Congratulations sai999
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I am newbie and I was wondering if you guys used 485 Receipt numbers and USCIS online status tool to check how many applications were filed since a specific date and compare it with PERM data to calculate DD. Using my receipt number and going back in time I was able to figure out that close to 105k applications were filed between Nov, 2011 and Feb, 2012 in TSC (since I tried receipt #s that start with SRC, Nov 3 receipt # SRC1290035###). You have to divide this number by 3 since each 485 app generates 3 receipt numbers This number also includes i485, I140 receipts of ROW applicants, so lets take 10% out of the final number, so the total 485 apps filed by I&C in TSC between Nov & Feb comes down to 31.5k. I am guessing only NSC is the other SC that processes 485 and then on top of it you also have to add CP cases. So guys I have no clue why some people are predicting that 2008 will be cleared in FY 2012. The data does not support it or I am doing a terrible mistake here with my assumptions. If anyone who filed in the first week of OCtober can recalcukate the total apps filed based on Nov 3rd receipt # that wud be gr8.
looks like I made a rookie mistake, the 485s can also be from FB but I have no clue how big of a chunk it is in the overall data, but from the quote "I-485 EB receipts now representing 50%-60% of total receipts" from this blog post "http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2012/02/adjusted-eb2-india-china-fy-2012.html", looks like 485 receipts @TSC can be between (52.5 - 63k)/3 >> 17 - 21k
I may be wrong but my understanding is that most (~90%) of FB applications are filed as CP rather than 485. Secondly, only TSC handles FB 485s.
sujan_vatrapu,
Receipt number can be for any Form. EB485's are filed at NSC or TSC, you can find 485 receipts data from USCIS dashboard, data is always 2-3 months behind.
You can check AOS vs CP ratios under FACTS AND DATA section.
guys gals and gurus... please do let me know your comments on this link
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...5083#post25083
Congratulations! Sai999, enjoy!
Thanks a lot vizcard, Kanmani, asankaran, Q, GC-Utopic, eb2visa, srinidhi. It looks like my best bet will be to wait 180 days.
I shall update you after I talk to a attorney.
Hello Gurus,
Need a quick advice.
I got the GC last week.
I have been offer a promotion of "System Engineering Manager" from the current job of "Senior Systems Engineer" in the same group.
The job duties are exactly the same and additional job duties shall include ppl reporting to me.
Can I accept this promotion right away or I have to wait for sometime?
Thanks in advance for your inputs.
Congratulations sai999!! Enjoy the freedom!
I got greened, got CPO mail on 17/03/2012 but dependent not approved yet..
PD 05/08/2008
ND 01/13/2012
AP/EAD: 03/01/12
485CPO: 03/17/12
waiting for dependents approval.
Congratulation sai999 and cm9201!! Enjoy your freedom !!
cm9201, Just curious, what's your service center TSC or NSC?
Thank you dreamer, mine is TSC, I have it on trackitt
I've posted some thoughts about the remainder of the FY on the first page.
you make very reasonable points and assumptions. I think 2008 PDs should plan on a spring-summer 2013 GC time frame .. unless u are lucky enough to get in before May 1. 2009 PDs will most likely be FY 2014. Is this fair ?
what i wonder about is whether or not USCIS and DOS have a real handle on the numbers .. in real time. Considering reports come out on much later than what the data represents, I wonder if its just a reporting delay or if they really have to grind through numbers to get reasonable reporting data.
Hi,
Need help on getting police clearance certificate. I went for my h1b renewal 4 weeks back. The visa officer asked me about a past false dowry related case of my brother which was quashed by the high court 2 yrs back. The officer said he would need to do further back ground check and get back to me pretty soon. I did not receive any letter/case number from the consulate. I was wondering if I can get a PCC and email it to the consulate as further proof that there is no pending charge against my name. I would appreciate any info regarding the same. I'm still waiting for a response from the VO.
vizcard,
Your time scales seem reasonable. Of course it depends on the level of SOFAD available in the future as well. The COD should get back to early 2008 fairly quickly in FY2013. I would hope PD's in 2010 to a little past the current COD would be covered in FY2014 as well, since 2009 was quite a lean year.
