Printable View
On a slightly different note, do you guys think that the # of approved EB2 I140 applicants discontinuiing their GC/I485 process in the same category is non-negligible (with probable reasons being getting approved in EB1 category, leaving US, etc). I personally know of a couple of EB2-I applicants who had approved I140's but also applied in EB1A category and have already got their I485 approvals. But, I am not sure how significant this number will be in the overall pool.
Thanks!
That will be handful! in my guesstimate, EB2 to EB1 upgrades are less than 50 in number.Quote:
Originally Posted by pch053
ROW PERM Certifications (FY/CY Matrix)
- PD -- FY-2007 -- FY-2008 -- FY-2009 -- FY-2010 - Q1&Q2-2011 -- CY Total
2005 ---2,318 -----186 --------21 ----------12 ---------1 ---------2,538
2006 --24,695 -----754 -------254 ----------70 ---------4 --------25,777
2007 --26,680 --14,473 -----1,661 -------1,523 --------44 --------44,381
2008 --- N/A ---13,895 ----14,059 ------ 6,574 -----2,451 --------36,979
2009 --- N/A ----- N/A ---------8 ------21,199 -------737 --------21,944
2010 --- N/A ----- N/A -------N/A -------7,877 -----9,232 --------17,109
2011 --- N/A ----- N/A -------N/A -------N/A -------2,811 --------14,387
Total -53,693 --29,308 ----16,003 ------37,255 ----15,280
Columns show FY PERM approvals, rows show PD by CY.
As we can see ROW filings as well as certifications peaked in 2007 and saw bottom in 2009. Since we only have Q1&Q2 FY2011 data, not sure how many more ROW PD 2010 are pending at DOL as of Dec 2010.
Veni
Excellent work. Now this is where trackitt is extremely useful. Here are some findings from trackitt relative to ROW pending/approved ratio. These are very rough calculations .... so don't jump on me :-)
2009 - 20%.
2010 - 20%
2011 YTD - 50%
2011 YoY volume for NEW PERM cases - 10% down.
So this is how many all ROW PERM cases stand today (based on above findings and the data you provided).
2009 = 5000
2010 = 3000
2011 = 16000
---------------
So total additional ROW PERM cases that DoL can process if they want to = 24000
Add the 8000 they already have by now. So total = 32000.
Of this assume 50% is EB2 (spec teddy and others check this assumption in particular) = 16000
This translates to approx 35K.
So if DoL wants to ... they can actually go ahead and process enough ROW PERMs to utilize all of EB2 ROW quota this year itself.
If this happens, then EB2IC is at the mercy of EB1 and EB5 and the dates would range between Sep 06 and Dec 06.
However the more likely scenario is that PERM approvals could be in the neighborhood of 30K...and then not all of them (i mean whoever from EB2 catgory) will be able to file and get a number this year itself. So EB2 ROW should give about 8K and EB2IC should be around Feb-Apr 2007.
Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
Veni / Q - excellent work guys! I would say that given this statement in the last visa bulletin : "Based on current levels of demand, there will be otherwise unused numbers in the Employment First and Second preferences", it is safe to assume ROW will provide spillover to EB2 IC. So 8-19k sounds v reasonable.
@veni /spec- Great work and thanks for the compilation.
@q - "2011 YoY volume for NEW PERM cases - 10% down." this trend bears quite a close correlation to Trackitt where the current ratio between 2011 and 2010 is 86% but its accelerating fast (Refer analysis from Spec). Now the idea of classifying perms as 50% EB2 and the rest of the 50% as ROW is actually a big assumption this is where I would say Trackitt percentage reduction works more simplistically especially for EB2 ROW. @spec I noticed that the data for Mexico and Philippines on Trackitt even though very low kind of correlates well with EB2 Row in general. By 86% we would arrive at ~ 11K SOFAD from EB2 ROW something quite similar to last year. There are a few things to note even though perm is faster now the I140 approvals are taking 8 months now this will help us however a note of caution about Trackitt they have started a paid section on the website for data analytics and many people are not enthused by this, this in fact will cause people not to enter their case details so Trackitt will not be reliable further down.
Just some questions about the analysis.
