WhereismyGC.com Related Discussion & Updates

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Originally Posted by bookworm

Thank you Q. Most likely user error. I did update the "Enter Available EB Visas" to 240000 and also "Choose Spillover Months" to all months. However no change in the date :(

I will wait for the Oct 1 update and if have followup questions email through the mailbox.

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Hello bookworm,

This problem is now solved. Please login and check. If you still have any issues please don't hesitate to reach out.

Is the site down?
I see it as 'in maintenance'

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Is the site down?
I see it as 'in maintenance'

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It was down for weekly maintenance. Now it is up.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Hello bookworm,

This problem is now solved. Please login and check. If you still have any issues please don't hesitate to reach out.

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Thank you for the quick turnaround! It works now!

I really wish whereismygc provides clarity into the 'how' of the prediction.
When others in the forums are giving out numbers such as 90k people waiting for EAT till 2011 May, paid members do not know who to trust.

Mr.Q can you look into this.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

I really wish whereismygc provides clarity into the 'how' of the prediction.
When others in the forums are giving out numbers such as 90k people waiting for EAT till 2011 May, paid members do not know who to trust.

Mr.Q can you look into this.

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Sure. This is what we do.

We estimate current backlog as well as future demand by country as well as category. Then we put that into our model. We also estimate various parameters such as denial rates, approval rates and many other things and input them into the model. And then we let the algorithms simulate the way DOS and USCIS would process the queue.

As time goes by new information pops up and we do incorporate such information and adjust our assumption (be it demand or USCIS / DOS operating parameters etc).

The algorithms don't lie. They are biased only to the extent individuals doing the forecast are biased or are limited in their visibility to the data. We remain true to our goal of providing clarity and NEVER EVER engage in building a rosy picture just to get few more customers. We have many instances when people get frustrated and login and logout within minutes when they see reality of how long the wait really is. But we have never ever engaged in making picture look any better than it really is.

This is not a sales pitch. We are just laying out our process and principles - both. Luckily this year there is going to be a very huge number of extra visas available. Many of the backlogged people will benefit tremendously as this is going to cut down their waiting times by years. If they choose to use WhereismyGC, rest assured, we will provide the most realistic assessment of where we believe the chips will fall. We will remain open to new information and will continue to update the model throughout the year.

Hope this helps. Happy to answer further questions.

p.s. - Q is very much active in WhereismyGC. But he wants to ensure that nobody on this blog feels obligated to purchase anything and people can freely use the blog, make predictions and help each other regardless of whether they are or are not customers of WhereismyGC.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Sure. This is what we do.

We estimate current backlog as well as future demand by country as well as category. Then we put that into our model. We also estimate various parameters such as denial rates, approval rates and many other things and input them into the model. And then we let the algorithms simulate the way DOS and USCIS would process the queue.

As time goes by new information pops up and we do incorporate such information and adjust our assumption (be it demand or USCIS / DOS operating parameters etc).

The algorithms don't lie. They are biased only to the extent individuals doing the forecast are biased or are limited in their visibility to the data. We remain true to our goal of providing clarity and NEVER EVER engage in building a rosy picture just to get few more customers. We have many instances when people get frustrated and login and logout within minutes when they see reality of how long the wait really is. But we have never ever engaged in making picture look any better than it really is.

This is not a sales pitch. We are just laying out our process and principles - both. Luckily this year there is going to be a very huge number of extra visas available. Many of the backlogged people will benefit tremendously as this is going to cut down their waiting times by years. If they choose to use WhereismyGC, rest assured, we will provide the most realistic assessment of where we believe the chips will fall. We will remain open to new information and will continue to update the model throughout the year.

Hope this helps. Happy to answer further questions.

p.s. - Q is very much active in WhereismyGC. But he wants to ensure that nobody on this blog feels obligated to purchase anything and people can freely use the blog, make predictions and help each other regardless of whether they are or are not customers of WhereismyGC.