I'm sure you are correct about the difficulty in getting good numbers quickly enough. It is hardly USCIS strongest point. They appear to still live in the Stone Age in that respect.
I see people on Trackitt are quite angry and surprised. As I have mentioned before, CO's strategy has allowed the maximum number of people to apply for I-485. With a more controlled movement, the dates would never have reached May 2010.
He probably should have retrogressed earlier, possibly last month when he saw PD in late 2008 being approved. That could have preserved earlier PDs being approved first and he still would have had an option to release the COD a bit later if insufficient cases were approved.
EB1 is an odd one. I can't decide whether CO did it on purpose so he could advance the COD for as long as possible, or he was being fed really bad data from USCIS, which he was forced to believe.
Till what stage did your case go ? Was chargesheet filed or NBW issued in your case? If Passport was impounded or Lookout Circular issued previously then consulate may have a record of it about your passport. You can submit the High Court Quash documents to the consulate for speedy approval.
I know of one case where NBW was issued but no LOC or Red Corner Notice issued, the applicant took the fir quash documents from high court to the interview but the consulate didnt ask anything and gave the visa right away.
In your case it looks like the consulate is aware of the situation.
Some useful info to understand the process of Background check ,,
http://immigrationroad.com/green-car...rity-check.php
http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrele...ecks_42506.pdf
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Laws/Memo...ing-020909.pdf
http://www.cyrusmehta.com/related/Ay...ame_Checks.pdf
Gurus,
I have one quick question. I don't know this is the right place to post this question.
My employer is asking me to fill out the I-9 form with EAD information.
That means my status will change from H1 to EAD. My H1 is valid until Feb 2014.
Because I don't want to move on EAD but I applied for EAD for if emergencie comes.
Is it ok to fill out the I-9 form with EAD information that means that we are using EAD and status has been changed from H1B to EAD.
And employer is telling that they are not revoking my H1B and when ever I want to come on H1B status I can move.
Please help me regarding this issue.
Thanks in Advance Gurus
Thanks
Shreya
With several PD2008 people already approved, the COD post retrogression may not mean much IMO. It would be interesting to watch though if visa approvals for EB2IC dry up starting from April. (That would also mean that there are enough non IC cases are/will be ready to be approved for ~46% visa numbers which are left - which I highly doubt). I hope retrogression will help us to get some reliable data in terms of inventory.
Friends - question regarding education loan:
My PD is last weel of Apr-2008. I have my EAD/AP cards. This questions assumes that I won't get GC this year which is a fair assumption based on what Gurus have to say on hard data facts.
At what stage will I be able to apply for education loans which are exclusively for permanent residents? Will having EAD card suffice or do I have to wait for my GC cards?
It has been tough to get any good education loan on H1 without a valid co-signer (who will risk being a co-signer in this economy?).
Any input is appreciated.
- Makmohan
With Apr-2008 PD I think you have a very good shot at getting your GC this FY. Now to your question, EAD/AP is not equivalent to GC as far as Student Loans are concerned. AFAIK, you will have to wait for the actual GC to be issued.
If you are going for a professional degree (e.g. MBA), then the top programs often have a deal with CitiAssit where the school acts as a co-signer and you don't need other co-signers. Worth exploring?
Thanks imdeng. I checked with CitiAssist and they now have a co-signer requirement (not sure; may be due to economy or for my school - top MBA program but not in top 10). Credit is indeed very tight.
Looks like I will have to wait patiently to receive my GC. Hopefully my GC comes before a point where I cannot sustain tuition payments through other means and my savings!
- Makmohan
VSC 485 processing dates move back from 4 months to August 14, 2011 and for TSC it is June 2, 2011 .... 485 processing times for VSC and TSC published today
https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do
Spec,
I've read your thoughts and completely agree with you. But have a question to you though.
Given the fact that CIS is approving AOS applications with PD's as far as Oct 2008, and DOS to retrogress to as back as Aug 2007, then what exactly does it mean? Would these late 2008 approvals stand out as a CIS mistake, when dates start to move very slowly past Aug 2007?
Like you said, DOS would move dates from Aug 2007 slowly & steadily taking porting, pending, etc cases into consideration. People who weren't lucky to be picked up by CIS, during this fast pace approval mode, would curse CIS for sure.
Thanks for your insight.