There is a statement:
That doesn't seem to be the case on a purely YOY comparison. Here are the comparative numbers for FY2010 Q1 and FY2011 Q1.Quote:
2011 YoY volume for NEW PERM cases - 10% down
Country/Group – FY2010 Q1 – FY2011 Q1 - % Change
MEXICO------------ 563 ------- 710 ------ 26.11%
PHILIPPINES------- 578 ------- 746 ------ 29.07%
ROW------------- 5,363 ----- 6,596 ------ 22.99%
Grand Total ---- 6,504 ----- 8,052 ------ 23.80%
I've been holding off to see the FY2011 Q2 figures, because I wanted to see if there was a similar pattern to last year. The table below shows the approvals by FY quarter.
DOS NAME ----- FY.Qtr - No. ----- %
MEXICO --------- Q1 ---- 563 -- 17.03%
---------------- Q2 -- 1,081 -- 32.70%
---------------- Q3 ---- 999 -- 30.22%
---------------- Q4 ---- 663 -- 20.05%
MEXICO Total --------- 3,306 - 100.00%
PHILIPPINES ---- Q1 ---- 578 -- 17.49%
---------------- Q2 -- 1,184 -- 35.82%
---------------- Q3 ---- 934 -- 28.26%
---------------- Q4 ---- 609 -- 18.43%
PHILIPPINES Total ---- 3,305 - 100.00%
ROW ------------ Q1 -- 5,363 -- 17.50%
---------------- Q2 - 11,074 -- 36.14%
---------------- Q3 -- 8,612 -- 28.10%
---------------- Q4 -- 5,595 -- 18.26%
ROW Total ----------- 30,644 - 100.00%
ROW-M-P
Q1 ------------------- 6,504 -- 17.46%
Q2 ------------------ 13,339 -- 35.80%
Q3 ------------------ 10,545 -- 28.30%
Q4 ------------------- 6,867 -- 18.43%
Grand Total --------- 37,255
As you can see from the table above, Q1 had the lowest % of PERM approvals, with a substantial increase in Q2 and Q3.
Changing factors may mean that doesn't happen, but it would be nice to have some confirmation of that.
I think PERM approvals from FY2011 Q2 would also stand a fair chance of being approved for EB2-ROW-M-P who file concurrent I-140/I-485 applications.
As usual, I am pretty cautious.
Spec
You seem to have missed 2 things:
1. I used CY data from trackitt.
2. I used filings as opposed to approvals. (the 10% down statement..)
And finally mind you ... those are back of the napkin calculations... to get our heads around the significant of what veni produced.
Now commenting on what you wrote below .. I would watch not just YoY increase or decrease ... but where the increase is coming from. e.g. in this case ... if 2010 Q1 had an artificial low rate of approval followed by surge ... that in itself makes in YoY increase in Q1 of 2011 not so worrisome. Right?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
This should be higher percentage! i am tryung to get monthly breakdown to figureout EB1 case, we know that they are decreased by 60-70%, which resulted in higher EB2%
Quote:
Originally Posted by vishnu
Vishnu,
I am getting little un easy looking at ROW PERM, i will throw some numbers for discussion later in the day.
Please see my comments above, will be back with numbers.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Thanks for the reply. You made it clear they were "back of the envelope" calcs.
It is getting quite difficult to keep up with the different time scales used, so apologies for not reading carefully enough.
Not worrisome if the surge is not repeated! There is a big IF in that statement. Do we know whether Q1 2010 was low?
The same Low, High, High, Low pattern was also seen in FY2009 for Q1-Q4. Q1 FY2010 was very big compared to Q4 FY2009.
I am not criticizing, or disagreeing for that matter, just emphasizing why I am so keen to see the Q2 2011 PERM figures!
I do think it will work out - I just want confirmation.
Spec
I do not know whether 2010 Q1 was low. I said it looking at Veni's approval table. If you look at it ... you can clear see the years when PERM backlog accumulated and years when it was cleared.
To be honest ... USCIS and other agencies have the means to execute any policy that they want. So I wouldn't double guess ROW's ability to fully utilize its quota this year too. Lucky us ... EB1 and EB5 are there to help!
p.s. - To be honest ... this whole calculations based predictions is something we started last year ... but I think we are taking it a bit too far. Sometimes it is best to sit back and let new data come out before we change our thinking!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Veni,Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
The above table is simply amazing. I have a favor to ask of you. Could you please build similar table each for India and China? If its already been done could you please let me know the link?
