Agency struggles to stay afloat. It seeks cash infusion.
What's impact? Staff reductions? More time to adjudicate applications?
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Agency struggles to stay afloat. It seeks cash infusion.
What's impact? Staff reductions? More time to adjudicate applications?
There are ~12.5K pending I-485 for EB2-I for period between Jun 2009 - Apr 2010. Check this:
https://www.aila.org/infonet/process...tistics-7-1-18
Thank you!
Last night i was wondering....If USCIS staff do not resume their work on time, even though there may be horizontal/vertical spill over - they will be wasted as they will not be assigned to existing backlog.
Is this possible at all? Or will they tag the applications with a GC nbr and assign them as time permits (i saw that happened couple of years ago).
Any guesses?
You can look at Trackitt monthly approvals for all countries. Both in April and May, there have been approvals (around half of previous months). The numbers are small to make any statistical conclusions, but the general sense I get is that USCIS is working, but at a slower rate.
But it is indeed possible that they will waste visas. That is why, this month's visa bulletin is so much interesting. CO will have a clear view on the usage. So he can move EB2-I and EB3-I a little more aggressively. But on the other hand, in the most recent checkin, he only thought of talking about EB1-I.
Well the mysterious June Bulletin ! It almost materialized . The page appeared and then it disappeared. So curious what’s going on behind scenes? Was it too conservative or aggressive and needed to be pulled back?
Interesting though if they are unable to process or forced to process EB applications, I’m sure all EB folks can make up a significant chunk of money they need but have to wait until October to materialize. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/17/u...is-budget.html
another related article : https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/18/polit...rus/index.html
Maintenance team might have been asked to hold-up till 22-May
As per EO on 22-Apr,
Sec. 6. Additional Measures.
Within 30 days of the effective date of this proclamation, the Secretary of Labor and the Secretary of Homeland Security, in consultation with the Secretary of State, shall review nonimmigrant programs and shall recommend to me other measures appropriate to stimulate the United States economy and ensure the prioritization, hiring, and employment of United States workers.
A technical team that works to create web pages for visa bulletin.
Last visa bulletin was postponed and published after EO was signed. So, this visa bulletin might get published after period is over for possible additional measures.
Yesterday DOS released Monthly data, An Interesting point in the data is EB3 got 44 visas, and out of these 44, 43 were issued to Indians. All these 43 were issued outside the country in Abu Dhabi, Kuwait, and Manama.
June VB is out... EB2 10 day movement ,.. and EB3 1 month... https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...june-2020.html
Congrats Paramjit ! So happy for you. 11 Years wait but who’s counting .
Unfortunately, CO has become very conservative since the Nov 2014 bulletin fiasco. Since then he never took any aggressive steps, in fact he only played overly defensive as if not to hurt the feelings of someone. He would rather waste visas than move the PDs aggressively. He will not take any chances to upset the admin and anti Indians. Pre Nov 2014, his priority was not to waste any visas but move PDs anticipating future visa allocations. Now a days he dont try to venture into how future demand looks like and move PDs on that. He simply looks into how many visas were allocated in last month and what the monthly quota is. Based on that he conservatively moves the dates even if that results in visa wastage. I think he has been warned not to guess future GC allocations by uscis. He will simply waste visas this year in big numbers.
Congrats to all whose dates are current with Jun VB.
Gurus,
Unable to understand what the rationale of CO is for not moving the Dates For Filing especially for EB2 when the FA dates and DFF are just days apart.
He will at least know and build the inventory if he keeps the EB3 and EB2 DFF same. My apologies if this has been already answered and is in archives.
Just last week on the Murthy website (https://www.murthy.com/2020/05/13/up...predictions/): Mr. Oppenheim expects that the EB1 category for India will continue to advance fairly slowly for the rest of the fiscal year. Fiscal year 2020 ends September 30, 2020.
So, bottom-line, no one knows.
What is also the rationale behind the very slow movement? Are we already on the verge of exhausting the entire quota of eb2i allocation for this year including the spillover from last year(FB)? Sorry, have not been following the monthly DOS statistics. Is anyone still optimistic and hoping for a more positive movement in the last quarter?
As per pending inventory of 2018, they already have almost 8000 pending 485 applications, assuming 4-5 thousands are processed from July 208 to till date.
Question: EB based horizontal spillover will be applied in last quarter, means from July onwards. Correct?
CO already has a significant known Inventory beyond the current Cut Off Dates for both EB2-I and EB3-I as far as I can see.
For EB2-I, the last published Inventory in July 2018 shows in excess of 10k pending cases for July 2009 through April 2010 PD.
EB3-I has had one month when Filing Dates were current (and accepted by USCIS) up to 01APR10 and 6 months when Filing Dates were current (and accepted by USCIS) up to 01FEB10. At minimum, CO has a known EB3-I demand 10 months past the Cut Off Date published in the June VB.
Given that situation, where he already has a good grasp of demand into the future, where is the urgency (for CO) to build it further at this point in time?
My 2 cents anyway.
Thanks Spec for sharing your view and agree with your thoughts to certain extent.
However that inventory is from 2018 and as we all including CO knows the EB3 drastic movement of cut off dates that happened later and people started reverse porting.
Wondering if that number would still stand correct and his decision to not move the DFF is correct based on the stale data available. This hurts fewer population who missed the boat to file their AOS 8 years back.
Quick Question
From the description of the Visa Bulletin:
A. (F2A) Spouses and Children of Permanent Residents: 77% of the overall second preference limitation, of which 75% are exempt from the per-country limit;
How is F2A says 75% of the visa will be exempt from per country limit? Is this part of the Law if yes does not anyone when it was passed? How did they anticipate this need?
Guys,
Longtime reader of this blog. Just wanted to share that we received card production email this morning. Thanks to everyone here. This blog has helped me over the years. All the best everyone.
Hello gurus, my eb2 priority is oct 29, 2009. do you think this date can be reached by fiscal end?
Hello Friends, My Priority date is Jun 8th 09 which is current in this months' bulletin. My medicals are 4 years old and no changes in case's status. May I know how long I can wait to get RFA for medicals? what to do in case no change to my case's status? I am planning to contact local house representative office to activate my case? Please help me on next steps.
Thanks suninphx and rabp77!
Heavily depends on USCIS securing a $1.2B funding from Congress. Absent that, USCIS will furlough employees starting 7/1 impacting GC and VISA processing alike.
If things stay normal (what is that these days?), my biased, and unsupported by data, view is that end of October 2009 is possible by March 2021. If it happens earlier, we both will get to party sooner; as my PD is 7th October 2009.
I would think that there is a good chance for both of you and entire 2009 to clear before the end of 2020. I personally hope so. A lot of things are happening such as Reduced demand from CP stoppage, FB stoppage (spillover after October), etc., that are in favor of backlogged folks. With DACA ruling in the air (God forbid another 1 million kids with their DACA EADs expiring), congress will definitely provide some funds to USCIS. What is $1.2B in the midst of trillions ($2T was spent on CARES act). DACA is going to be a big issue once the Supreme court publishes its decision. By end of this month, USCIS will let go about 1000 contracted workforce (from PAE agency) in NBC Kansas City area. NBC will have only about 180 people working mostly on family-based immigration which had a major reduction because of EO. I think USCIS had a hiring freeze and trying to re-organize staff to save cash. So, they will keep running at a reduced capacity.
Let’s be positive and optimistic.