Speed of approvals from NSC seems to be reasonable and going along at a steady pace while TSC seems to be a little sluggish...anyone knows if TSC works on Saturdays?....if so, let's hope they do a better job tomorrow otherwise on the hook until Monday, next week.
I just called uscis and spoke with L2.
He said my case is pending since 2012 when i last responded to rfe. I then asked if my case is pre adjudicated and he still said it is pending since 2012. Didnt say it has been preadjudicated. He said he will raise a request to get exact status
Im now concerned if it is pending is it not touched yet for preadjudication. I hope i will get approval in this window.
The rate of approvals are about the same as yesterday with NSC performing better and TSC slightly worse,Quote:
Originally Posted by Eb2_Dec07
I suspect there could be some approval emails/txts tomorrow also, not as many as weekday numbers.
approx. . 2000 pending cases ( EB2I who are current) on trackitt, of which 50 got approved
that's about 2.5%, ( very rough estimate and I welcome any other alternate explanations)
I think everyone who is current won't be approved in august, some might get in September and few might not get this fiscal year ( the percentage of the few is unknown , hopefully very small )
Not even a single approval today so far :(
Give it a week, many individuals may not have visited trackitt after the last fiasco. Some individuals wait until receiving physical GC to update trackitt. I do think that next two weeks are crucial, I hope VB gets released by next Friday and for sure we will get the required direction.Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
eventually some approvals today even though slower than a weekday, I think the actual trackitt approvals might be slightly higher than the updated ones and moreover the scoreboard did not add all dependents, so I am guessing the actual total approvals might have been somewhere like 5% of total DD so far.
That's probably a fair point.Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
The number becoming Current in September is likely to be far lower than the number that became Current in August.
USCIS have up to 2 months to approve the total.
Unlike previous years, there is some additional demand for adjudication time from most of EB3, who are playing catch up to use their visa allocation after the large forward movement and stalling of approvals earlier in the year.
one of my friends who is ROW got GC with the online status till in acceptance.
same thing happened to me regarding h-1, even though the approval was sent to attorney, the online status was still in acceptance, I don't know how common it is for GC, I haven't heard of anyone mentioning anywhere for GC apart from one case I know so I think it might be like less than 1%.
I doubt the USCUS seriously considers giving final decision on every case that is current this fiscal year, as no one will see their own lives/ careers affected in anyway at uscis. ( I doubt uscis staff or management knows that people actually are as anxious as many of us are about this stuff)
This reminds me of govt. hospital in india where no one is accountable for their actions
when there are repurcussions for " loss to others based on our actions" then the quality will improve dramatically. In this case uscis is more or less is like govt. hospital in india so almost nothing will surprise me in the way they do things.
before people start ganging up on me about this comparision, that's based on my life experience and those are my familiar exposures and obviously cannot compare in literal sense but just wanted to make a point.
Looking at the trackitt scorecard, seems like Saturday was the best day so far for approvals @ TSC.
Let's hope we get to see an increasing trend of approvals for this week so the probability of getting picked and approved goes up for everyone waiting.
from Monday it is supposed to increase even more.Quote:
Originally Posted by longwait100
I would like to see upto 50 approvals a day on trackitt, now its about 25 ( average), good news is TSC is picking up pace.
I thought it might be useful for people to see the highest number of EB2-I Trackitt approvals for a single month from FY2010 - FY2012.
The numbers are cases eventually updated in the I-485 Tracker over time (not only on the day of approval) for Primary applicants.
FY2012
February - 433 -- c. 5.8k
March ---- 503 -- c. 6.8k
FY2011
June ----- 280 -- c. 5.7k
July ----- 376 -- c. 7.7k
FY2010
July ----- 432 -- c. 6.3k
August --- 402 -- c. 5.9k
% change, so the Trackitt number for the same actual number can vary from year to year.
That's very useful information , so far on scoreboard there are about 67 approvals excluding dependents i.e. 22 per day, if we multiply by 25 days ( for august) its 550 per month for primary applicants, which is close to march of last year when 6800 were approved.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
But I suspect because of more awareness more and more people are on trackitt so in reality that might turn out to be a slightly different total approvals perhaps on the lower side.
Unless we see an increase in the primary approvals twice of what it is now, significant portion will be left over for September.
In the absence of increase in the rate of approvals and if there is significant movement of COD in September bulletin, then several 2007 and earlier applicants might be left out for another year ( worst case scenario)
Unlike 2012 there are pre-adjudicated cases which should take far less time to approve but looking at the math I did , surprisingly the pace is not significantly more than last year march atleast so far.
I totally get your point. My last conversation with the L2 didn't inspire much hope . do you think going through congressman helps if so when is right time. L2 mentioned he raised a service request to get status on my case, he said I should hear from them on SR in 2 weeks, if not asked me to call. Does it help bring the case to spotlight for taking up. This month will be a very long month for those awaiting approvalsQuote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I also thought about the congressman approach but seeing at the rate of approvals right now its a difficult call, if the pace increases especially as we have seen TSC on Saturday , then almost all applicants should be cleared by September, may be like 5% to 10% might not get it ( either b'cos of some problem with application or just bad luck).Quote:
Originally Posted by Eb2_Dec07
By the end of this week, two major factors will help us decide, significant COD movement i.e. 6 months and same rate of approvals will keep 2007 filers in a risky situation ( history will repeat)
I will see next 2-3 days and then decide as we still have more than a month left.
according to Q dates might not retrogress in October but I think its highly unlikely that dates will stay the same in October.
