Demand for EB3-I before Jan 1 2005:
Oct 2012 : 25,925
Apr 2013 : 23,125
Difference : 2800. (# demand reduction for EB3-I due to approvals in EB3 category plus porting)
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Demand for EB3-I before Jan 1 2005:
Oct 2012 : 25,925
Apr 2013 : 23,125
Difference : 2800. (# demand reduction for EB3-I due to approvals in EB3 category plus porting)
I'm not sure about your calculation. How could there be porting of 2325 in 1month, when the dates are at Sep 2004. Demand increased in dates beyond Sep 2004 cannot be due to porting, as dates have to be current when one interfiles. Someone can correct me if Im wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by geeaarpee
If you didn't file an AC21, you could get stuck if you get a RFE for an employment letter.Quote:
Originally Posted by username
Thanks Spec and Ghostwriter for the clarification.Quote:
Originally Posted by GhostWriter
Exactly - that is my question - why there is a difference, if the dates are not current? Is USCIS already removing those ported cases from EB3 demand?
Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_soon
EB3 total demand on Oct 2012 : 47,550Quote:
Originally Posted by geeaarpee
Demand as per Apr 2013 : 43,925
Net demand reduction for EB3: 47,550 - 43,925 = 3,625
Assuming monthly allocation of 250/month for EB3 in last 6 months : 1,250
So possible porting + cases that left EB3 (either withdrawn, changed chargebility etc) : 2,375
Assuming everything was porting : porting should have been only 2375 in the last 6 months.
Correct me If I'm wrong.
Thanks username for sharing this. I think the people who complained are brave and it must have been hell working for this company.
As per your question about AC21 - relax - there is no such requirement to send ANYTHING to USCIS. Some people proactively tell USCIS of the job change ... but I guess you can skip it and wait and see if USCIS rejects your 485 for whatever reason after which you can always appeal.Quote:
Originally Posted by username
So you are saying, this is a cumulative data for this FY but it is refleced only in the current DD (Apr'13)?
Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_soon
Q,
Username is working on EAD and solely depending on pending I-485 for his status. Is there any grace time admissible to proceed with the appeal if there is any rejection?
Username,
If you suspect USCIS may revoke prior approvals of the said company, Is it possible for you to switch to H1b ?
Which one of the I-140 belongs to Dobon solutions?
My EB2 I140 is from Dibon. EB3 I140 was from previous company before joining Dibon.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Can I join new company on H1B after using EAD?
I don't want to scare you. But if the company is black listed, then there is a possibility of revoking ones I 140 by USCIS and there by the person wont be eligible for H1B extensions (if 6 years limit is already passed) and also cannot be able to retain priority date and off course I 485 will be denied. Same thing happened for AMSOL employees. Here is the link:Quote:
Originally Posted by username
http://www.trackitt.com/uk-discussio...40-485-denials
So I suggest you to consult a very good attorney ASAP.
Yes, you can always switch back to H1b. Even if you file AC21 it is of not use in the case of revocation due to fraud. If you maintain H1b, you can restart the GC from scratch and port your date using EB3 I-140.
I wish they don't revoke the I-140 , just few months left in your GC journey. All the best!
Since the basis of EAD is pending 485, if a 485 is rejected and appealed within the timeframe USCIS allows you to appeal (I would imagine a few weeks at least), the pending status of 485 should continue and EAD should be valid. I don't have any documents to sight right now ... but I am reasonably confident about that.
If anybody finds such document that mentions even the timeframe when one can appeal please do share. But I think username shouldn't be concerned too much. He has already gone through a lot EB3 EB2 - two jobs switches etc ... USCIS is not that dumb not to understand that people have a life. So I wouldn't worry too much if I were username.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Hello Gurus !
My PD is Oct 2008 on EB2 - Any prediction when can I expect the dates to be current ?
Thanks !
Yeah, usually from what I've seen numbers are multiples of 25 except for this one.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Without CIR- summer 2014 latest.Quote:
Originally Posted by iamsheshu
With CIR - probably Dec 2013
Its not that.Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_soon
The figure is higher than the next year, so it is clearly wrong.
EB3-All Other Countries
Prior 2002 -- 0
Prior 2003 -- 50
Prior 2004 -- 345
Prior 2005 -- 75
Prior 2006 -- 150
Prior 2007 -- 150
Prior 2012 -- 3,550
It should probably be either 50 or 75.
Spec, Yeah good catch. Forgot they are cumulative numbers.
Thanks Q, Kanmani, gc2008 for your input.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
Hello Gurus !
My PD is July 2008 EB2I - Any prediction when can I expect the dates to be current ?
Thanks !
