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I guess this explain the reason why not many people who became current in last couple of bulletin may have not heard any thing regarding there card process:Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...dc8_story.html
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/22/polit...ion/index.html
This is wrong link
If i recall, AC21 was passed in 2000 (last year of Clinton) alongwith h1b increase from 65k to 195k for some time.
Yes, you are right on! AC21 was passed in 2000, apologies for the oversight.Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
Changing up the topic from doom & gloom; There are some bright spots.
- Many of the corporate offices have closed and become fully remote. In that setting how can one post "Notice of Filing" for PERM? As it is a legal requirement, It may not be possible to do PERM till the offices are opened. The Covid situation should bring down the ROW demand and some positive impact might be seen in 2021 itself. Are your companies doing PERM now or has it completely stopped?
- If the second stimulus has house wording (Re. Meng) on carrying over spillover, then we may still have 25K additional visa's next year.
- Expectation is that Trump's new EO will throw EB-I some breadcrumbs.
Siskind had just posted regarding this: Brandt Carter Atlanta DOL - Posting notice for PERM - If a business is all remote because of COVID, it's okay to post notice on exterior door.Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
I am also interested in understanding the effect of the worsening US-China relations on EB5. They have traditionally been the largest consumers and are coming under increasing scrutiny.
Here is one article: https://www.bloombergquint.com/polit...-5-green-cards
Wouldn't the demand of eb2 and eb3 china CP go down for next year?
Even for H1 we were requested by the employer to post the LCA on the exterior door for 10days in May itself. So it may just be a continuation.Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly
https://fcw.com/articles/2020/07/21/...enate.aspx?m=1
Furloughs!! not quite yet
Let's see!
Coming back to the guesstimate game, since US consulate is closed in China do you think there could be a significant movement in FAD for EB2-I? Do you think EB1-I will be cleared for spillover to come to EB2-I?
looks like furloughs postponed
https://www.wcax.com/2020/07/24/leah...ghs-postponed/
If the agency is lying to its own employees about its financial situation, what all they must be lying about?Quote:
Originally Posted by usvisas
Leahy did great. It is not a surprise he is a democrat. USCIS needs a complete overhaul of how they work. The buggers are still passing paper around and sucking the blood out of immigrants by charging sky high prices.Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
I knew this coming. hahahah very funny that the blood sucking USCIS management being shown the correct funds not the deficit.Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
Leahy pivoting the deficits to surplus what a comedy of lying by USCIS to it's own people
They can't show a simple number, how many people with pending I-485 on quarterly basis, we can understand, how clue less this organization is.Quote:
Originally Posted by texas_
There are countless such things with their process, no transparency.
The articles report "new revenue estimates that show the agency ending the fiscal year in a surplus". Still the furlough was only postponed by a month. Am I missing something here? or is it one of those conniving schemes being hatched by USCIS?
If my understanding is right, USCIS didn't say they are going to furlough all 13,000 employees on Aug 3,2020. They said, they will start furloughing 13,000 employees starting from Aug 3,2020.With Senate intervention, most likely FY 2020 will escape unscathed. The problem was not solved yet and likely in FY 2021 USCIS will face issues. The start of the FY2021 is barely 2 months away.Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
While it's good news for FY2020, the problem will only become bigger with perceived FB SO for FY2021. Hope they find a way to resolve this issue sooner or later.
I have my Employment based EB2-I I-485 pending with USCIS and I am currently on Parole status and have I94 validity until June 2021.
Questions:
1.How can i extend my Parole I-94 beyond June 2021 within US without traveling outside the country?
2.Where should I apply for Parole I-94 extension and How?
2.How soon i should i apply for Parole I-94 extension?
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
Come FY 2021 all the bloodsuckers would be hungry for $$ to open a flood gate bit to squeeze out some hard earned money from the beneficiaries
Don't worry this circus is endless and need some kind of intervention by POTUS or Law makers eg. Leahy to pivot numbers real way not the FAKE WAY
Guys, is there any news on FB spillover? Is there any bill which is trying to stop that? just want to confirm.
Also, if USCIS is trying to allocate SO to EB2 China, can we sue them?