The title of "yoda" makes me laugh everytime I log in, Q has good sense of humor, apart from information and excellent data from spec, I enjoy blogging on this forum , its kind of a hobby now :)
I'm thinking of raising a request via congressman's office after 3rd week. As you mentioned once the dates are to move much further next VB , the randomness of approvals could just make it a lucky drawQuote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I did a break up between interfile cases Vs Direct from trackitt thread. I consider any interfiles before June 2012 as Direct, as they are already in demand.
---------Interfile----Direct-----Total
Texas------6-----------28--------34
Nebraska--17----------15--------32
Total-------23---------43--------66
Texas seems to be far behind in interfile cases. The ratio at Nebraska between interfiles and direct seems to be very high, the overall ratio between Interfiles to Direct is as expected, but little concerning as Texas is lagging far behind in approving interfile cases. I hope by end of next week, we should get some reasonable ratios.
I think its a matter of chance as the sample is too small, either direct or interfile as soon as they find a case ready to be approved they are requesting a visa.Quote:
Originally Posted by MATT2012
The rate of approvals still bother me , as in spite of adding couple of "friends" and dependents still the count is 71 ( latest one by matt).
assuming a minimum COD movement of 3K additional for sept, they have to process 15K applications in 1.5 months and the rate they are going right now they might just finish 12K or so, if 6K plus are added in sept, then almost couple to several thousands might be left over.
I doubt they will waste visas... Not with so much demand pending. Worst case - dates will move further than needed and approvals will be out of turn. I certainly hope this is not the case.Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I concur that they will not waste visas and in that process random approvals are more likely.Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
Will wait another week before I call our representative...I hate to do that but having missed last year, I hate to be left out this time.....
To contact congressman's office, what kind of information is needed to provide,Quote:
Originally Posted by Stemcell
is email enough or do they need 485 receipt notice etc., and what info is needed to be provided in the email
I am not planning to send anything right away but will wait for another 1-2 weeks and based on the trend and COD of sept, I will decide.
Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I have not contacted my local congressman's office yet.
You can find out who your representative is with the link below...
http://www.house.gov/representatives/find/
I plan to send an email to them initially and also call their local office and see what the protocol is, that is if I do not hear anything by 8/8/13.
Last of all I want to hear is we are current and they are 'out' of visas for this year.
Once you contact their office , they'll tell you the procedure and will ask you to submit documents . Believe it is all receipts , EAD copies etc .Quote:
Originally Posted by indiani
I plan to wait till the VB comes out and reach out to their office . But before you do reach out , I also suggest raise an SR with L2, since the cases are pending from 2012 , and now that we much outside the processing times and PD being current they should really get back with some answer. I raised SR last week and expecting to hear by 15th , if I dont I will go through congressman's office . If the response from them is their boilerplate 60 days waiting BS, I still plan to go through congressman .
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eb2_Dec07
Thats pretty much what I had in mind.
I did not raise a SR yet, given that my case status shows RFE response review....and asking me to wait for 60 days for response. But nonetheless I am going to call them now...
Got text saying below. Still waiting for wife's approval. my pd is dec 31, 2007. Thank you for all the support, it was a wait of 6 yrs...Good wishes to everyone. thank you q and others...
On August 5, 2013, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.
This step applies to applications that result in an applicant receiving a card (such as a "green card") or other document (such as a naturalization certificate, employment authorization document, travel document, or advance parole). Applications will be in this step from the time the order to produce the card/document is given until the card/document is produced and mailed to the applicant. You can expect to receive your card/document within 30 days of the approval of your application.
Spouse case also approved few minutes ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Congrats and enjoy :D
Congratulations my friend ! very happy for you .Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Enjoy your freedom . We all are gr8ful for this opportunity to share on this wonderful forum.
Congratulations!!! You are the first on this forum to share the good news this season :-)!Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Congratulations dec2007. Enjoy the freedom.Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
I believe that the rate will pick up this week but the pace will reach its peak only after the Sept bulletin is released. The next bulletin will not be release before Friday or next Monday.
Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Congrats dec2007...enjoy the green in hand :)
Looks like TSC officers are cooling off their heels today after the hard work they did on Saturday last week.
I guess TSC folks will have to wait until tomorrow morning to see any possible action.
You got your freedom, congrats!!! party time.Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
I didn't know they worked on saturday, until I saw all the messages about approval.Quote:
Originally Posted by longwait100
Congrats dec2007! That was one long wait!!
Enjoy your freedom and wish you really well !!
Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
dec2007,
Many congratulations from me as well!!
dec2007, Congratulations!
Thank you all for the wishes...Good luck to everyone..
Congrats!.. and stop by the forum once in a whileQuote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
No approvals from TSC even though NSC is picking up the pace, strange things always appear to happen at CIS as its the most "opaque" system which is supposed to be other way around.