If the response to a service request came from Texas Service Center, does it mean that my I-485 case is being handled by TSC? My receipt number starts with LIN.
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If the response to a service request came from Texas Service Center, does it mean that my I-485 case is being handled by TSC? My receipt number starts with LIN.
Inspired p
Did u file at Texas service center?
And file eb2 to eb3 downgrade in premium
Thanks Spec. I took another look through the numbers - and man is the situation dire!! More than 50K/year PERMs for India and like 13K for China - and no regulatory relief on the horizon. Covid will help matters for long suffering folks - but those that entered the queue in last couple years are looking at decades of wait.
Interesting that EB-2/3-China will likely be the big sufferer going forward as well. They will soon need spillover as their annual demand will significantly outpace annual quota - but the giant backlog of India will suck up any spillover.
Yes , that seems to be a steady 50K just for India and another 12K for China. Thanks Spec as always for gathering all the data .
If you assume that there is one dependent for a primary (I guess its 2.2 in reality ) , that will be 100K GCs just for India . Optimistically if remove duplicate filings and both spouses filing , I guess that will still be a minimum of 70K GCs needed each year just for India and another 10K for China . Those filing for GC or those who have filed over the last 4 years desperately need not just reform to the existing GC process (removal of country quota) but also a one time GC grant of about 400K GCs to remove decades of waiting .
With the current state of immigration , i guess the only hope is for kids to file for your GC if you file today .
It is a dire situation. When I filed in 2010, people were saying it will take a decade for getting greened an that seemed unjust and unfair. Now it seems it will take a decade to move 1 year of PD. Its a tragedy that no one in power considers this a gross injustice.
Yes it is . I feel even more for those who came to this country with their kids born in India. Those kids will need to move to F1 and then hope to get an HIB and file for a GC to maintain status and wait until their kids file for a GC. Just imagine their trauma. They did nothing wrong but have to suffer their whole life because no one cares . I wish DACA had a provision for such kids, but then legal immigration is not a vote bank.
As the elections indicated, this country is divided almost exactly in half and there are no compromises being visible on the horizon. So we are destined to deal with this outdated immigration rules for a lot more time.
Any ideas as to December bulletin release from sources? Theoretically speaking they can take as late as Nov 30 to release it as it falls on a Monday. Won't be the least surprised if that happens. Hoping for some aggressive movement in Final Action dates at least in Dec bulletin.
I was looking at the 2006 fiscal , where dates started to gallop from the december bulletin. Hope it happens again . With the Biden administration we should atleast see the departments getting staffed from Feb , so there is some hope still left to issue the whole 265K GCs.
Month EB2 EB3
10/2005 : 01-Nov-99 : 01-Jan-98
11/2005: 01-Nov-99 : 01-Jan-98
12/2005: 01JUL- 00. : 01-Jan-99
01/2006: 01JAN01. : 01-JUN-99
02/2006: 01-AUG-01. : 01-JAN-00
03/2006: 01-JAN-02. : 01-JAN-01
04/2006: 01-JUL-02. : 01-FEB-01
05/2006: 01-JAN-03. : 01-MAR-01
06/2006: 01-JAN-03. : 08-APR-01
07/2006: 01-JAN-03 : 15-APR-01
08/2006: Unavailable : 01-APR-01
09/2006: Unavailable : 01-APR-01
2005 there was no FAD or FD implemented at that time. So that is a factor now and they already have all the required applications in queue for quite some time.
Infact anything before Apr'2010 for EB2 they should have the closest of numbers and can allocate the visas as needed.
Why would they not work on all the applications already filed starting the first month of the fiscal year (oct 2020)? Is manpower a factor ? I don't really see the reasoning behind not making May 2010 the FAD for the EB2-I as they already have Most of the applications filed till then.
Inspired p
I am still trying to figure out
How urs i485 applied in Nebraska service center
As most goes to Arizona or Texas service center
The applications are NOT sent to a service center. They are sent to a lockbox facility in Texas or Phoenix. The following is the process that ensues in a lockbox facility as per USCIS website.
https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/organ...ng-information
When staff at the lockbox receive your package, they will:
Evaluate data from scanned images against acceptance criteria;
Accept or reject forms and related fees based on current regulations and policies;
Verify that you submitted the correct fee
Deposit payments to the U.S. Treasury;
Send receipt notices for accepted forms to you (and your representative, if applicable);
Return rejected forms to you (or your representative, if applicable); and
Send your package to the appropriate USCIS service center or field office for further processing.
What are the December visa bulletin predictions?
Calculations say it should jump 6 month every visa bulletin at least, don't they ?
Giving USCIS the benefit of the doubt, they will now have sufficient application count from Oct/Nov to get a better idea. I think My prediction is FAD will move twice as much as November, EB-I will move 1 and half months and EB3-I will move 3 months.
If application count is the criteria for the Date movement, i don't think they have an idea of count as the receipts are still pending for OCT filers. Looks like they are not issuing the receipts as the order they received, because some of the OCT 3rd week people got receipts and some of the 2nd week filers did not get .