Please see Spec's and Q's analysis on page 1 of the forum.Quote:
Originally Posted by shreyasai2004
Q also has a web tool (subscription needed) that will allow you to use your own assumptions to estimate when you will become current.
Visa bulletin April 2013 is out. No movement in dates. :-(
http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_1360.htmlQuote:
Originally Posted by rmuru99
Interesting to see EB3-ROW-M moved to 01JUL07, Let's see what plan CO got for next few bulletins.
Visa bulletin is up at http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_5900.html
Gurus, whats the probability (taking into account the expected spillover, potential CIR getting passed and CO building a pipeline) of EB2-I dates crossing over June 2010 this year (even for a month or two)?
1) 0%
2) around 30%
3) around 50%
4) around 80%
Good that EB2C is moving steadily... My guess is we should follow the EB2C dates, EB2I will get there by the end of FY13. It could be in July (and followed by retrogression) or in Sept'13 (if moved gradually) but the sooner it gets there, the better it would be...Quote:
Originally Posted by chengisk
Thats a good point. I was thinking on the same lines ... EB2I dates will start moving and end at somewhere near to EB2C date. Last several years EB2I&C moved together during spillover, but now due to EB2I porting EB2C is moving ahead of EB2I. That is a good thing for EB2I as the spillover will be available for EB2I use only.Quote:
Originally Posted by geeaarpee
I have no comments on this VB. Except waiting for July Bulletin.
Good way to summarize the visa bulletin! This is how every EB2I should look at it.Quote:
Originally Posted by pdmay2008
Neither does CO. amazingQuote:
Originally Posted by pdmay2008
Not that I'm complaining but what happened to EB2 I retrogressing further to 2003? Should we conclude that the demand has either subsized or levelled out such that it is within the available numbers?
This is good VB in my opinion.
Movement in EB2C, even if smaller, is as good as movement in EB2I date. By end of the fiscal EB2I will catch up EB2C and I don’t think EB2C will retrogresses. EB2I will have more share of SO but to realize it we need to be patient until last Q.
Quote:
Originally Posted by geeaarpee
Quote:
Originally Posted by goforgreen
I would inject a note of caution to those that think because EB2-I has ended with the same Cut Off Date as EB2-C in the past, that it will happen this year.Quote:
Originally Posted by cancer24
EB2-C can move to late 2008 using only their allocation and using no spillover at all.
To reach the same Cut Off Date might require as many as 27-30k visas for EB2-I . That number currently appears unattainable under any scenario.
I don't think there is any chance for EB2-I PD's reaching June'10 this year. Last year, the dates moved into 2010 because USCIS wanted to create a buffer of new applications as most of the old applications up to July 2007 were approved.Quote:
Originally Posted by june2010
Agreed. Of course we don't know what CIR will end up including.Quote:
Originally Posted by pch053
But IF they increase numbers and take out dependents from the cap, then there is a very good chance it'll move into 2010 and beyond. But assuming CIR only takes out the per-country caps (which I think is closer to reality), it won't reach 2010.
This VB doesn't tell us anything.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
The only positive thing I see out of this is that EB3ROW-M-P will have lesser porting (minor change). Hopefully that positively impacts SOFAD.
Vizcard,Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
Porting can still give an EB3 applicant an advantage of up to 6 years (whether it be ROW or India), so I don't see how the current movement is going to have any effect.
I would certainly leave EB3-P out of the equation. Currently, they are moving even slower than EB3-I and are now 10 months behind EB3-ROW-M. You could replace them with EB3-C, since they looks like they will catch EB3-ROW-M in the May or June VB.
Spec thanks to you for sharing the 18K spillover with the immigrant community your postings have been shared all over, this is by far the best news this year. Now its official in all published data’s.
All EB2-India folks hang in tight do not worry about intermediate visa bulletins till Jul or till whenever they decide to start spillover. Out of these 18K, 12K will be an extra to EB2 – I / C. Porting is at the same old level however what is happening is that EB2 was unavailable for 6 months last year so it created a backlog. Porting does not exceed 4K (This is just my ball park thought, calculations for previous years showed 3K) a year however as we had a 6 month blackout last year we can expect 6K this year. The monthly cap of 250 – 300 is not enough to satiate this hence no movement. Dates will definitely hit mid 2008 for sure even with the ever increasing inventory thanks to the 12k additional SOFAD that we can bank on even if some of the other usages / past year backlogs may be higher.
Teddy,
Great to hear from you again.
I think we have all missed your contributions.
Thanks Spec, yes I will be around and write more often, all these months have been dull with regards movement which was somewhat on expected lines. I have been a silent reader of your postings here.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator