EB2 prediction estimate visibility for 2012 2013 2014
Quote:
Originally Posted by
TeddyKoochu
Thanks for your detailed post. Quite honestly we should go about this year by year because every year is different and the subsequent year is kind of base-lined on the previous one, as of now even 2011 SOAFD has not been base-lined, but I do understand your question is perfectly justified. The prediction of Jan Filers getting GC this year is only possible if more than 10K numbers are there which is quite likely if only what Ron is saying is true the first 2 weeks of April will help us understand this most likely . If USCIS crossed the limits on approvals then we will fall far short of this. By Sep 2013 though Iam confident that all 2008 filers would be greened almost for sure though.
Thanks TeddyKoochu. I see your point of going year by year. This was just some higher level overview of movement since there are now ppl with PD upto May 2010 who are expecting things to happen in 2yrs timeframe. Just to bring more anticipaters onboard discussion.
Thanks its encouraging to see that you said by Sep 2013, PD should be after Aug 2008.
Anyways, If we assume that there are 5k-10k numbers in sep2012, than yes we should see significant date movement (upto mid 2008) in sep visa bulletin. But chances are low.
What I dont understand is the movement after Sep 2012.
Earlier dates were only moved in last quarter of fiscal year. This was because there was known inventory of I485 filled appls. Now with all the recent forward date movement,this is the same situation as in 2008-2010. USCIS has a lot of adjuncted I485 cases and know the normal visa supply in quarter. why wud they give spillover in early fiscal yr by doing guesswork.
Updated PERM Processing Factsheet as at March 26, 2012 Released
You can find it here.
The number of Certifications has only risen about 2k since the last fact sheet dated March 5, 2012. Strangely, the number of cases processed has decreased about 500. I think that is because the March 5 figure should have been 18,170 rather than the 21,420 reported.
The number of filings have increased about 4k in that time.
Audit and Supervised Recruitment % has risen in the Active cases, while the % in Appeals has dropped slightly.
Who is not eligible to Adjust Status?
This is what I-485 instructions say...
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10. Who is not eligible to Adjust Status?
Unless you are applying for creation of record based on continuous residence since before January 1, 1972, Or adjustment of status under a category in which special rules apply (such as 245(i) adjustment, asylum adjustment, Cuban adjustment, special immigrant juvenile adjustment, or special immigrant military personnel adjustment), you are not eligible for adjustment of status if any of the following apply to you:
A. You entered the United States in transit without a visa;
B. You entered the United States as a non-immigrant crewman;
C. You were not admitted or paroled following inspection by an immigration officer;
D. Your authorized stay expired before you filed this application;
E. You were employed in the United States without USCIS authorization prior to filing this application;
F. You failed to maintain your non-immigrant status, unless your failure to maintain status was through no fault of your own or for technical reasons; unless you are applying because you are:
1. An immediate relative of a U.S. citizen (parent, spouse, widow, widower, or unmarried child under 21 years old);
2. A K-1 fiancé (e) or a K-2 fiancé (e) dependent who married the U.S. petitioner within 90 days of admission; or
3. An H or L non-immigrant or special immigrant (foreign medical graduates, international organization employees, or their derivative family members);
G. You were admitted as a K-1 fiancé (e), but did not marry the U.S. citizen, who filed the petition for you, or you were admitted as the K-2 child of a fiancé (e) and your parent did not marry the U.S. citizen who filed the petition:
H. You are or were a J-1 or J-2 exchange visitor and are subject to the 2-year foreign residence requirement and you have not complied with or been granted a waiver of the requirement;
I. You have A, E, or G non-immigrant status or have an occupation that would allow you to have this status, unless you complete Form I-508 (Form I-508F for French nationals) to waive diplomatic rights, privileges, and immunities and, if you are an A or G non-immigrant, unless you submit a completed Form I-566;
J. You were admitted to Guam as a visitor under the Guam visa waiver program;
K. You were admitted to the United States as a visitor under the Visa Waiver Program, unless you are applying because you are an immediate relative of a U.S. citizen (parent, spouse, widow, widower, or unmarried child under 21 years of age); or
L. You are already a conditional permanent resident.
