Thanks Spec. As always - you are the last word.
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Thanks Spec. As always - you are the last word.
It seems like second coronavirus relief bill has stalled and it had uscis funding budget too. Does it mean uscis will furlough and slow down application process?
I came across these "Wait List Reports" for 2019, 2018 and 2017 and trying to understand those numbers that look very high to me. Is this effectively inventory for CP cases.
EB3I as of NOV 1 2019 = 20,751
EB3I as of NOV 1 2018 = 21,385
EB3I as of NOV 1 2017 = 21,962
EB2I as of NOV 1 2019 = 15,651
EB2I as of NOV 1 2018 = 13,387
EB2I as of NOV 1 2017 = 10,961
The 2019 report is available from the below link; rest just click directly
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...tatistics.html
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2019.pdf
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2018.pdf
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2017.pdf
Probably not since some official testified to congress that they have a 1.1B surplus.Quote:
Originally Posted by longwaitgigu
IndiaQuote:
Originally Posted by usvisas
EB1 : 1,282
EB2: 15,651
EB3: 20,751
37k is total number Indians waiting for GC here in US and elsewhere?
with So all the above should be wiped ??
Yes, this is the number of cases at NVC waiting for Consular Processing.Quote:
Originally Posted by usvisas
The I-140 would have specified CP, or the beneficiary specified it later and asked USCIS to transfer the I-140.
The number includes any dependents that were mentioned in the I-140 petition.
Remember that these numbers include all PD that NVC have received in time to prepare the report, not those that are current in the VB.
So, the 15,651 figure for EB2-I covers c. 10 PD years of I-140 petitions received by NVC. That averages to just over 1,500 per PD year which doesn't seem too huge a figure.
The combined number for EB2-I & EB3-I is c. 36k, including most dependents. Considering PERM approvals for India that cover that period are several hundreds of thousands, it doesn't seem crazy high.
Given not all CP cases will proceed, I would only treat the numbers as indicative.
Thanks Spec. By "not those that are current in the VB", you mean it would include an EB2/3I I-140 CP with PD of 2019 that has never ever been current?
We never know for sure. They always find a reason or another to not move the dates. Lets wait and worry about other things that we can control.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Do enjoy some of the Shayari that Q and couple other old timers have written, worry about how to plan for kids education, life insurance, retirement planning etc.,
Hamara number aayega - sometime in the future :)
Correct.Quote:
Originally Posted by usvisas
It would include any approved I-140 where the applicant had selected Consular Processing.
In addition, if the applicant chose Consular Processing at a later stage, upon approval of an I-824, USCIS would send the I-140 to NVC.
where "petition" for EB1 - EB3 refers to an I-140. It would be I360 for EB4 and I526 for EB5.Quote:
The petitions of applicants who will be processed at an overseas post are forwarded by USCIS to the Department of State; applicants in categories subject to numerical limit are registered on the visa waiting list. Each case is assigned a priority (i.e., registration) date based on the filing date accorded to the petition.
....
As such, the following figures ONLY reflect petitions which the Department of State has received, and do not include the significant number of applications held with the USCIS Offices.
The following figures have been compiled from the NVC report submitted to the Department on November 1, 2019, and show the number of immigrant visa applicants on the waiting list in the various preferences and subcategories subject to numerical limit. All figures reflect persons registered under each respective numerical limitation, i.e., the totals represent not only principal applicants or petition beneficiaries, but their spouses and children entitled to derivative status under INA 203(d) as well.
Got it Guru Spec!
any guesses on how much EB3 and EB2 I will move in the next bulletin ?
Quote:
Originally Posted by rabp77
Not much. An educated guess based on the furlough news below.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...hs/3344178001/
Hi Spec, can you please help me with these two questions:
1. In the visa bulletins why do we have this group of countries: "EL SALVADOR,GUATEMALA, HONDURAS" as oversubscribed under EB charts. Going by the annual number of visa's given to them, they are very less than 2800 (7%). Same for Vietnam. EL SALVADOR,GUATEMALA, HONDURAS - have been in the charts since May 2016 and Vietnam since May 2018. Also, why are these three countries together = EL SALVADOR,GUATEMALA, HONDURAS?
2. Not sure if this a silly one, but its not clear to me. In visa statistics page each year, does table V (under EB section which is Part 2) - include both consular and non-consular visas granted AND table VI - provides only the consular numbers?
Table V is titled:
Immigrant Visas Issued and Adjustments of Status Subject to Numerical Limitations (by Foreign State of Chargeability): Fiscal Year 2019
Table VI is titled:
Preference Immigrant Visas Issued (by Foreign State of Chargeability): Fiscal Year 2019
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...fice-2019.html
Replies inline.
Quote:
Originally Posted by usvisas
Thank you again Guru Spec!
Why are unaccompanied children counted in EB4?Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
again what shall we infer, for SEPT,OCT,NOV,DEC Visa bulletins?
feb 2011 pd.
when shall VO reopen the dates to build inventory for eb3i
https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the...rant-juvenilesQuote:
Originally Posted by srimurthy
Petition and Application Processing
If an immigrant visa is immediately available, you may generally file your Form I-360 and Form I-485 at the same time. Immigrant visas for SIJs come from the employment-based fourth preference (EB-4) immigrant visa category for special immigrants. For more information on immigrant visa availability, go to our Visa Availability and Priority Dates page.
