http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...oved-in-FY2011Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
this is probably what you are looking for
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http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...oved-in-FY2011Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
this is probably what you are looking for
gracias nishant
With below assumption, 5-6k is true but we have to assume that there will be very minimum backlog of I140 by the end of year which i think is not possible. So i guess some percent of 5-6k can be reduced.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Pointing May VB was never meant to criticize you but to backup statement that as per interpretation of law (or you can say My interpretation), quarterly spillover can only commence in March-April, and since May VB is released in the April this is the best case that is ever seen or will be seen for use of such visas.There is no precedence to anything better than this previously and may not happen in future. We will see.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
It is too early to say any kind of QSP is happening as we have just seen EB2 I/C approvals for October VB which is well within annual limit for I & C together. Even after this, not all those current in October have received GCs yet. Apart from this, November VB approvals are yet to be seen, which would really complete use of 8075 visas. That said, even if November VB approvals will happen, no one would know where those numbers came from unless DOS explains it explicitly. If DOS is doing QSP without stating it then this may be one time thing and this may not happen again in future. 27% annual limit of EB2 is 10800 and as long as DOS can keep total EB2 approvals (I/C/ROW/M/P) below this number until Q3 or till real spillover starts, they can very well justify such movement. This would clearly justify no urgency in reducing EB2 I-140 backlog at USCIS. Lots of conspiracy theory can be framed but reality will still be unknown.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
I am glad you are taking this positively but this is it from me for sometime until I/we have more comprehensive info/explanation on availability of visas that allowed approvals for IC in Oct-Nov VB.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
shaumack - QSP can begin in Jan ... it does not have to wait till April / May. As posted above your definition of calendar quarter is incorrect. That being said, the implications are still the same (or better). Using the visas early in the year, hopefully allows him to continue moving dates before he gets a sense of "true SO".
I hear you. But lets agree to disagree. Thanks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shaumack
for the benefit of all
"$985. (Add $85 biometric fee for a total of $1070, where applicable. See the form instructions for payment details.) You must make your check payable to Department of Homeland Security."
Dont use short names like US DHS and US CIS...
Also, the 485 discussion thread is closed... gang of gurus, please make sure all the threads are open so that we can post info accordingly...
Dear Friends,
Happy Diwali. May this Diwali bring you lots of happiness and Joy (apart from petty good news like GC).
Quote:
Originally Posted by username
Thanks soggadu. Opened 485 thread. Must havebeen clsoed by mistake by one of us!
Happy Diwali to All. And a happy new year. May the new year bring new hope, new things, peace, happiness, prosperity or for some simply the GC :) and everything will follow.
Happy Diwali, everyone !!!!
Happy Diwali to all! I hope you guys can get GC and visit families in India in the next Diwali!
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
A very very happy, prosperous, enlightening and bright Diwali to you and your families. May this journey of GC end soon for all of us waiting.
May This Diwali be as bright as ever.
May this Diwali bring joy, health and wealth to you.
May the festival of lights brighten up you and your near and dear ones lives.
May this Diwali bring you the utmost in peace and prosperity.
May lights triumph over darkness.
May the spirit of light illuminate the world.
May the light that we celebrate at Diwali show us the way and lead us
together on the path of peace and social harmony
"WISH U ALL A VERY HAPPY DIWALI"
Diwali Par Sky Saja do
Fireworks Se Dhoom Macha Do!!
Happy Diwali To All!!
Baray hon ya chottay aap
Amma hon ya kisi k baap
Diwali par ho fun non stop
Kisi ko na rokain aap!!
Happy Diwali!! :cool:
My attorney asked to pay a single check (attorney fee +All application Fee),hmm 5K+, They would take care of paying to USCIS.
Quote:
Originally Posted by soggadu
My recent H4 extension check for my wife was encashed by them as an electronic ACH debit, I do remember though that they used to do paper checks a while back, because people used to see their receipt numbers in advance from the check image.
but if they indeed are converting the checks into electronic debit authorization, then IMHO it don't matter really if you put USCIS, DHS, US DHS, Depart of Homeland Security and so on. The banks are going to trust the authority of the vendor who has been granted such trust facility and honor the incoming request for payment. Anyways, just a theory like many others I put out! We should still do what we think is right.
Quote:
Originally Posted by soggadu
Happy Diwali Guys , let's hope after festival of lights we will see festival of PDs.
" Mere pass gaadi hein, bungalow hein , bank balance hein ...aye...tere paas kya hein ....I wanna be able to say " Mere paas GC hein aye .."
just for informayion.My friend recently applied for I-485 and his check was encashed as an ACH debit.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Guys, can I write personal checks to Department of Homeland Security for $1070 each (for me and my wife) or should they be cashiers checks?Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
I just attended a call with Fragomen that they conduct once every 6 months for immegrant workers undergoing immegration process within the company. It is intented to educate people with the immegration process and steps. While talking about Visa bulletin and date movement in the recent past, they mentioned "We are already hearing about possble retrogession in December Visa bulletin". Anybody heard about similar thing anywhere else? Unfortunately they did not answer my follow-up question on that subject due to lack of time.
Even if they retrogress it will go to July15, 2007 at the mostQuote:
Originally Posted by sreddy
Well that is so disappointing to hear. Fragomen is a very reputed law firm and I remember someone in this forum mentioned that some of their friends ( with PDs in Jan 2008) were asked to be prepared and be ready with the documents by Fragomen.
