CO will be less aggressive and apply lesser FA to EB1I in the first 3 quarters and would leave most of the work to be done in the last quarter. If that does happen then it will be too late for EB1I to consume the FA from EB1ROW/M/P and that will be a major relief for EB2I.

I know I am being optimistic. :)

Spec,

I just went to the first page of predictions and looked at your numbers. When you wrote the post you were predicting 7-11k visas for EB2I. Are the numbers still valid? Or are we going to get much less than what you predicted.

Also is your prediction of EB3I going to 2006 still valid.

Many thanks

Iatiam

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Spec,

I just went to the first page of predictions and looked at your numbers. When you wrote the post you were predicting 7-11k visas for EB2I. Are the numbers still valid? Or are we going to get much less than what you predicted.

Also is your prediction of EB3I going to 2006 still valid.

Many thanks

Iatiam

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Iatam,

Absolutely not.

They were initial thoughts from October and are no longer valid. I'll update it to reflect reality.

I thought I had put a warning about the potential (at that time) for EB2-ROW to increase because of the underlying PERM certifications, but I see I did not.

Given I had warned that EB4 use was exploding and that EB1 & EB2 were likely to use close to their allocation, the numbers wouldn't add up to 7-11k anyway. My bad.

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Spec,

I just went to the first page of predictions and looked at your numbers. When you wrote the post you were predicting 7-11k visas for EB2I. Are the numbers still valid? Or are we going to get much less than what you predicted.

Also is your prediction of EB3I going to 2006 still valid.

Many thanks

Iatiam

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can anyone update EB3 predictions? all forums have been silent and understandably so as there is no new info and/or rfes...

Hi Spec,

Please include your predictions for EB3-I also.

Spec,

I see that you have updated the numbers. Thanks.

Is there any logical reason why the visa demands are increasing for every category. EB1 - I understand. EB2 - not sure why, other than the better employment picture. EB4 - did we have too many religious workers trying to get to the US. EB5 - the Chinese stock market crash might be one reason but is the demand increasing this year as well.

Iatiam

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Spec,

I see that you have updated the numbers. Thanks.

Is there any logical reason why the visa demands are increasing for every category. EB1 - I understand. EB2 - not sure why, other than the better employment picture. EB4 - did we have too many religious workers trying to get to the US. EB5 - the Chinese stock market crash might be one reason but is the demand increasing this year as well.

Iatiam

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Iatiam,

EB1 has always been close to using all their numbers and extra visas from FB, EB4 and EB5 have saved retrogression at year end in the past.

Probably the main factor for increased EB2-ROW numbers this FY is the shortening of PERM processing times and OFLC increased productivity.

At the same, ROW itself has, based on average numbers, only contributed a few thousand extra visas from the base allocation. Philippines average contribution is 1,000 and Mexico's about 1,600.

The big contributors in the past were FB, EB4 and EB5. Currently, all of these sources have dried up.

It is also the case that ROW PERM numbers are increasing from the low number they reached in 2010. My personal belief is that a near current date for ROW/Mexico in EB3 will lead to increased numbers of Consular Processed cases and numbers of EB3-Other Worker cases. These are not going to be represented within any Trackitt numbers. Like India, no amount of retrogression will slow applications from EB3-P, due to the large numbers of RN and PT wishing to come to the USA. These are exempt from PERM and will not reflect in those figures.

EB5' s contribution disappeared several years ago. I-526 applications still continue at a high level and the processing time for an I-526 is now 16.4 months. The backlog of I-526 at the end of Q2 was 20,235. At the present I-526 approval % and dependent number, that represents 36.7k immigrant visas in the queue.

The EB4 situation is caused primarily because of the unaccompanied minors crisis on the southern border. These translate to increased Special Immigrant Juvenile (SIJ) cases under EB4. India's use within EB4 is predominantly driven by Other Religious Workers IMO.

The situation will ease somewhat as PERM certifications slow. There have been recent warnings that PERM certification times will increase due to labor shortages at OFLC

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Iatiam,

EB1 has always been close to using all their numbers and extra visas from FB, EB4 and EB5 have saved retrogression at year end in the past.

Probably the main factor for increased EB2-ROW numbers this FY is the shortening of PERM processing times and OFLC increased productivity.

At the same, ROW itself has, based on average numbers, only contributed a few thousand extra visas from the base allocation. Philippines average contribution is 1,000 and Mexico's about 1,600.

