EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

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02-08-2012, 02:04 PM
asankaran

Thanks to everyone for your wishes!! It has been a wild ride. I wish everyone waiting for PD, all the very best. Just hang in there. Also, we need to continue to work on HR 3012 so that all of us are treated fairly and we can focus on our career and life.

Quote:

Originally Posted by zenmaster

Congratulations to
03/04/10 - sudkal33
03/11/10 - cricfan
03/18/10 - asankaran
03/19/10 - The Legend
03/31/10 - smuggymba
04/01/10 - immiindia
04/19/10 - Harapatta

and all others who got current.
As everyone has said, please do file ASAP...
02-08-2012, 02:17 PM
Prabhas

Congrats to all those got current with this bulletin.

Sportsfan!!! You the man. You predicted it just right from your lawyer's words that this bulletin will move by a few months and probably to May-2010. I couldnt skim through this thread to find that post but I am sure you said that. May be its time for another visit to your lawyer!;):D
02-08-2012, 02:22 PM
mesan123

Congrats to all people below and congrats to gkjppp ....

Quote:

Originally Posted by zenmaster

Congratulations to
03/04/10 - sudkal33
03/11/10 - cricfan
03/18/10 - asankaran
03/19/10 - The Legend
03/31/10 - smuggymba
04/01/10 - immiindia
04/19/10 - Harapatta

and all others who got current.
As everyone has said, please do file ASAP...
02-08-2012, 02:28 PM
mesan123

Better apply by March 31st...never know...CO may retrogress in april also if demand goes higher( as it will be 4 months from the time movement started)....all people dont miss your turn :) ...i know you guys will be nailing down your lawyers...

Quote:

Originally Posted by imdeng

Congratulations everyone who became current. CO has really exceeded our wildest expectations this FY. We should send him a card or something :-)

Folks - if you are current - push your 485 through as soon as possible. I think this is it for movement this FY - we might stagnate for a month or two and then retrogress to middle of 2008 - so move quickly.
02-08-2012, 02:32 PM
TeddyKoochu

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spectator

Teddy,

As I have tried to point out before, the Demand Data won't tell us anything until the dates retrogress, since no adjudications will appear in it until then.

There could be 10,000 approvals and it wouldn't appear in the DD while the dates are current.

Spec completely agree. Thanks for the link very good information.
02-08-2012, 02:47 PM
fedupwithgc

retrogression

My PD is Jul 2008 and I hope to get my GC this FY and retrogression doesnt happen beyond that...I have been waiting for 10 years and this year will be an interesting one...:D
02-08-2012, 02:49 PM
needid

I think it atleast conveys out of 1600 pre-2006 apps, nothing left except 55. There could be apps that did not get pre adjudicated even after 4 years, Can we consider them as abandoned.

Quote:

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

Spec completely agree. Thanks for the link very good information.
02-08-2012, 03:15 PM
sweta.shetty

based on the current trend, is it expected no movement in coming months and the movement will start again by oct 2012?
02-08-2012, 03:18 PM
delguy

I dont think there will be any movement now for next 2 years. The pipeline is now full for next 2 years and the new one will be built once this one empties out.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sweta.shetty

based on the current trend, is it expected no movement in coming months and the movement will start again by oct 2012?
02-08-2012, 03:19 PM
bee369

Official bulletin is out

It's under Archives, the main page is still yet to be updated.

you can see official bulletin here : http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5664.html
02-08-2012, 03:21 PM
bieber

Quote:

Originally Posted by sweta.shetty

based on the current trend, is it expected no movement in coming months and the movement will start again by oct 2012?