I guess it was rdsingh....rdsingh, do you have any insight or info on this??
Quote:
Originally Posted by sreddy
My process is managed by Fragomen too. Just from experience with them, they are extremely cautious and conservative in their projections/ approach. They had some issues a few years ago which is why they are extra careful now. I'm not sure how they have any better info than others unless they know people in CO's department. Like Beiber noted, even it does retrogress, it won't be significant and will bounce back sooner rather than later.
I-485 inventory as of October 2011 ..............
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...001%202011.pdf
Happy Diwali Friends
one day I don't check and Kanmani beats me to it :)
Now let's see what's it shows!
I am expecting the great Spectator to rise now, this will interest him.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
sandy don't lose heart, else we won't be able to live through the next two weeks.
we have got conflicting reports basically on this, and really is up in the air. common sense suggests to me that they should not waste this opportunity and utilize this Dec VB to grab inventory.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sandeep11
Porting.
As per inventory report of October 1, 2010, EB3 I pending was 56,640 and as per October 1, 2011 EB3 I pending is 51,758. A reduction of 4,882. 2,800 normal quota, hence 2082 extra reduction. So porting is just around 2k (3k max)? I just had a huge Diwali lunch buffet so forgive me if I am making some totally stupid analysis here!
Happy Diwali to you all.
Rightly said Nishant. The next two weeks are going to be tough . With all the theories floating around , do not want to get my hopes up too high.
I just wish even if it retrogresses ,CO continues with QSP/Pipeline building in the next ones. However it will be hard to digest if after all the positive news the Dec VB moves back.
:) Just lurking around and not posting much to soothe my nerves ...borrowing your strategy of looking at the previous release dates of the bulletins.I think the Dec VB will be out on Friday the 11th Nov.
Dec VB 2010-Released on Nov 10th (Wed)
Dec VB 2009-Released on Nov 9th (Mon)
Dec VB 2008-Released on Nov 6th (Thurs)
Dec VB 2007-Released on Nov 13th (Tue)
Dec VB 2006-Released on Nov 8th (Wed)
In any case the CO would have already made up his mind ...either to retrogress or advance till Jan 2008.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Help me understand how porting works.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Someone with EB3 has applied for 485 (in the 2007 fiasco) and is not current right now. He has EAD/ AP. If he ports, I'm guessing he has to file Labor, I-140 and I-485 again right? So what happens to his current EAD ? Does it get cancelled when he applies for the 485 again?
I agree it won't go back too much, at least not below July 2007. Considering all are optimistic about forward movement in the next two VBs, backward movement so soon will be really hard for us to digest :( . As you said how would Fragomen know when CO himself may not have made up his mind about next month's movement yet. Are they talking based on any recent developments (like surge in 140 approvals) and using numbers? Or did they come to know anything about CO's new methodolgy that they used to make this forward movement last two months? Not sure..
Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
as per the progression...throwing all theories and calculations out of the window, it must come on November 11th Friday
Oh my God, there are around 2k cases from 2006 for India from the October inventory and around 24k whole eb2...around 18k applications are reduced from last inventory, i am not sure if this is right..only 20% of application got cleared for April and May'2007.
This does not sound good future movement unless they want inventory
There are still 8.5 pending application for India.
Teddy/Veni Bhai loog...please give us ur insight
Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
When one compares the june 2011 inventory v/s Oct inventory for EB2I the difference is 13571 which is what we got as SOFAD for FY2011. I am trying to understand why the Demand data used for determination of Nov 2011 bulletin says EB2I pending before Jan 1 2008 is 1275 The one on uscis inventory shows 8965. Why are these numbers too wide apart. DOS numbers are not just the consular posts but also includes cis numbers (thats what it says). Does anyone has any logical explanation.
Nishant Bhai,
I did feel a little disheartened for a bit...but you are right..It's Diwali Eve and I should probably forget about this VB stuff and enjoy.........
Happy Diwali!!!!!
Wishing everyone the Best of Luck.
Sandy-
Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Sucks to be those folks from 2002 and before. :DQuote:
Originally Posted by grnwtg
looks like the inventory as of October 1st
The EB2ROW+EB1 together has around 25k, looks like majority of this (75% atleast) is waiting on 140 approval to get processed and that could be the proper reason behind the big movement for EB2IC in last 2 bulletins
Kanmani,Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Great! Thank you
Happy Diwali to all.
It looks like EB1 India will become backlogged as well. There are 2,263 applications pending in 2011 alone. It does not bode well for EB2 IC in future years.
That is only for India. You would have to do the same for China and ROW.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Also, I think only applicant is included in I-485. Therefore, Visa Numbers needed is higher (around 2.05 / applicant). Therefore, regular quota for India is 2,805 / 2.05 = 1,368 I-485 applications. Thus porters are 4882 - 1368 = 3,512.
Now assume 3,500 applicants for India. Add 1,500 for China and ROW (just guessing need to analyze the data further) and you arrive at around 6,000 porters. I believe this is the number that has been thrown around in this forum.
EDIT: Apparently 3,500 + 1,500 = 5,000 and not 6,000 as I mention above. Stupid mathematics :). But I think you get the idea.
EDIT2: It turns out this report includes Primary as well as dependents (http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...1857#post11857). So, the analysis is wrong.
Yes, personal check is fine. Here it says personal check or money order.Quote:
Originally Posted by kingcaeser
I dont think so. I think PWMB's are counted in this inventory maybe?Quote:
Originally Posted by bieber