I am thinking the date movement will be the same for couple of months and start moving rapidly ;).
I feel eb2 FAD should move my 4 months, considering they expects it to reach FD my sept21. EB3 is still tricky as they still won't have clear numbers of downgrade, but I think EB3 FAd should move by 3.5 months.
They might still consider FD for December, but more and more I look at numbers and downgrade news , I feel FD for EB3 might be moved up to mid of 2014 as precaution.
By end of December, with reciepts/rejection trend, and possibly CO's insight, we get clearer picture.
I think many of us will be surprised by the actual downgrade numbers beyond 2010. It looks like everyone who can downgrade and employer coorperation had downgraded (exception being CTS). Initially I was thinking about 30% downgrades (EB2 to EB3). Now it looks like 60% or more.
If you take a look at January 2019, Eb3 had an April 2010 filing date. It will be 2 years when the next bulletin is released and we are still a month away from hitting that date.
I can see the funny side of this. From 2009-2019 most of the people in Eb2 had some kind of discussion at the beginning if they should be in Eb2 or 3. A decade later most of these exceptionally skilled people running backwards to fit under regular skills is hilarious in a sad way. Sad because of the rules governing the system. Hilarious because almost all of them should have been Eb3 to start with and they are back to the place where they really belong.
With the amount of time it takes to even file 485, everyone from India and may be China gains the 5 years experience and become eligible for EB2. We should be considerate and the only place they do not belong is wait for more than a decade to just file for 485. The pace at which things are going, some may actually near retirement before they get greened and that is the sad part.
The filing date introduced in 2015 was supposed to advance or ease the filing for 485. It is now 5 years and filing date of Eb2 is yet to reach July 2011 which was set in the original September 2015 bulletin which was pulled back.
Without covid the dates for Eb3 would have not even reached 2010. With just 16,000 and 22,000 perm applications for 2009 and 2010 the dates should have zoomed past 2009 and well into 2010 long back. It did not because Eb3 guys within those days first jumped into Eb2 from 2012 and then from 2018 jumped back to Eb3 with a new downgrade.
My biggest concern is why CO is not advancing the Eb2 dates to account for 2800 visas for October itself? And apply the spill over if any later in the last quarter. This nonsense of 700 visas allocation every quarter would be correct when every dates are current.
I would not be surprised if there were some political calculus behind not advancing dates. Remember the orange cheeto and his minions like Miller are still in power and CO may not want to disturb the water. I am actually really glad the idiot is continuing to dispute the elections with his flimsy excuses and digging himself into a deeper hole which will hopefully distract them enough for a couple of months. But as you see with the Military changes that they are rapidly undertaking, I won't be surprised once the results are certified, they will turn inward and start burning down everything inside.
"This nonsense of 700 visas allocation every quarter would be correct when every dates are current." Good Point Aceman... I am aware of the yearly per country limits (~3k) is there a rule that they can only apply the limits per quarter? i understand the processing efficiency.. what harm will it make to move the FAD to the date (where they can utilize the yearly quota) on the first day of the FY start?
The EB2-->EB3 is inevitable. It just like how EB3--> Upgrade happened a decade ago. I for one has always supported this. EB2/EB3 category does not matter for Indians. Skills are not vastly different barring few exceptions... its just a matter where one can get the green card sooner.
As YTEleven or somebody else predicted, after the flurry of upgrade/downgrades, EB2/EB3 should move hand in hand. Its a good thing.
[QUOTE=mrperfect;68260]"This nonsense of 700 visas allocation every quarter would be correct when every dates are current." Good Point Aceman... QUOTE]
I agree that for all backlogged countries they should allocate the complete 2800 in the first month or first quarter for efficiency and then either allocate more or not based on spillovers.
Hi, finally got my reciepts... I have quick question my spouse has his priority date on 485 reciept rather than mine which is current. Is this the norm? Or should i get that corrected with USCIS..
Eb3 -> Eb2 natural progression. Eb2 -> Eb3 a convenience progression. All it does is to hold up Eb3 dates with no obvious advantage to Eb2. We saw that in mid 2019 when Eb3 moved back to Jan 2009 and was stuck there for over a year and it got a move again only 4 months back, thanks to Covid.
USCIS allows/supports it, end of the story.
"with no obvious advantage to Eb2"
Not sure why you feel so.
People who are in EB2 2010/2011 will get green card faster in EB3 than EB2.
All EB2 people after 2011 who downgrade will get EAD/AP. (This is an advantage to most people).
Ofcourse it is disadvantageous to EB3 friends in 2010/2011. Think of it this way, Many people jumped the ship from EB3 to EB2 and as a result EB3 moved faster. Now its just a catch up and balance out. Worst case these friends in EB3 would have been delayed in any way if EB3 to EB2 upgrade did not happen.
In the end basically everybody is doing whatever they can to get out of this backlog. Nothing wrong!