I think we have to wait for retrogression and next inventory data to predict that
02-08-2012, 03:27 PM
fudge-it

Yes. I read the Spec's post on Demand data. Very useful information.
But is there way to know how much visa numbers have been used up for the year 12? I'm not sure, if I could gain anything from it. But will at least know whats left and the chances are,,,
02-08-2012, 03:32 PM
Chilli19

man.. i missed it by 26 days.already lost one PD due to stuck up in india with 221(g) and again i missed the boat by 26 days. i donno when i can make it to EAD. facing lots of problems with h1b extensions and its been more than 7 yrs now.
02-08-2012, 03:36 PM
Kanmani

No clue left for future Visa availability or retrogression .

I have a feeling that somewhere somebody is gathering informations from forums and updating CO!!!!
02-08-2012, 03:41 PM
gkjppp

Quote:

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

Adding - gkjppp
Congratulations to everyone who became current. Looking at the 4 months movement this time this seems to be the last bus for the year, so by all means everyone who is current should try to file by 31st Mar. The demand data does not provide any meaningful insight except that the adjudication of new applications is quite slow.

Thanks Teddy , adding me to the list.
02-08-2012, 03:46 PM
Spectator

Quote:

Originally Posted by fudge-it

Yes. I read the Spec's post on Demand data. Very useful information.
But is there way to know how much visa numbers have been used up for the year 12? I'm not sure, if I could gain anything from it. But will at least know whats left and the chances are,,,

You can try this.

Remember to look at the trends rather than the absolute figures. It is not a very exact science.
02-08-2012, 03:52 PM
rasknorr

Quote:

Originally Posted by gkjppp

Thanks Teddy , adding me to the list.

Congratulations and all who are current!!! Enjoy your moment.. and don't miss to apply to 485.
02-08-2012, 03:53 PM
nishant2200

Quote:

Originally Posted by bee369

It's under Archives, the main page is still yet to be updated.

you can see official bulletin here : http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5664.html

:D

dude it seems you found a bug. Seems like they put in archives by mistake, or do they always put even the upcoming visa bulletin in archives. in any case, it makes really no sense to see upcoming visa bulletin not published on main page, but put in archives already.
02-08-2012, 04:02 PM
eb2ODer

Hi Spectator,

Please comment on FY 2011 numbers. I am not sure if the actual numbers were updated based on Jan 2012 data - what is the source awaited?

>> I have shown cumulative approvals based on the % that was correct for FY2011 (it will be corrected when the actual figures are available in Jan 2012).

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spectator

You can try this.

Remember to look at the trends rather than the absolute figures. It is not a very exact science.
02-08-2012, 04:14 PM
bangaloreboy

Congratulations to all who became current!
As for myself, I missed it by 2 months... :(
02-08-2012, 04:18 PM
nishant2200

Its finally up on main page
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_1360.html
02-08-2012, 04:21 PM
vishnu

Not sure what to make of this bulletin - since we heard CO saying that a min of 6 months is expected, and he now moves it only 4 months, what information could he have received in the intermediate stage? Perhaps USCIS saying, over the past couple of days, they are overwhelmed with filings for 2009?
02-08-2012, 04:25 PM
fedupwithgc

Quote:

Originally Posted by vishnu

Not sure what to make of this bulletin - since we heard CO saying that a min of 6 months is expected, and he now moves it only 4 months, what information could he have received in the intermediate stage? Perhaps USCIS saying, over the past couple of days, they are overwhelmed with filings for 2009?

I think CO is getting ready to stall or retrogress...
02-08-2012, 04:27 PM
vishnu

I am inclined to agree - particularly on the stalling part. Bummer! I am Sep 2010
02-08-2012, 04:37 PM
Spectator

Quote:

Originally Posted by eb2ODer

Hi Spectator,

Please comment on FY 2011 numbers. I am not sure if the actual numbers were updated based on Jan 2012 data - what is the source awaited?

>> I have shown cumulative approvals based on the % that was correct for FY2011 (it will be corrected when the actual figures are available in Jan 2012).

eb2ODer,

I am waiting for the DOS Visa Statistics for FY2011 so that I know the exact number of visas issued in FY2011.

Last year, the statistics were released in January - they are late this year.

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