The big contributors in the past were FB, EB4 and EB5. Currently, all of these sources have dried up.

It is also the case that ROW PERM numbers are increasing from the low number they reached in 2010. My personal belief is that a near current date for ROW/Mexico in EB3 will lead to increased numbers of Consular Processed cases and numbers of EB3-Other Worker cases. These are not going to be represented within any Trackitt numbers. Like India, no amount of retrogression will slow applications from EB3-P, due to the large numbers of RN and PT wishing to come to the USA. These are exempt from PERM and will not reflect in those figures.

EB5' s contribution disappeared several years ago. I-526 applications still continue at a high level and the processing time for an I-526 is now 16.4 months. The backlog of I-526 at the end of Q2 was 20,235. At the present I-526 approval % and dependent number, that represents 36.7k immigrant visas in the queue.

The EB4 situation is caused primarily because of the unaccompanied minors crisis on the southern border. These translate to increased Special Immigrant Juvenile (SIJ) cases under EB4. India's use within EB4 is predominantly driven by Other Religious Workers IMO.

The situation will ease somewhat as PERM certifications slow. There have been recent warnings that PERM certification times will increase due to labor shortages at OFLC

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Spec,

Thank you for that detailed explanation. If I am reading it correct, the state of US economy only has a minimal impact on SO. One-off, Knightian events have a larger contribution to it. For example, given every thing else being the same, the south border crisis and Chinese stock market crash are not events that happen every day. So do you reckon that the SO would actually increase from these categories in the near future.

Also, do you have any guidance on SO from FB quota?

Iatiam

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Spec,

Thank you for that detailed explanation. If I am reading it correct, the state of US economy only has a minimal impact on SO. One-off, Knightian events have a larger contribution to it. For example, given every thing else being the same, the south border crisis and Chinese stock market crash are not events that happen every day. So do you reckon that the SO would actually increase from these categories in the near future.

Also, do you have any guidance on SO from FB quota?

Iatiam

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The immigration system certainly isn't immune to the state of the US economy. The 2008/2009 crash had a significant effect on PERM certifications at that time for all Countries.

In general however, my personal view is that other events have positively impacted EB2-I in the past and negatively impacted them now as well as a recovery of the economy.

If PERM certifications slow, then it should be beneficial to the SO situation, at least in the short term. That was going to happen anyway, regardless of any OFLC problems. Currently, they are adjudicating cases faster than new applications, resulting in faster adjudication times and a reduction in the backlogs. Underlying that is a general drift upwards of total PERM applications. I'm not sure where that is heading in terms of future consequences.

There should never be any SO from FB to EB. All Countries and Categories are retrogressed in FB. Even if some ever became Current, the SO rules within FB should ensure those visas are used elsewhere within FB. There is some scope within the overall 7% limit to allow greater use in EB, but let's leave that out of the equation. FB-India is so close to using its allocation of FB visas (mainly in FB4) that it isn't really an issue.

These are my personal views as I see the situation. Others, including yourself, may disagree. I fully respect that and wouldn't argue against a contrary opinion. Mine is a necessarily simplistic view of an extremely complicated issue where quality information is a rare thing.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Iatiam,
It is also the case that ROW PERM numbers are increasing from the low number they reached in 2010. My personal belief is that a near current date for ROW/Mexico in EB3 will lead to increased numbers of Consular Processed cases and numbers of EB3-Other Worker cases. These are not going to be represented within any Trackitt numbers. Like India, no amount of retrogression will slow applications from EB3-P, due to the large numbers of RN and PT wishing to come to the USA. These are exempt from PERM and will not reflect in those figures.

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Hi Spec
Thanks for the info.
Can you please throw some light how this will adversely impact SO to EB3-I in FY'16 (only 2 months Aug & sept remain)?
CO has stated "Based on current usage, there should be sufficient available unused EB-3 numbers worldwide to enable moderate forward movement in India EB-3 in the month of September".
What in your opinion would be the movement for EB3-I in FY'16.

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Originally Posted by GCwaiting

Hi Spec
Thanks for the info.
Can you please throw some light how this will adversely impact SO to EB3-I in FY'16 (only 2 months Aug & sept remain)?
CO has stated "Based on current usage, there should be sufficient available unused EB-3 numbers worldwide to enable moderate forward movement in India EB-3 in the month of September".
What in your opinion would be the movement for EB3-I in FY'16.

