EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

imdeng - my hearty congrats to you and all those families waiting for this day - just 3 years of wait no buddy few including me have waited 8 years - well lets all pray for speedy movement of EB3 aswell , we should not forget our past and pain... I feel so bad for EB3 guys , I was current in last bulliten but still I didnot enjoy it to the core as I know what others would feel . It is ofcourse a time to rejoice but at the same time pray and try to help EB3 folks by all means (estimation etc).
I am not sure if this movement is good or we are locked for long, yes atleast we would get our EAD soon and will be able to travel to our home countries with least issues.
Its been over 4 years that I have visited my folks back in India - its time to pack short bags and leave !!!!! - Try to be first in the queue because moving forward everything is your Recieved Date a.k.a RD

oh well forgot to add , all gurus (q, veni , nishant, teddy , Kanmani, soggadu and others) thanks much god bless you all for everything , you had been a great supporter please continue to do so for anyone and everyone. Please keep posting any news you get on approvals.

Starting this year did you hear of any approvals ???? Do you guys think this June/ July./ Aug/ we would get any spillovers ? If so with your expertize can you lay down a matrix on when would one get their GC approximately. (GC for those who would become current)

Q- when is your tool public
?

Congrats to this batch. This is amazing.

I guess it will take at least 2 months before they see the recent 485 filings become demand data, so retrogression in next two bulletin is unlikely. but, more forward movement in the next two bulletins.. is going to be at CO's discretion.

Wish EB2 becomes current and spillover starts going to EB3.

Oh yes.. need to make flight bookings fast before they are all full this summer season.

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Originally Posted by Desperate8

imdeng - my hearty congrats to you and all those families waiting for this day - just 3 years of wait no buddy few including me have waited 8 years - well lets all pray for speedy movement of EB3 aswell , we should not forget our past and pain... I feel so bad for EB3 guys , I was current in last bulliten but still I didnot enjoy it to the core as I know what others would feel . It is ofcourse a time to rejoice but at the same time pray and try to help EB3 folks by all means (estimation etc).
I am not sure if this movement is good or we are locked for long, yes atleast we would get our EAD soon and will be able to travel to our home countries with least issues.
Its been over 4 years that I have visited my folks back in India - its time to pack short bags and leave !!!!! - Try to be first in the queue because moving forward everything is your Recieved Date a.k.a RD

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Congrats to everyone who became current !!!

This is brilliant. Getting to a point where Gurus may not need a calculation thread anymore. :)

Congratulations to all the 2009 batch!!! 2012 was predicted to be a 'Doom's Day" year - but turning out to be a 'BOON" year for the EB2IC folk. Great way to start the new year!

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Originally Posted by imviswa

This is my first post in this forum, but I have been following all your posts for a very long time. I really appreciate all the analysis and stuff by the experts, it really keep me going...My PD became current as well..If the dates are going to retrogress next month, Will i still get my EAD and AP? Approximately, How long it will take for someone to receive them?

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You should get your EAD and AP within 3-4 months after filling.

Hi, guys, finally my employer filed 485 for me and my wife. I already got 485 receipts. I noticed one problem. My priority date is correct, but my wife's priority date is Dec.29, 2011, which is the received date. Could I contact USCIS to correct this issue? I noticed some other guys also found the same issue. I wonder whether we should all contact USCIS to correct it.

By the way, congratulations to all the friends who got current in this VB! Just as what I said, we deserve an easier life after working for so many years in this country! The government should not choke these immigrants!

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

Hi, guys, finally my employer filed 485 for me and my wife. I already got 485 receipts. I noticed one problem. My priority date is correct, but my wife's priority date is Dec.29, 2011, which is the received date. Could I contact USCIS to correct this issue? I noticed some other guys also found the same issue. I wonder whether we should all contact USCIS to correct it.

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

Hi, guys, finally my employer filed 485 for me and my wife. I already got 485 receipts. I noticed one problem. My priority date is correct, but my wife's priority date is Dec.29, 2011, which is the received date. Could I contact USCIS to correct this issue? I noticed some other guys also found the same issue. I wonder whether we should all contact USCIS to correct it.

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You are fine. Since she's the dependent, the receipt date becomes her PD. no issues there.

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Originally Posted by imdeng

Oh Boy!!! I am CURRENT!!!

I had given up on VB today and left for my evening badminton league - came back and just checked to see if there has been any further discussion of DD and Bam! I am numb right now.

Congratulations to all the 2009 PD folks. We are a lucky bunch - less than 3 years for EAD/AP filing. I hope the PD movement trend continues.

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Many congratulations to you imdeng!!

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

Hi, guys, finally my employer filed 485 for me and my wife. I already got 485 receipts. I noticed one problem. My priority date is correct, but my wife's priority date is Dec.29, 2011, which is the received date. Could I contact USCIS to correct this issue? I noticed some other guys also found the same issue. I wonder whether we should all contact USCIS to correct it.

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Qbf, glad to know everything worked out for you so far. PD for spouse would be the RD, so no issues. By the way, how do you feel about CO now?? ;)

The party's turning out to be an all out carnival!! Just saw the VB news and good lord! I wasnt this excited when I became current last month. Bless CO's heart....this also makes me hopeful that dates may just stall, or at worst, not retrogress beyond mid 2008.
Congrats Kanmani, imdeng, bieber, sportsfan and all you 09ers. Have a very good night and get ready to be poked :)

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Originally Posted by smuggymba

called no one picked up....kiska number hai yeh?

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smuggybhai, must have been busy. Anyways by now, u know.

Just was dancing with daughter to Desi Boyz songs, heart is really happy. Freedom knocks on doorstep.

nikal padi! Its party time!