Thanks!
Kd2008,Quote:
Originally Posted by kd2008
Yes, It is coming later in the day. :)
Awesome! Also Q2 2011 PERM data is now available here:Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
http://www.foreignlaborcert.doleta.g...rterlydata.cfm
It would be super great if you are able to include it too.
Q,Spec,Teddy and others
Below is the monthly approval breakdown of PERM certifications & i140 receipts for FY 2009, FY 2010 and Q1&Q2-2011, I am trying to sort out the EB1 & ROW EB2 scenario
- Month -- ROW(2&3) ---EBI(2&3) ---EBC(2&3) --Monthly Total-- i140 Receipts
Oct-08 ------897 --------649 ---------156 ---------1,702 -------3,140(Estimated)
Nov-08 ------508 --------481 ----------83 ---------1,072 -------3,140(Estimated)
Dec-08 ------194 ---------87 ----------13 -----------294 -------4,161
Jan-09 ----1,724 ----- 1,104 ---------246 ---------3,074 -------3,140
Feb-09 ----1,115 --------719 ---------164 ---------1,998 -------3,464
Mar-09 ----2,267 ------1,425 ---------272 ---------3,964 -------4,266
Apr-09-- --4,616 ------3,012 ---------559 ---------8,187 -------4,505
May-09 ----2,326 ------1,595 ---------312 ---------4,233 -------5,840
Jun-09-----1,012 ------1,249 ---------133 ---------2,394 -------6,827
Jul-09 -------21 ----------4 -----------4 ------------29 -------5,877
Aug-09 ------248 --------213 ----------37 -----------498 -------4,505
Sep-09 ----1,075 --------849 ---------133 ---------2,057 -------4,129
Total ----16,003 -----11,387 -------2,112 --------29,502 ------52,994
Oct-09 ----2,041 ------1,519 ---------264 ---------3,824 -------4,566
Nov-09 ----1,970 ------1,371 ---------237 ---------3,578 -------3,901
Dec-09 ----2,493 ------1,640 ---------263 ---------4,396 -------4,377
Jan-10 ----3,279 ------2,216 ---------308 ---------5,803 -------4,108
Feb-10 ----4,464 ------2,540 ---------499 ---------7,503 -------4,969
Mar-10 ----5,596 ------3,683 ---------571 ---------9,850 -------7,526
Apr-10 ----2,744 ------2,096 ---------264 ---------5,104 -------7,762
May-10 ----4,455 ------3,706 ---------486 ---------8,647 -------7,795
Jun-10 ----3,346 ------2,707 ---------365 ---------6,418 -------8,699
Jul-10 ----2,913 ------3,235 ---------336 ---------6,484 -------7,130
Aug-10 ----2,198 ------2,558 ---------287 ---------5,043 -------8,766
Sep-10 ----1,756 ------1,659 ---------172 ---------3,587 -------7,721
Total ----37,255 -----28,930 -------4,052 --------70,237 ------77,280
Oct-10 ----1,940 ------2,136 ---------231 ---------4,307 -------7,442
Nov-10 ----2,796 ------3,045 ---------350 ---------6,191 -------7,839
Dec-10 ----3,316 ------4,118 ---------423 ---------7,857 -------5,161
Jan-11 ----2,761 ------3,333 ---------447 ---------6,541 -------6,056
Feb-11 ----2,546 ------3,268 ---------383 ---------6,197 -------6,859
Mar-11 ----1,921 ------1,954 ---------279 ---------4,154 -------6,672(Estimated)
Total ----15,280 -----17,854 -------2,113 --------35,274 ------40,029
NOTE: Since i do not have data for Oct08-Nov08 & Mar11 i140 receipts, i extrapolated the data. Also PERM certification to i140 receipt there will be time lag but we are only
taking the rolling window so the numbers before and the numbers after will cancel the effect. And also I140 Receipts ~= PERM approvals +EB1i140 (since EB2-NIW % is very less)
From FY 2009 data EB1 i140 Receipts = 52,994 - 29,502 = 23,494 (FY 2009 EB1485 approvals = 40,979, translates to 18,627 EB1-i140)
Considering higher EB1-i140 denial rate(~15-20%?) the numbers almost match for FY2009
From FY 2010 data EB1 i140 Receipts = 77,280 - 70,237 = 7,043 (FY 2010 EB1485 approvals = 41,026, translates to 18,648 EB1-i140)
This translates to 70% drop in EB1(i140) applications from 2009 to 2010.
