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I have question. Trump has signed banning GCs through consular processing whoever is outside USA. Does it also affect EB GCs outside USA ? Like EB1, Eb3,4 Consular processing ?
On may 23, We will get to recommendations on banning entry for non immigrant visas.?
Thanks for your analysis. FB spillover to EB catagory is congress mandated law right? also as per this lawyer tweet, "26,000 green cards a month will move over to the employment based system, in October of this year"Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
https://twitter.com/wstock215/status...029779969?s=20
Looks like nobody answered. So I will.Quote:
Originally Posted by oraclept
1) All CP is stopped except EB5.
2) I am not aware of any news on non-immigrant visas
qesehmk, what are you seeing as possibilities for EB2 I for early 2011 in the current situation. Any expectations for 2011 cases? Ideally, how far can the spillover go if allocated?Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Android I stopped doing manual calculations long time back. You will have to calculate yourself. I am sorry.Quote:
Originally Posted by android09
Android - It all depends upon the spill over number. However, if the admin ban gets extended beyond the 60 days and the FB spill over is applied. EB2I early 2011 is a possibility.Quote:
Originally Posted by android09
Thank you. I'm in 2013 but want this line to start moving.Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
If anyone has come across this news. Any idea from where these unused numbers coming from ?
https://www.rollcall.com/2020/04/30/...-nurses-to-us/
Some more updates from Murthy:
https://www.murthy.com/2020/05/13/up...d-predictions/
Starting from this month I'm expecting significant movement for EB2 and EB3 Indians. From July we will see more aggressive movements for Indians.
Lets hope all these news does turn positive for folks waiting for years... Like Q said few days, we have all seen this same movie play out every few years [Gloom & Doom] and not give anything positive.
Hope the guys waiting for EAD get a chance to file and get them soon.
For folks waiting for GC, just forget [if possible] and carry on with life... It will happen at some point....
Tathastu. The most relevant details are in this paragraph.Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
I wounder why he left out EB2/EB3. Maybe a) he wants the extra 10 days in this month to get better demand or b) he is withholding information to be revealed at this month's Check-in.Quote:
Mr. Oppenheim also explained that approximately 95 percent of family-based cases are processed at consulates, while 85 percent of employment-based cases are processed by the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) via adjustment-of-status applications. Given that consulates across the globe have closed due to the pandemic, Mr. Oppenheim expects there will be many unused immigrant visa numbers for cases being processed through consulates. This could result in the USCIS having more visa numbers to use for adjustment-of-status cases this fiscal year.
Been there many times. Hopes were burned to ashes every single time. I will believe it when I see it.Quote:
Originally Posted by redsox2009
Is he not talking in general about SO from CP to AOS backlog agnostic to whether its FB or EB?Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
He made a generic comment but the following statement "This could result in the USCIS having more visa numbers to use for adjustment-of-status cases this fiscal year." would be more relevant for EB as he mentioned that 95% of FB are CP.Quote:
Originally Posted by Zenzone
That is indeed true. Just keep in mind ... those numbers are still modest ... because they will be half year CP numbers within category EB2 and EB 3 only. No category now a days gives away numbers to other .... so just want people to not have very high hopes.Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
Sure. However, would we not have the 4.5K FB spill over available for EB2I considering EBROW is current and in addition the balance 1.4K number from the current quota? I am not expecting the dates move drastically but a 1-3 month FAD movement is possible for EB2IQuote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
I have never seen EB get numbers from FB in the same fiscal year. The numbers fall across next year.Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
I think couple of months movement is given for both EB2 and 3. (just a guess i haven't actually run the numbers).
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
I think he means last year's FB spillover of 16,000 would result in 4.5k to EB2 and since EB2ROW is current, and if its usage is not high, that 4.5k may come to EB2-I
We should get some clarity on the projections soon.
June Bulletin should be out this evening or tomorrow by latest.
I have no inside information but the Visa Bulletin page https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...-bulletin.html has an error message in place of the current and upcoming bulletin link and the page content under Fiscal year 2020 already has the link for June 2020 which is taking to a page that is not yet live.
So someone is currently working on the update.
Good luck for all in the queue.
Quick question. The country caps are applied on the overall numbers of both EB and FB. Given the pause in CP, the numbers normally used by EB CP and FB CP by India will now not be used. So the EB numbers will be available for AOS. And the FB number will spill over to next fiscal year. But since FB numbers are not used, shouldn’t that increase the EB country cap numbers this fiscal year?
Does anyone see anything wrong with the assumption above?
Totally agree. Sorry I misunderstood.Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
It's a good point. I didn't think of that.Quote:
Originally Posted by eaglenow
It seems FB-I used ~14k visas per DoS visa statistics (a little under 7% of 226k FB visas, which is a bit surprising?) out of which some 13k were CP FB. I don't know how many FB were used by India this FY before the EO went in effect, but assuming CP FB is blocked for the rest the FY, then I think you are right that those should be available to EB-I AoS candidates unless there are FB-I AoS candidates in the US with later PDs who can pick up the slack from FB-I CP.
Good points. Since every country wouldn't have used FB, they can't increase it to every country. But conversely, they should decrease South Korea and Phillipines EB allocation. Would be interesting to see what Spec thinks.Quote:
Originally Posted by abcx13
Just to make sure we're talking about the same concept, I believe the discussion relates to the distribution of the overall 7% in FY2020.Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
For those not familiar with the workings of this, the 7% limit is set on the sum of FB & EB allocations for a FY.
For FY2020, this would be (226,000 + 156,500) * 7% = 26,775
Prorated for FB and EB this would be 15,820 and 10,955 respectively.
If a Country does not meet the 7% limit in FB, then EB can benefit from extra approvals as long as the overall 7% limit is not exceeded.
This is why South Korea can have higher approvals in EB, since they have very few FB approvals.
As far as India goes, here's the FB approvals for FY2019 (AOS & CP).
Country --------- FB1 --- FB2A --- FB2B ---- FB3 ---- FB4 --- Total
India ----------- 275 -- 1,619 ---- 273 -- 4,316 -- 7,454 -- 13,937
Of those, these are the CP figures:
Country --------- FB1 --- FB2A --- FB2B ---- FB3 ---- FB4 --- Total
India ----------- 225 -- 1,222 ---- 226 -- 4,193 -- 7,406 -- 13,272
From this, we can calculate that 95.2% of India FB approvals were Consular Processed.
For FY2020, to the end of March 2020 (i.e. Q1 + Q2) the CP figures for India are:
Country --------- FB1 --- FB2A --- FB2B ---- FB3 ---- FB4 --- Total
India ------------ 74 ---- 500 ---- 107 -- 1,365 -- 3,557 --- 5,603
The figures above should give you a base to speculate on how this particular issue may evolve, given the current situation.
To be clear, this is entirely separate from any increased approvals due to FB under use in the previous FY, or vertical or horizontal spillover in the current FY.
This is about distribution within the current FY against the overall 7% per Country limit.
You can follow the monthly movement of CP, thanks to redsox, in this thread.
Hope that helps.