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Thank you for the detailed explanation.

Can you please debate the Eb2 90K 2011 May number.

Also, can you please let me know if the number of people before you in WhereisMyGC includes all dependents.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Thank you for the detailed explanation.

Can you please debate the Eb2 90K 2011 May number.

Also, can you please let me know if the number of people before you in WhereisMyGC includes all dependents.

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You are very welcome. The 'people ahead of you' does include ALL dependents too. But we are afraid we can't discuss or comment on either our data or somebody else' data.

We can't discuss data for 2 reasons: A) it is part of our secret sauce. 2) It can be complicated and time consuming to discuss it with people. Paid members can see how many people are ahead of them in their category and country and their own PD.

When will you update prediction with 265k numbers? I am a paid user

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Originally Posted by cool_dude

When will you update prediction with 265k numbers? I am a paid user

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Any user can update the 2021 number and run your own forecast using iForecast.

We will update the model on 1st October and will update 2021 number then.

Today we made one more change to our plans. We added the feature to change priority date for users on monthly plan. This will allow users to simulate forecast in EB2 vs EB3. You will have to change dates in your profile to run the forecast for the new category you change to.

Hello Q, can you tell us if we are tracking accurately to what you have predicted by the Fiscal year-end of 2020?

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Hello Q, can you tell us if we are tracking accurately to what you have predicted by the Fiscal year-end of 2020?

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I am sorry, I no longer predict.
p.s. - I assume the question was for WhereismyGC. Admins please respond.

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

I am sorry, I no longer predict.
p.s. - I assume the question was for WhereismyGC. Admins please respond.

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So Q != Whereismygc .... hmm, never realized that.

We will update the forecast accuracy soon. We tracked pretty well this year. Will update the 2020 performance soon. But it would not be unreasonable to say generally we have been within a couple of months.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

So Q != Whereismygc .... hmm, never realized that.

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Q is co-founder.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Q is co-founder.

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Can you please look at PM and respond to it.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Can you please look at PM and respond to it.

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just did. hope it is useful.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Dear All,

Before October we will be introducing recurring monthly and recurring annual subscriptions.

The new plans will be priced at $7.95 per month and $74.95 per year. There will be no contracts.

All existing customers will be able to move to new plans and be eligible for a prorated refund on old plans.

We just want to do our bit to help during these challenging times. These are exciting times as well since potentially over 100K new visas might be available next year.

Stay tuned and god speed to your freedom.

www.whereismygc.com

Expected date for the new plans to be available - Sep 30th, 2020.

We will update this post if there are changes. Apologies for the delay.

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Is this available? I am wondering if I buy the monthly plan now, will I get re-imbursement based on the new plan structure?

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Originally Posted by NJMavarick

Is this available? I am wondering if I buy the monthly plan now, will I get re-imbursement based on the new plan structure?

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Sorry ... we are going to have to push this by another week now because we also need to update the model tonight.

The new plans will be available on or before Oct 7th.

Existing users can buy the new plans and we will refund their existing plans prorated. Apologies for the delay.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Sorry ... we are going to have to push this by another week now because we also need to update the model tonight.

The new plans will be available on or before Oct 7th.

Existing users can buy the new plans and we will refund their existing plans prorated. Apologies for the delay.

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Thanks. I am a paid member now. Sent you a PM

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Originally Posted by NJMavarick

Thanks. I am a paid member now. Sent you a PM

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Welcome. If you ever have questions please feel free to raise them here or via email help at wh..

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Sorry ... we are going to have to push this by another week now because we also need to update the model tonight.

The new plans will be available on or before Oct 7th.

Existing users can buy the new plans and we will refund their existing plans prorated. Apologies for the delay.

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Thanks for the update. I'm also a paid member (annual membership) of your old plan.

I am also paid memeber of old plan..

Thanks guys ... once we move to the new ones you all are welcome to move to the new ones.