Thoughts on Inventory Build-up
Hi All
I have been a silent follower of this forum. It is doing a great job in throwing lot of light into all these chaos. Trying and finding some (lot of) patterns and predictions, taking out wild guesses. Good job guys, keep it up.
Now, I have a thought/ questions:
Many gurus say that there is no need for CO to build up inventory and he has enough for FY15.
With the latest visa bulletin moving the EB2-I dates to May 01, 2009, by the end of sept, my guestimate is that CO would be left with around 13K inventory. (Is this correct?). If not, what is the figure expected. (Out of these 13K, all of them may not be 100% fit for GC for some reason or other. Or why is that we still case from 2004, 5 and 6 in 485 pending inventory?. My guesstimate here is 1K no-fit cases)
Following the last few years trend, EB2-I is getting around 18K to 20K every year.
This being the case, for FY15, CO would still need around 6 to 8K more. (So as not to waste any visas). Assuming 2K from porting (again, is this correct?), he would still need around 4 to 6K more.
Allowing for processing time of 4 months, he would need to call these IN 4 months before last quarter of FY15. That should be somewhere in March or April. (Further I believe USCIS will be overloaded with H1B season).
So I believe (Hope) there is a chance for inventory buildup sometime early next spring.
I believe CO would rather collect and have more inventoried not so as not to waste VISAs.
Am I missing something (or lot of things?) Gurus, any thoughts on these lines?