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I've said many times that I think forecasting EB3 is far more difficult than forecasting EB2. I'm hesitant to reply to this question. Here goes anyway!

At present, Trackitt approvals for EB3-ROW are marginally higher than they were at this time last FY. Currently, there is a small but definite increase in EB3-ROW approvals on Trackitt month on month. The total number for FY2016 is set to match or exceed those seen in FY2015, when EB3-ROW received 17k approvals. It's impossible to predict Mexico or Philippines, but it's fairly safe to assume that EB3-P will see a large number of approvals, limited only by use in other categories.

Trackitt is not going to capture any increase in Consular Processed cases IMO - those people do not frequent Trackitt in great numbers. So there is a possibility that the near Current status of EB3-ROW has increased the number of CP approvals. The PERM data suggests an increase in EB3-Other Worker cases where the beneficiary is abroad. Though these are limited to 5k per year out of the total EB3 allocation, in FY2015 only about 2k were used. ROW used about 1k and Mexico 0.3k. There's plenty of room for more approvals.

CO has the most information. He has predicted movement of EB3-I to "early" 2005 by the end of the FY. Although CO has historically been very conservative, that is still probably the best data point. There's simply no reliable information available. Fairly soon, it will just become too late to issue RFE for later dates and process them within the current FY. If the dates were set to move beyond March 2005, then the following months have very few cases and just a few hundred could move the dates to "mid" 2005 and 1k could move the dates to "late" 2005.

Having said the above, I have very little confidence in it. Past history has seen very late movements for EB3-I and the numbers required to make quite large movements of the COD are very moderate.

Frankly, it could be anything, which I know is not a satisfactory reply.

Thanks Spec,

Thanks for answering. Hope dates move at lest another 6 to 8 months.

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Originally Posted by Spectator

At present, Trackitt approvals for EB3-ROW are marginally higher than they were at this time last FY. Currently, there is a small but definite increase in EB3-ROW approvals on Trackitt month on month. The total number for FY2016 is set to match or exceed those seen in FY2015, when EB3-ROW received 17k approvals. It's impossible to predict Mexico or Philippines, but it's fairly safe to assume that EB3-P will see a large number of approvals, limited only by use in other categories.

Trackitt is not going to capture any increase in Consular Processed cases IMO - those people do not frequent Trackitt in great numbers. So there is a possibility that the near Current status of EB3-ROW has increased the number of CP approvals. The PERM data suggests an increase in EB3-Other Worker cases where the beneficiary is abroad. Though these are limited to 5k per year out of the total EB3 allocation, in FY2015 only about 2k were used. ROW used about 1k and Mexico 0.3k. There's plenty of room for more approvals.

CO has the most information. He has predicted movement of EB3-I to "early" 2005 by the end of the FY. Although CO has historically been very conservative, that is still probably the best data point. There's simply no reliable information available. Fairly soon, it will just become too late to issue RFE for later dates and process them within the current FY. If the dates were set to move beyond March 2005, then the following months have very few cases and just a few hundred could move the dates to "mid" 2005 and 1k could move the dates to "late" 2005.

Having said the above, I have very little confidence in it. Past history has seen very late movements for EB3-I and the numbers required to make quite large movements of the COD are very moderate.

Frankly, it could be anything, which I know is not a satisfactory reply.

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Thanks for your explanation. I was thinking about this.
Yes the approvals this year for EB3-ROW could be more than that of last year. Last year almost 4K Visas of EB3-I got diverted to EB2-I. This year that possibility is not there.
So the total visas to EB3-I could still be the same as last year even though we have less visas available in EB3-ROW for spillover.

Can the have the same Visas to EB3-I as last year ?
What are your thoughts here ?

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Originally Posted by GCwaiting

Thanks for your explanation. I was thinking about this.
Yes the approvals this year for EB3-ROW could be more than that of last year. Last year almost 4K Visas of EB3-I got diverted to EB2-I. This year that possibility is not there.
So the total visas to EB3-I could still be the same as last year even though we have less visas available in EB3-ROW for spillover.

Can the have the same Visas to EB3-I as last year ?
What are your thoughts here ?