From FY 2011(Q1+Q2) data EB1 i140 Receipts = 40,029 - 35,274 = 4,755 - This translates to 60% drop in EB1 compared to 2009
and we can see huge jump in PERM cases all across the board, averaging about 6k per-month from Q1&Q2 2011 !
But the question i am not finding answer is,
If EB1 (i140)dropped by 70% from FY 2009 to FY 2010 then how come EB1 i485 approvals in 2010 are higher than in 2009?
FY 2010:
ROW,M&P EB2(i485) approvals = 27,406 ( = 12,520 (i140/PERM certifications))
ROW,M&P PERM certifications = 37,255
Subtracting EB2 PERM approvals(=i140) from the total leaves us with(=ROW EB3?)=24,735 ,if this is correct means ROW,M&P EB2 = 33% of ROW,M&P PERM approvals?
Veni,
It simply shows how unreliable USCIS data really is! :-)
kd2008,
Looks its not ready down load yet!
I can incorporate it to my table once i am able to download.
Thanks
Kd2008,
:)
Let's see what the experts to say!
Veni
Once again good job. Your other format was great. Is it possible to keep it same and incorporate Q2 labor data?
Regarding your question below ... I ahve the same question. Teh answer it seems is ... that receipt of I-140 and approval of 485 are time lagged. So although 2010 saw less receipts ... it could still be hit with 2009 unadjudicated 485s.
p.s. - a Minor correction / question. Wouldn't EB4-5 also file I-140? So the difference is really EB1-4-5. Right?
Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
For EB-5 and 4 there is no I-140 filing. EB-5 does I-536 and EB-4 does I-360.
KD Thanks for clarifying.Quote:
Originally Posted by kd2008
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Kd2008 is correct, Only EB1-3 need i140. 2011Q2PERM link is not working, will update the table once i am able download the data.
As far as your answer, we are taking the rolling window. For example 10-01-2010 inventory show about 8k EB1485 pending (=3.5k EB1-i140) these are FY 2010 application but will be adjudicated in FY 2011. We can expect the same number from FY 2009 to FY 2010 and FY 2008 to FY 2009 and the net effect is neutral! Since EB1 is always current this number shouldn't be high.
Even if we off sett 4k EB1-i140 for this, still there is a huge gap between EB1 approvals and EB1485 approvals in FY 2010??
Not sure this is pure coincidence or what? but always similar posts pop up at this blog right after we post here. They broke-it down to VB cut-off dates for each month!
Note: We posted PWMB for PD2007 here on April 25,2011, and their post is dated April 28, 2011.:)
Immitation is the best form of flattery.
There is another chinese blog mittabs or something. They used to copy and publish the entire header from our thread each time I updated the header. So that's good. One can complain that one receive the credit or mention somewhere. But I can live with it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
I've seen that forum, mitbbs. It actually makes interesting reading when you combine it with google translate.
Just today morning, when I looked at the us-non-immigrants, I started wondering if I am dealing with the one and same person on both sites, but then the numbers as well as approach to presenting the results are quite different. It could be mere coincidence too that a few have decided at the same time to look into the perm data for more insight. Good Day.
kd2008,Quote:
Originally Posted by kd2008
Here you go.