Someone has posted the Check In With Charlie from the AILA site on Trackitt https://www.trackitt.com/usa-discuss...-july-21-2020/
Here's some of the more interesting parts:
but you can read the full text at the above link.Quote:
Check-in with DOS s Charlie Oppenheim: July 21, 2020
General Observations
Given reduced processing capacity occasioned by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Department of State and USCIS are closely collaborating to maximize number usage for FY20, focusing on processing capacity and the applications that are capable of being finalized this fiscal year. There continues to be forward movement in all family-based preference categories and in most employment-based preference categories in August, with the exception of EB-2 India, EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras and EB-4 Mexico, which hold at their July dates (July 8, 2009, April 1, 2017 and June 15, 2018 respectively). In particular, there is rapid advancement in the EB-1 and EB-3 categories. There is insufficient time for new I-485 filings resulting from these advancements to be processed to completion before the end of the fiscal year. These movements were instead motivated by a desire to convert pre-adjudicated demand at USCIS into immigrant visa issuance prior to October 1, 2020.
Processing capacity has been dramatically diminished at consular posts, and USCIS normally processes about eighty-five percent of the Employment-based immigrant visa numbers each fiscal year. Following imposition of final action dates on EB-1 China and EB-1 India, USCIS continued to process these applications, and in many cases, even conducted interviews before the pandemic hit. Thousands of these applications can potentially be finalized following a renewed security check and/or upon receipt of a medical exam, thus enabling the employment-based annual limits to be reached or approximated as closely as possible.
If a furlough of USCIS employees occurs as planned in early August, it could have a significant negative impact on the government s efforts to maximize immigrant visa number usage for FY20.
From EB1:
AILA members may notice that EB-1 China and EB-1 India now have the same final action date. This is because they have both reached their per country limits and are now utilizing otherwise unused numbers from the EB-1 category as well as numbers that have fallen up from otherwise unused EB-5 numbers. Otherwise unused numbers are available within the EB-1 category because the rest of world demand is currently insufficient to fully utilize numbers under the Worldwide limit this fiscal year. While there is still potential for forward movement in EB-1 China and EB-1 India in September, any advance movements are unlikely to be as dramatic as in August.
From EB2:
EB-2 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) remains current in August and will remain so through this fiscal year. EB-2 China advances approximately nine weeks from November 8, 2015 to January 15, 2016. In contrast, EB-2 India holds at July 8, 2009 in August. It is currently estimated that there is a sufficient amount of worldwide demand to reach or approximate the EB-2 annual limit for FY2020.
From EB3:
EB-3 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) and EB-3 Worldwide Other Workers (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) continue to advance rapidly at the pace of almost one year in August from April 15, 2018 to April 1, 2019. This advancement includes over three thousand EB-3 Philippines applications which are eligible to be finalized.
Thank you Spec.
I think we might see slight EB2I and EB3I movement in Sep Bulletin. EB2I might see 3-4months FAD movement in Oct. Not sure about EB3I.
Does this mean they will use 25k spillover CO was mentioning earlier?
Last checkin, he said Eb2 wont use its full numbers, and now says there is sufficient worldwide demand. I dont consider any of these checkin predictions seriously now a days.
Someone on this forum recently shared an article where the Senate Appropriations Committee was making USCIS accountable for wastage of visas...and this month's check-in magically has no mention of the 25k wastage! Instead CO says there is enough worldwide demand for EB2I! I don't believe these check-in meetings anymore. There is no real value addition to predictions.Now EB2I will not move next month because there is enough ROW demand Vs maybe furlough/ processing issues. Same outcome, different reason!Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
Spec,
Thank you for your thoughtful, data driven, and most importantly pessimistic update as always!:D I am sure you had tremendous pleasure in highlighting those damned sentences! The show is over for this year. There will be very insignificant if any movement in EB India categories at all in September Visa bulletin. Let's hope for the best for the next year now! Well, we can't expect that hope from you after all. Looking forward to your another pessimistic update next month! Bring it on!! At least, it is good to know that they showed intention to use full quota for this year.
My PD is current.
I have my interview on July 27 and was just going over recent Charlie's check in. If there is no spillover to EB2-I since EB2 ROW is taking over all spillover, does that mean there are no more GC numbers available for EB2-I ? Just trying to make sense as my PD has been current and I'll be done with interview in next 3 days.