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The rfes are still not coming.I am thinking that CO prediction will prove true of early 2005 date

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Originally Posted by asaxena2

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The rfes are still not coming.I am thinking that CO prediction will prove true of early 2005 date

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waiting to hear if YTEleven has anything to say...

Let us see , what the visa bulletin will tell us ?

August Bulletin is out..

EB1 India 01JAN10
EB2 India 15NOV04
EB3 India 08NOV04

EB1-EB2-EB3 China 01JAN10

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Originally Posted by EB2IndSep09

August Bulletin is out..

EB1 India 01JAN10
EB2 India 15NOV04
EB3 India 08NOV04

EB1-EB2-EB3 China 01JAN10

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Personally, I think the other movements and potential trends described in the VB are more revealing:

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D. OVERSUBSCRIPTION OF THE INDIA EMPLOYMENT-BASED FOURTH (E4) AND CERTAIN RELIGIOUS WORKERS (SR) PREFERENCE CATEGORIES

As readers were advised in the May Visa Bulletin number 92, there has been extremely high demand in the E4 and SR categories, primarily for Juvenile Court Dependent cases filed with U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services for adjustment of status. Pursuant to the Immigration and Nationality Act, this has now required the implementation of E4 and SR Application Final Action Dates for India, which has reached its per-country limit. This action will allow the Department to hold worldwide number use within the maximum allowed under the FY-2016 annual limits.
The India E4 and SR dates will become CURRENT for October.

E. OVERSUBSCRIPTION OF THE CHINA AND INDIA EMPLOYMENT-BASED FIRST (E1) PREFERENCE CATEGORIES

Readers were advised in item F of the July Visa Bulletin number 94, that it would be necessary to impose a date for these two countries no later than September. The continued high level of demand for E1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for August. This has been done in an attempt to hold number use within the Worldwide E1 annual limit. The E1 date for these two countries will once again become CURRENT for October, the first month of fiscal year 2017.

F. OVERSUBSCRIPTION OF THE WORLDWIDE, EL SALVADOR, GUATEMALA, HONDURAS, MEXICO, AND PHILIPPINES EMPLOYMENT-BASED SECOND (E2) PREFERENCE CATEGORIES

Readers were advised in item F of the July Visa Bulletin number 94, that it was likely that a date would be imposed by September. Continued high demand for numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for August. This action has been required to hold number use within the Worldwide E2 annual limit. The date for these countries will once again become CURRENT for October, the first month of fiscal year 2017.

G. VISA AVAILABILITY

Number use in the Worldwide F2A and F3 preference categories has increased dramatically, and is quickly approaching those fiscal year 2016 annual limits. Therefore, it may be necessary to retrogress those final application dates for the month of September. Any retrogression in the F2A and F3 preference categories would be temporary, with those dates returning to the latest reached during FY-2016 when the October dates are announced.

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The retrogression of EB2-WW to 01FEB14 seems to seal the deal about any possible SO to EB2-I from any source in FY2016.

The warnings about various FB categories suggests that CO will, again, properly use the full FB allocation and there will be virtually no spare visas available to EB in FY2017.

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Personally, I think the other movements and potential trends described in the VB are more revealing:


The retrogression of EB2-WW to 01FEB14 seems to seal the deal about any possible SO to EB2-I from any source in FY2016.

The warnings about various FB categories suggests that CO will, again, properly use the full FB allocation and there will be virtually no spare visas available to EB in FY2017.

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So, I guess that's it for US immigration for the rest of us. Those who have gotten their GCs, good for them. The rest of us in 2008, 2009 and beyond who do not even have EADs yet should Just move on. Those dates are not going to see the light of day for a long long time. Would you agree?

Q, just checking to see when will the forecast on whereismygc be updated?

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Originally Posted by derekjbj

Q, just checking to see when will the forecast on whereismygc be updated?

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The whole system has been rigged especially in the last one year. No meaningful data, so even if there is spillover they would retrogress the date!

Why EB3-I is not moved? That means no SO for EB3-I?

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Originally Posted by jimmys

Why EB3-I is not moved? That means no SO for EB3-I?

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Because as per rule, someone from ROW who has filed in 2015 should get GC first than someone from India who has filed in 2004. All in the name of "diversity".

The faster PERM certifications sealed the deal this year for EB3I. The only question is, will EB3ROW be able to sustain this demand now that PERMs stuck in the pipeline are cleared? If Indians take around 75% of H1Bs, where will all the EB3ROWs continue to come from?