INDIA ---- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1 -- CY Total
2005 -------- 393 ------ 27 ------- 5 ------- 1 ---------- 0 ------- 426
2006 ----- 11,461 ----- 108 ------ 54 ------ 11 ---------- 1 ---- 11,635
2007 ----- 12,719 --- 8,335 ----- 962 --- 1,005 --------- 25 ---- 23,046
2008 ---------- 0 --- 8,099 -- 10,358 --- 3,702 -------- 679 ---- 22,838
2009 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 15,054 --------- 92 ---- 15,154
2010 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 9,157 ------ 8,502 ---- 17,659
Total ---- 24,573 -- 16,569 -- 11,387 -- 28,930 ------ 9,299 ---- 90,758
CHINA ---- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1 -- CY Total
2005 -------- 186 ------- 8 ------- 0 ------- 0 ---------- 0 ------- 194
2006 ------ 3,053 ------ 39 ------ 16 ------- 3 ---------- 0 ----- 3,111
2007 ------ 3,607 --- 1,916 ----- 179 ----- 198 ---------- 3 ----- 5,903
2008 ---------- 0 --- 1,365 --- 1,915 ----- 666 -------- 109 ----- 4,055
2009 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 2 --- 2,169 ---------- 9 ----- 2,180
2010 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 1,016 -------- 883 ----- 1,899
Total ----- 6,846 --- 3,328 --- 2,112 --- 4,052 ------ 1,004 ---- 17,342
Ch & In. - FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1 -- CY Total
2005 -------- 579 ------ 35 ------- 5 ------- 1 ---------- 0 ------- 620
2006 ----- 14,514 ----- 147 ------ 70 ------ 14 ---------- 1 ---- 14,746
2007 ----- 16,326 -- 10,251 --- 1,141 --- 1,203 --------- 28 ---- 28,949
2008 ---------- 0 --- 9,464 -- 12,273 --- 4,368 -------- 788 ---- 26,893
2009 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------ 10 -- 17,223 -------- 101 ---- 17,334
2010 ---------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 -- 10,173 ------ 9,385 ---- 19,558
Total ---- 31,419 -- 19,897 -- 13,499 -- 32,982 ----- 10,303 --- 108,100
Hope that is what you wanted.
Here's the breakdown for Approved cases:
Country/Grp - 2011 Q1 -- 2011 Q2 -- 2011 H1 -- 2010 H1
CHINA --------- 1,006 ---- 1,109 - -- 2,115 ---- 2,142
INDIA --------- 9,275 ---- 8,555 --- 17,830 --- 12,969
MEXICO ---------- 709 ------ 661 -- - 1,370 ---- 1,644
PHILIPPINES ----- 745 ------ 501 - -- 1,246 ---- 1,762
ROW ----------- 6,577 ---- 6,066 --- 12,643 --- 16,437
Grand Total -- 18,312 --- 16,892 --- 35,204 --- 34,954
Total approvals are similar to last year, but India represents a bigger %.
Spec
Don't you think that's very strong demand for ROW+M+P EB2?
As you said earlier .. I would be more cautious than optimistic.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Since you ask, frankly it worries me - a lot.
Knowing that there is a lag time from PERM approval to I-140 and I-485 approval, here is the situation if we took PERM approvals for the last half of FY2010 and the first half of FY2011.
County/Grp - 2010 H2 -- 2011 H1 - Rolling Yr
CHINA -------- 1,910 ---- 2,115------- 4,025
INDIA ------- 15,961 --- 17,830------ 33,791
MEXICO ------- 1,662 ---- 1,370 ------ 3,032
PHILIPPINES -- 1,543 ---- 1,246------- 2,789
ROW --------- 14,207 --- 12,643------ 26,850
TOTAL ------- 35,283 --- 35,204------ 70,487
ROW-M-P ----- 17,412--- 15,259 ------ 32,671
It only gets worse if the lag is made 9 months.
County/Grp - Q2-4 2010 -- Q1 2011 -- Rolling Yr
ROW-M-P ------- 30,751 ---- 8,031 ------ 38,782
At the moment, I can't understand why Trackitt would not reflect such high numbers. Maybe I am missing something.
Spec
Trackitt is in line with this trend in its PERM tracker.
Teddy keeps looking at the 485 tracker which shows YoY reduction in approvals. Teddy correct me if i am wrong.
I am feeling that with this trend EB2 ROW will yield the same numbers as last year (do you remember what that was?).
So if there were to be any upside to last year it must come from EB1. Of that 12K almost 6-7K will go towards covering hte quota reduction this year. But that still leaves 5K extra compared to last years SOFAD. Last year total NET SOFAD to EB2IC was 27K? Is that right? So this year it will be 33K ... which barely brings it to Mar 2007. Again .... I may be off by a month here and there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Spillover to IC last year was 20,434.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
7% was 3,016, so SOFAD was 26,466
Last year :
ROW = 24,427
Mexico = 817
Philippines = 2,162
Total = 27,406
ROW-M-P allocation was 43,088-6,032 = 37,056 so FA from ROW-M-P was 9,650, made up of:
ROW - 6,597
Mexico - 2,199
Philippines - 854
Total - 9,650
This year, of course, 7% is 2,803 and the ROW-M-P allocation is 34,434.