Many have gotten themselves into quite a predicament inferring the dates movement and that is not going to stop people like me :D.Quote:
Originally Posted by H1b2006
Based on the past 6 months data, CO is very conservatively moving dates however, SEP bulletin is going to reveal some insight into whether he expects any SO and if any would he like to put them into use.
OCT bulletin is going to be the deal breaker where the DFF and FAD should get close (For both EB3I and EB2I) that is going to drive the inventory build up in subsequent bulletins.
Here comes the real challenge.
USCIS might not honor the DFF even if CO moves because the org is okay to furlough their own but not take any new applications even in this dire situation.
However they might not be able to do this for longer time as 97% of the organization's funding comes from Fees. So gates have to be opened at some point in time so hang in there.
This is obviously a pattern with this Admin:Quote:
Originally Posted by EB2IndSep09
Wreck the EPA from inside out: loosen regulations
Wreck the Dept of Edu: Push charter schools
Wreck the USCIS/DoS: Reduce immigration
Wreck USPS: Restrict mail-in ballots....
the list goes on.
Hello All,
There are good number of Seniors in this group and I am now in a confusing situation. please help
Employer A filed i140 and approved with Sept 2009 EB2 and never filed i485 ( no EAD and AP) waiting for dates to be current ( THIS IS MY EX employer who may help me file i148 when dates are current
(This is my CURRENT EMPLOYER )
Employer B filed PERM in EB3 and waiting for PERM to be approved in a month or two (I know i can port the Sept 2009 Eb2 to this when filling i140) as this is current but might end up waiting for some time to get i140 approved
Looking into all the situation at this point. Please advise best of your knowledge on which route I should go. Emp 1 or Emp2
There are good number of Seniors in this group and I am now in a confusing situation.
Employer A filed i140 and approved with Sept 2009 EB2 and never filed i485 ( no EAD and AP) waiting for dates to be current ( THIS IS MY EX employer who may help me file i148 when dates are current
(This is my CURRENT EMPLOYER )
Employer B filed PERM in EB3 and waiting for PERM to be approved in a month or two (I know i can port the Sept 2009 Eb2 to this when filling i140)
Looking into all the situation at this point. Please advise best of your knowledge on which route I should go (Employer A or Employer B)
If I have to take a wild guess regarding Sep VB,
EB1/2/3 ROW all Current
EB1I - Moved to Aug 2018
EB3I - Moved to Dec 09
EB2I - Left languishing in the gutter
Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly
Lol! Maybe CO ought to adopt your language. EB3I: We throw you some crumbs now and then, EB2I: You are royally screwed!!
My Sept VB guess, EB2I will move by a week, EB3l by a month, accelerating downgrade rat race.
We will get to know only when VB is published, and I think SEP VB is not going to be out till last week or earliest by next Friday 21st.
If the furloughs are to happen at USCIS by the end of August, I doubt there will be any movement.Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly
Are we looking for the VB to be released by next Friday? DT had promised his merit based EO (that will cover DACA too), lately there is no news on that. If it is still in works, maybe the VB will come only after that. It looks like the FB to EB spillover will happen in October. CO should have great visibility of how many GCs are in play and move the dates.Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
At this point in time it is only furlough that is in play for releasing the VB so my earlier guess was based on the historic VB publishing dates and earliest going to be next Friday.Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
There must be so many EB2I cases that have EADs between July 2009 to 2012 when EB2I became current for short time. Since those cases have been adjudicated already and now only need new medicals & employment letters, it should clear out that EB2I batch pretty fast with SO.
CO should have applied the 25K+ visa numbers that are going to be wasted to this batch of people. I wonder why he did not do that. Dearth of processing capacity is not the sole reason. It would have cleared the backlog till 2010 easily.
My Guess EB3I DEC09 --SEPT bulletin
EB3I May10 --OCT Bulletin
EB3I OCT10 --NOV Bulletin
EB3I MAR11--DEC Bulletin
That's way too optimistic prediction for eb3Quote:
Originally Posted by H1b2006
IMO it's not reaching march 2011 at least till oct 2021
EB3 other than India & China is at April 2019. Not many more I-140s would have been approved before pandemic started biting hard. So regular 40K EB3 quota plus 30K from the anticipated 110K SO which we might see from FY21 could push EB3I.Quote:
Originally Posted by H1b2006
Porting from EB3 to EB2 also started big time from around 2010 timeframe. Many of them got lucky during 2012. Unless EB2 folks start downgrading fast EB3I will move extremely fast. Still March 2011 is very optimistic.
What is the logic behind March 2011 specifically? why not JAN 2011 or April 2011 ?
Please use your psychic powers for EB2-I junta too
Just a 5months increment. when spill over is applied it can be anywhere between 3-5months advancement per bulletin without spillover we are seeing 1 month advancement.
Since it's just a guesswork, people always try to cover their PDs. A lot of people here do it in the name of predictions.Quote:
Originally Posted by 1312011_eb2I
Feb 29, 2010Quote:
Originally Posted by getsaby
Sept 2020 VB is out. Only EB1-I FA (+21 days) had moved.
very bad. hope better luck next bulletin.