Not to distract any one from the disappointing VB, but here is an interesting piece on Hillary's position on immigration,
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/07/12/the-t...just-said.html

Essentially Silicon valley needs more tech slaves and she will not allow even that, until all the illegal immigrants are "regularized". If she becomes the president, it will be more of the same Obama's dysfunctional stance.

Rejoice!

Iatiam

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Not to distract any one from the disappointing VB, but here is an interesting piece on Hillary's position on immigration,
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/07/12/the-t...just-said.html

Essentially Silicon valley needs more tech slaves and she will not allow even that, until all the illegal immigrants are "regularized". If she becomes the president, it will be more of the same Obama's dysfunctional stance.

Rejoice!

Iatiam

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Democrat's policy is going to be the same till election. Because they want latino votes. But once elected, they may change the stance. I think Hillary is much more sensible person in the lines of her husband. Anyways under GOP nobody is going to get anything. So I still support democrats as far as immigration goes.

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Originally Posted by gcq

Democrat's policy is going to be the same till election. Because they want latino votes. But once elected, they may change the stance. I think Hillary is much more sensible person in the lines of her husband. Anyways under GOP nobody is going to get anything. So I still support democrats as far as immigration goes.

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GCQ,

How long do you think it will be before Hillary will change her stance and support high-skilled immigration? The election is in Nov 2016 and she will be in office in January 2017. I am of course assuming a high chance of her becoming the president.

We can perhaps re-visit this thread and see how it went.

BTW, here is a question that was asked in Quora, a seemingly good website. The question was asked to Ms. Clinton as part of her "session" where she answers question posted earlier.

https://www.quora.com/Inhumanely-lon...n-do-to-fix-it

Interestingly, she chose not to answer it.


Regards

Iatiam

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iatiam

GCQ,

How long do you think it will be before Hillary will change her stance and support high-skilled immigration? The election is in Nov 2016 and she will be in office in January 2017. I am of course assuming a high chance of her becoming the president.

We can perhaps re-visit this thread and see how it went.

BTW, here is a question that was asked in Quora, a seemingly good website. The question was asked to Ms. Clinton as part of her "session" where she answers question posted earlier.

https://www.quora.com/Inhumanely-lon...n-do-to-fix-it

Interestingly, she chose not to answer it.


Regards

Iatiam

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I don't think anything will happen irrespective of who comes to power. I think Q has been always right that the best chance is to fight it in the court arguing discrimination. The question is who will take up this challenge. It may be a long shot but I think the best.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iatiam

GCQ,

How long do you think it will be before Hillary will change her stance and support high-skilled immigration? The election is in Nov 2016 and she will be in office in January 2017. I am of course assuming a high chance of her becoming the president.

We can perhaps re-visit this thread and see how it went.

BTW, here is a question that was asked in Quora, a seemingly good website. The question was asked to Ms. Clinton as part of her "session" where she answers question posted earlier.

https://www.quora.com/Inhumanely-lon...n-do-to-fix-it

Interestingly, she chose not to answer it.


Regards

Iatiam

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From what we have seen so far, I don't see how things can improve on immigration front. Democrats had majority in both Senate and House, they didn't even try to fix immigration. Obama care was their priority. Then we had Dem president with GOP house and senate. Again nothing happened. The only thing that is left to try is GOP president with GOP house and Senate. With Trump being GOP candidate and the right wing tilt of GOP, I don't see Trump becoming president. Is hope lost completely ? No. Like cricket, anything is possible in politics. Hillary is smart, also she is the wife of a president who gave us AC21. So I have hope. No idea how soon it is going to happen or whether it will ever happen.

Since a democratic WH, house and senate didn't work, I think I am ready for a republican WH, house and senate. Absolutely not a fan of Trump at all. But hey, what's there to lose other than what we are facing right now.

The biggest difference between the current administration and the previous ones is that the previous one's had an inclination to work with congress to get things done. So President Bush brought forth the last effort in 2007,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compre...rm_Act_of_2007

At that time democrats were holding both house and senate.

When President Clinton signed AC21 to law, republicans were holding both house and senate.

Part of being a leader is willingness to work with both sides of the aisle. Unfortunately, we haven't seen it with this administration.