Thanks Spec.
So lets hope ROW consumption this year for EB2 stays in line with last year or less PLUS EB1 provides the upside that CO has indicated is there.
Those two together will push us around the border of Q1/Q2.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Q/ Spec & Others,
So the SOFAD summation on conservative basis is as follows:
EB1 will provide minimum 12K
EB2 ROW-M-P will provide 34,434 - 27,406 =7028 ~ 7K
EB5 will provide 7854-1880 = 5974 ~ 6K
Total SOFAD on conservative basis = 25K.
I am not really happy to calculate this way :(
There are upgrades and then PWMB.
However I am prepared to accept whatever I cannot change and destiny happens...
Here is 1 thing that may make you a bit happier. There is almost 6K EB2IC quota missing from your numbers. So the SOFAD will be 30-31K.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gcwait2007
Guru's,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Why are the predictions so gloomy....
I think EB1 is going to give us around 24K (optimistic) and around 20K realistic SOFAD right...
And from specs numbers there is a decrease of 4K for EB2 ROW from last year so that means 9K + 4K = 13K from Eb2 ROW
EB4/5 will be same/better than last year which adds another 7-8K
total is around 20+13+7= 40K spill over right.... oh ya 6K from IC which makes it even sweet 46K ....
That is it, soggadu. I am really betting on EB1 to be >20k. We will get a 35k SO. I know Q and other are being conservative especially after seeing the perm data. But that is only going to affect after May'07. Therefore we will make it to April'07. Initially I wanted it to be August'07. Well April is fair enough and it is a girl's name. :)
thats so true... when u compared april with girl... i remembered a friend of mine emailed me when huricane rita was hitting houston( it was just after katrina..i used to live there then) that... dude run from houston, when they say rita is coming...dont stay there thinking a new girl is visiting town... it was funny at that time during the choatic journey of 13 hrs from houston to austin ( 140 odd miles)....Quote:
Originally Posted by anuran
anyway... i positively feel that the dates are going to hit Dec 07 and then retrogress... now dont jump on me... its my feeling and i know i dont hv numbers to prove... hope for the best and leave the rest... live life king size... hope we all have a great friday....
For the sale of completeness, here is the analysis of the PWD data based on the minimum education and experience required.
Min Education ----------------- No. ---- % --- % Education
EB2
Doctorate(PhD) -------------- 1,828 --- 3.94% ---- 5.56%
Master's ------------------- 19,254 -- 41.54% --- 58.56%
Bachelor's + 5 -------------- 9,935 -- 21.43% --- 30.22%
Other Degree (JD, MD, etc.) - 1,862 --- 4.02% ---- 5.66%
EB2Total ------------------- 32,879 -- 70.93% -- 100.00%
EB3
Bachelor's ------------------ 8,742 -- 18.86% --- 64.89%
Other Degree (JD, MD, etc.) --- 162 --- 0.35% ---- 1.20%
Associate's ------------------- 636 --- 1.37% ---- 4.72%
High School/GED --------------- 714 --- 1.54% ---- 5.30%
None ------------------------ 3,219 --- 6.94% --- 23.89%
EB3 Total ------------------ 13,473 -- 29.07% -- 100.00%
Grand Total---------------- 46,352 - 100.00%
I don't think it tells us anything new. The overall % split between EB2 and EB3 has remained about the same over the last year.
As we have discussed earlier, different Countries have different individual EB2/EB3 splits, ranging from probably India having most EB2 to Mexico having least. Country data is not part of the PWD data.
Since we don't know these, the utility of the data is limited.
soggadu: I am not sure about retrogression in an already retrogressed category. But there is a good chance that CIS might be surprised by a huge influx of applicants, that the dates might remain static for a long time. By definition, remaining static is also retrogression because time stops for none.
Another thing to remember about PERM Q2 2011 data is that there were no approvals from March in that data. DOL has just not begun to process March applications after a hiatus of nearly 7 weeks. If you look at trackitt, the number of applications jump massively in March. Sorry make it so dreadful. But this is just the reality.