English thumke, dil ki rhythm pe
Maare jamm jamm ke, Desi Boyz
Sohne mohne Bannke, chhaati dole tann ke
Nach jamm jamm ke, desi boyz

Congrats to every one who got current today. I know how you feel now as I had the same kind of feeling last month when I became current.

Hope CO keeps moving the dates further in upcoming bulletins to make all our EB2 community current soon. God Bless CO.. God Bless America!!!!

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Originally Posted by nishant2200

smuggybhai, must have been busy. Anyways by now, u know.

Just was dancing with daughter to Desi Boyz songs, heart is really happy. Freedom knocks on doorstep.

nikal padi! Its party time!

English thumke, dil ki rhythm pe
Maare jamm jamm ke, Desi Boyz
Sohne mohne Bannke, chhaati dole tann ke
Nach jamm jamm ke, desi boyz

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enjoy karo dost. 3 months se bach gaya. Mine is 31st March, 2010.

Just thinking about all the delays caused by my company HR...they promised to file in mid 2009 which went onto 2009 end....finally was done in March 2010. It's hard to expedite in big companies, they take their own sweet time and don't really know the affect of delaying even by a month. Well it's life. Just signed a contract for a 415K home....hopefully should be currrent soon. Is it possible by the end of year.

Hey mine is 18th March 2010. Hopefully next month we both make it. BTW congratulations on your new home. That's a bold decision!!

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Originally Posted by smuggymba

enjoy karo dost. 3 months se bach gaya. Mine is 31st March, 2010.

Just thinking about all the delays caused by my company HR...they promised to file in mid 2009 which went onto 2009 end....finally was done in March 2010. It's hard to expedite in big companies, they take their own sweet time and don't really know the affect of delaying even by a month. Well it's life. Just signed a contract for a 415K home....hopefully should be currrent soon. Is it possible by the end of year.

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Originally Posted by asankaran

Hey mine is 18th March 2010. Hopefully next month we both make it. BTW congratulations on your new home. That's a bold decision!!

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I doubt next month...2 years movement in 2 months is a big deal. Maybe sometime next year...still not bad if it's early next year...maybe Jan 2013.

Time Span may look big. But those were the worst years of recession. I am pretty much sure 2009/10 wouldn't generate more than 8-9k of demand(even that is more) . USCIS will see real demand once they move beyond June 2010.

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Originally Posted by smuggymba

I doubt next month...2 years movement in 2 months is a big deal. Maybe sometime next year...still not bad if it's early next year...maybe Jan 2013.

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Originally Posted by Kanmani

Jackbrown

Congratulations on your marriage and PD current !

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Thanks Kanmani...

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Originally Posted by asankaran

Time Span may look big. But those were the worst years of recession. I am pretty much sure 2009/10 wouldn't generate more than 8-9k of demand(even that is more) . USCIS will see real demand once they move beyond June 2010.

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let's wait for the experts to chime in. I personally hope, everyone gets current asap.

Hi friends,
A hearty congratulations to all of those who are current. It is definitely a good feeling!

Have a unique question....not sure which thread to place it on....my wife is in India and has a valid H4 stamp on her passport. She did a change of status to H1 while in US and applied for H1 stamp in India. She received a 221g.

Question is if she withdraws her petition for H1, can the consulate cancel her H4 visa? Can she enter US on H4? I am presuming that entering on H4 will mean abandon of status for H1.

The reason for this is my priority date is current and I would her to be back in States rather than wait on her H1 stamp.

Thanks in advance!

Language from the Visa Bulletin regarding this month's movement. Almost a Copy/Paste from the Jan bulletin.

Employment Second:

China and India: Reports from U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) indicate that the rate of new filings for adjustment of status in recent months has been extremely low. This fact has required the continued rapid forward movement of the cut-off date, in an attempt to generate demand and maximize number use under the annual limit. Once the level of new filings or USCIS processing increases significantly, it will be necessary to slow or stop the movement of the cut-off. Readers are once again advised that an eventual need to retrogress the cut-off date is also a distinct possibility.

I think the reason the dates moved has 2 key reasons.

Reason 1

It is true that DOS isn't seeing enough demand. Majority of Pre-July-2007 cases are approved for EB2. Whatever remains is cases with some problems - major or minor. Then whatever was filed Oct onwards .... will not hit DOS until after at least 4 months i.e. January of 2012. That is the reason the dates did move until Feb bulletin since the movement for Feb bulletin is based on January Demand data.

So as soon as the Oct filed 485s will start hitting DOS, the movement is going to stop or worse get into reverse gear.

I am 100% confident that the reversal will come in 1 or max 2 months. i.e. Mar or April bulletin. Then the dates will retrogress to around Q1 2008 or even earlier. But on Sep 2012 the dates will be around Q1 2008.

Reason 2

However if CO had not given QSP then the dates didn't need to move until May 2012. and then he would have hit the proverbial cliff of Jul 2007. That's why he applied QSP in Q1. So the second reason is "INTENT" of building pipeline. Math is one thing. But there is intent to build pipeline now rather than hit the cliff and then be forced to build pipeline. But the way he is building pipeline is very wise. He most likely didn't make it current to avoid clobbering of system as well as avoid political backlash and criticism in this charged environment. However friends we should thank him for doing the right thing. He has moved it far enough to lessen pain for a lot of people as well as help the system assure steady supply of applications as well as do it within his bounds to avoid criticism.

ps. - I doubt if he will continue to apply QSP going forward. We will see.

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Originally Posted by Feb262009

Congrats 2009ers! I am current too. Happy. Happy.

I have 2 questions.

My husband works in different state. Can we do our medical exam in different states?

I applied for my passport renewal (with mother's last name correction) last week. Will a copy of passport enough for Medical exam?

Appreciate your responses.

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Yes, as long as he/she is USCIS certified physician.

You need original passport for medicals.