Originally Posted by
Spectator
Teddy,
Yes, we certainly differ on that.
From the DHS figures, we know that EB2 received 66.8k visas last year, which is 26.8k over the 40k initial allocation - so spillover was 26.8k
We also know that EB1 contributed 14.8k spillover, EB4 contributed 3.2k spillover and EB5 contributed 5.9k spillover. That is a total of 23.9k spillover. EB3 effectively contributed the remainder, since they fell 2.5k short of their allocation and EB as a whole fell short of 140k.
Further, we know that China received 17.5k total EB visas and India received 33.6k total EB visas. We can estimate IC usage in the other EB Categories based on historical values.
That pretty much pegs EB2-IC SOFAD at around 33.5k, especially as we also know that EB2-C received 8.3k visas (perhaps slightly more).
If EB2-IC used 33.5k, then EB2-WW must have used 33.3k. This level would only yield 1.1k fall across within EB2 itself.
A higher calculated EB2-WW usage in FY2011 will yield higher usage numbers for FY2012. In fact, using my figure instead of 28k, you would come out at pretty much 22k.