I have seen a video in which Immigration lawyer (Rahul reddy ) from Reddy & Neumann, P.C seen as pooling H1B employers (collecting money ) and encouraging them to fight against immigration reforms. This appears to be one of the reasons why USCIS proposed - Filing dates have gone back in infamous October 2015 Visa Bulletin.

Please see if this is legal or not.
several people are adversely effected by this process.
Please share this ...

https://youtu.be/uWRzl6_GARQ

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iatiam

Since a democratic WH, house and senate didn't work, I think I am ready for a republican WH, house and senate. Absolutely not a fan of Trump at all. But hey, what's there to lose other than what we are facing right now.

The biggest difference between the current administration and the previous ones is that the previous one's had an inclination to work with congress to get things done. So President Bush brought forth the last effort in 2007,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compre...rm_Act_of_2007

At that time democrats were holding both house and senate.

When President Clinton signed AC21 to law, republicans were holding both house and senate.

Part of being a leader is willingness to work with both sides of the aisle. Unfortunately, we haven't seen it with this administration.

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Trump will do what he likes; he won't work with either dems and reps

Anyone saw this video ? please see this video and see how greedy companies & lawyers trying to stop/delay immigration reforms. specifically new filing date

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Originally Posted by tatikonda

I have seen a video in which Immigration lawyer (Rahul reddy ) from Reddy & Neumann, P.C seen as pooling H1B employers (collecting money ) and encouraging them to fight against immigration reforms. This appears to be one of the reasons why USCIS proposed - Filing dates have gone back in infamous October 2015 Visa Bulletin.

Please see if this is legal or not.
several people are adversely effected by this process.
Please share this ...

https://youtu.be/uWRzl6_GARQ

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Hi everyone - Though I have been a regular visitor of Q blog, I have always refrained from posting on this forum as my prediction skills are not good. I thought I will register today and post my thoughts here as I feel very bad for whats going on in Immigration realm, especially EB2. Current situation for EB2 applicants is much worse than what a Criminal OR an Illegal Immigrant goes through in this country. They atleast know that they have done something wrong and are prepared to pay the price. But what EB2 is going through is unprecedented and if am not wrong this started from 2014 onwards. Though I was lucky to scrape thru in 2013 window to get my GC, MY wife is still stuck with a 2010 Feb PD. Even after living in this country for 15+ years I am still made to watch for Visa bulletin every month. I know I am in a better situation than some of my other friends who missed the boat, but my heart goes out to everyone who is looking at this current situation. Back in 2013 we atleast had the hope that the dates will move atleast a year every year, but whats we are seeing now is a 1 month movement or maybe even less than that every year. Someone on this forum put it the right way "Is this the end of US Immigration for all ?" . I personally do not think so. We software folks from India are smart, no question about that and cud do a bit more, I am ready to pitch in if anyone has any ideas. I personally feel that filing a mass lawsuit fighting this discrimination and highlighting the things that have gone wrong earlier might help us here. Also, as someone else on this forum said, I believe Hillary is smart to fix things and hope Dems control both the House and Senate to end this nonsense.

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Originally Posted by tatikonda

Anyone saw this video ? please see this video and see how greedy companies & lawyers trying to stop/delay immigration reforms. specifically new filing date

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This video is no longer available and taken out because of copy right issues.

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Originally Posted by srimurthy

This video is no longer available and taken out because of copy right issues.

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It's available under different user names.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EVxXqAi-y3c

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Originally Posted by smuggymba

It's available under different user names.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EVxXqAi-y3c

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Looks like this is not the correct video, the correct one should have the Rahul's presentation on the impact of the original I-140 EAD to the employers and how to lobby/screw up the rule.

Looks like he removed the video every where on the web, If any body has it, please upload and share it.

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Originally Posted by Raj0687

Looks like this is not the correct video, the correct one should have the Rahul's presentation on the impact of the original I-140 EAD to the employers and how to lobby/screw up the rule.

Looks like he removed the video every where on the web, If any body has it, please upload and share it.

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Everyone knows now so it doesn't matter. Now it's time to update Itellisofttech and Rahul Reddy's reviews on google. check those out and we should add more.

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Originally Posted by smuggymba

Everyone knows now so it doesn't matter. Now it's time to update Itellisofttech and Rahul Reddy's reviews on google. check those out and we should add more.

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Sorry can you elaborate that? I completely missed this conversation.