Once again Spec proved man of numbers
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Spectator
Sai,
To put into context what you are saying, with numbers, the Overall Ratio for CY2007 and CY2008 new applications would have to be around 0.40 to use only 25k visas for EB2-IC up to a Cut Off Date of 01JAN09 in FY2012. That compares to the 0.8 - 1.0 that I think Teddy and me use.
Using my assumptions for other factors, that is Demand Destruction of 62%, assuming 20% of PERM cases are denied at the I-140 stage ( and that may be an over estimation).
Using Teddy's assumptions, the Demand Destruction would have to be even higher - 69%.
That doesn't even take into account Porting cases or extra numbers left with PDs from FY2011. If those were factored in, then Demand Destruction of 71-76% might be required.
You may be comfortable with such extreme numbers - personally, I am not with the evidence to hand at the moment.
Once again thank you so much for your valuable time and also you proved you are man with numbers.
so i totally understand what you are saying ,i know we have 7000 cases left in the 2007 and we need to consider porting also.
Lets put in this way
2007 cases : 7000
Porting : 4000
Aug 15 -Dec 30 : 5000 (around 1000 month including I+C)
Jan 08 - Dec 08 : 1000 (around 1000 month I+C)
------------------------------------------------------------
Total : 26000
Thanks in advance
so with out HR 3012 are we still sticking to March 2008 (even demand destruction) ?