I hope there are still numbers available and I get my GC in next 2 to 3 weeks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by lville
If all goes well, most likely you should be assigned a visa number at the end of you interview, and the case should move to approved status after the interview, and you should get the gc In a few weeks.
Best of luck for your interview.
vedu,Quote:
Originally Posted by vedu
I like your style!!!
For those not in on the joke of being the eternal pessimist, let me say I would equally have highlighted good news and been pleased to have been able to do so.
The reason I do highlight/underline passages is that, even when only posting excerpts, we seem to live in such a TLDR world, that I think it's helpful to draw attention to the salient points.
I generally don't tend to comment on information - rather I post what I believe to be interesting information and leave it to be interpreted by the reader.
I am genuinely baffled as to how the tone from CO can have changed so much in one month.
First, it's "EB will use at least 25k less than the allocation" and now he's saying EB2 will likely use its entire allocation (having previously also said EB3 will use its entire allocation). Additionally EB1 use by China and India is now using using up at least some of the EB1 total allocation.
At this point - I think I give up. We're no privy to what USCIS is telling him and that's probably at the root of any change. I can't divine what the truth is.
To put a positive spin on it - if these visas are indeed used by ROW in FY2020, then they won't have to come out of the FY2021 allocation.
Good luck everybody.
Yes, that's the only positive thing I see in this update. I am cautiously optimistic about the next year for both EB2I and EB3I candidates, at least for those with priority dates before April 30th, 2010. With all the chaos that happened this year, finally we will see the demand slowing down resulting in spillover. Also, there will be some meaningful spill across from FB to EB, even if not as high as people are expecting now. The filing dates in October bulletin will be first clear indication of how the next year is going to play out. If those dates won't show material forward movements at the beginning of the next year, then unfortunately all bets will be off.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Trackitt I-485 approval data:
Oct 2018 - June 2019 - 947
Oct 2019 - June 2020 - 517
For the coronavirus months, the approvals are half of what it was the previous year. I do not see how USCIS can use up all the quota. CO has magically changed the tune that there may not be wastage. Does not make any sense. Even if USCIS lies, is there anyway for us to know?
They do publish visa issuance data periodically. So that should eventually tell us if the quota was used.Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
By not mentioning 25k wastage, CO released whatever pressure congress can put on them. Even if they waste visas now, by the time people know about it, it will be too late to correct it.Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
I laugh why he got the wisdom of using pre-adjudicated cases in last two months? He could have used that wisdom starting from June bulletin rather than waiting till Aug bulletin.
Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
Cases pre adjudicates in 2012 should be May 2010 for Eb2I and April 2010 for Eb3I. Long way away from those dates in 2020.
I wonder if many of us reach out to DHS Ombudsman's office, if it will help raise the issue https://www.dhs.gov/contact-cisomb .Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha0
Case Assistance Inquiries: cisombudsman@hq.dhs.gov
For information relating to teleconferences or stakeholder engagements: CISOmbudsman.PublicAffairs@hq.dhs.gov
Total lack of transparency and accountability.
If you have a grievance about your specific case associated with a case number, it may be useful. General complaints will likely be just ignored unless it's through a formal mechanism like an inquiry through a member of Congress. With this admin, even that is probably going to be ignored if they can ignore official subpoenas.Quote:
Originally Posted by Immigo
@March1612
myUnderstanding is that you don’t need to extend I94. I don’t extend mine as well. I got uscis save verification for driving license without issues.
People can be paroled into the U.S. only for a period of up to one year. Thus, your I-94 card will only be valid for a period not to exceed one year from the date of your entry into the U.S. Note that this I-94 expiration date is not relevant for status purposes or AP document validity purposes. Unless you leave the USA and reenter, you cannot extend the validity date on I-94 for "DA" or Parolee class of admission.Quote:
Originally Posted by march1612
Under current USCIS guidance, individuals maintaining H-1B, L-1A or L-1B status who travel outside the U.S. and reenter using valid AP documents may resume such status assuming that status remains valid. Those using an EAD for employment are not considered to be maintaining their nonimmigrant visa status and must use an AP for travel.
Hope this helps.
From GSiskind: The State Department is now estimating there will be an additional 110,000 green cards for the employment-based categories starting in October (250K in total). It's based on a combination of factors - USCIS slowdowns, consular closures and the 4/22 visa ban.
https://twitter.com/gsiskind/status/1287845829567447040