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Mine is 30th March, 2010 in EB2 and recently got 2 year EAD (2018 to 2020). I expect to renew at least one more time from 2020-2022....I hope to get GC sometime then from what I'm reading.Quote:
Originally Posted by asankaran
Mine is TSC and this time around my EAD/AP combo got approved in 28 days. crazy.
Better to be safe and apply 6 months in advance, since you cannot predict delays. If you are using EAD for work authorization, then a real delay may be more problematic.Quote:
Originally Posted by asankaran
Also, my guess is that you were just unlucky to get a 1-year renewal. Many folks (including me) have applied 6 months in advance and got a 2-year renewal.
Well, the 180 day extension rule allows people to continue working while EAD renewal is in process. So applying early doesn't mean much anymore.
Better to play safe. If it rejected for any mistake then it is issue. It Happens.......
Once you send an RFE response (for the 485 with medicals , supplements etc ) is there are any way to track the progress? IOWs how do I know if they have processed the RFE and are OK with the response ?
I know a lot of people who have 2009 PD and have not received any RFE. Is that normal? What should they do, if anything?
I know a few people in TSC who did not get RFE's. I am one of them. On the other hand I know a few people in NSC who "all" got their RFE's (even with Mar 2010 PD). I think the NSC issued RFEs for everyone for whatever reason it may be. If anyone has alternative theories, it would be interesting to hear.Quote:
Originally Posted by Desi Dude
Wow. My RD at TSC for I765 renewal was 10AUG18. I am still waiting (approx 60 days). It looks like the decision is upto the officer handling your case.Quote:
Originally Posted by smuggymba
Coming back to the predictions, what is the potential movement forward? With USCIS accepting FD after 2 years, we have to see if they do it again for November. Will DHS move forward the FD again?
How is FAD going to move?
hi everyone - hope someone can help: I am current in October (PD 3/25/09; RD 9/15/14). How long should I wait before submitting a service request for outside processing times? What do folks generally do when PD is current but there are no updates from USCIS? I read about contacting senator etc - when is this usually done? I understand that the last mile is the hardest :)
EB3I Filing Date should jump into 2010. No movement for EB2I. FAD, may not move much as usual that date jumps towards the middle and end of the FY.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
That might be interesting if the filing dates for Eb3 are pushed till May 2010. Also USCIS has to respect it. I don't see much EB3 2008 GC's coming through yet, so FAD movement may not in cards here. EB2 similar movement like this months bulletin, as we can see the demand shown by the latest pd.Quote:
Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar
No movement in any category!Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
Nov bulletin is outQuote:
Originally Posted by EB2/eb3
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...mber-2018.html
All it means is the immediate need for November can be handled by the demand from the current list. From EB2 perspective the numbers are already on the inventory, so no surprises there. For EB3 lack of data is unnerving, but I still hope for some good movement from 2nd quarter.
A few thoughts; There is not going to be movement every month, especially for EB2 but for once every quarter and even then all movement is going to be range bound i.e., there is specific trend over long term but short term forward movement is all art no science. However, 11 out 12 months the dates would be within certain trendlines i.e., EB2 100 days per year and EB3 250-days per year. Even if there is monthly movement it will be at below pace.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
Go Forward Clip per Month: 1 week for EB2 Filing, 2 weeks for EB2 Final while keeping a 30-day lag then when lag is complete filing jumps by 4-6 weeks, final keeps moving 2 weeks at a time.
EB3 pace looks a bit better but its wild wild west territory swings due to unreliable demand view, especially with Filing: EB3 Filing will be at a clip of 6 weeks per month with jump only once every 3-months and a lag of 8 weeks with Final.
1. EB3 Filing: Its likely that the next few months will continue to remain at the current filing date of Oct 09 to accumulate demand though there is trend of forward movement over a longer period in a stair step manner.
2. EB3 Final: Final date movement has will move ahead at a 2 week per month, so once every 3-months, we are looking at 6-week jumps.
3. EB2 - Filing: Don't bother
4. EB2 - Final : 2-weeks per month
So Oct 2019
EB2 FA/AF will be in Oct 15 2009/Nov15 2009 with a 6-week jumps projected around Jan, Apr & June 2019
EB3 looks hyperbolic right now but contingent on rev. porting EB3 FA/AF will be Oct 30 2009/Jan 22 2010 with big jump in June 2019.
Attachment 1395
Hello Everybody!
I've been a regular reader of this blog for the past few months and I really appreciate the wealth of information that is shared.
After the visa bulletin that was released for Nov 2018 and checking the inventory which is around 30K overall based out of July 2018 inventory report, I was assuming that CO would have to move the dates for this visa bulletin. But alas! the dates stay the same! What could be the reason behind the dates not getting moved.
Very realistic prediction, thank youQuote:
Originally Posted by bloddy1
1. EB2-I likely received ~3000 GC last year (Oct 2017 - Sept 2018). So it is fair for CO to continue with that assumption. He does not need to move dates as there are a few years' worth of inventory for him. So it will only advance couple of months a year for the next couple of years.Quote:
After the visa bulletin that was released for Nov 2018 and checking the inventory which is around 30K overall based out of July 2018 inventory report, I was assuming that CO would have to move the dates for this visa bulletin. But alas! the dates stay the same! What could be the reason behind the dates not getting moved.
2. EB3-I likely received ~6500 GC last year. Inventory till Aug 2007 has been exhausted. Current filing date is Oct 2009. CO likely thinks that there are 6500 people in EB3-I (and he also likely thinks that some people in EB2-I will downgrade) between Sept 2007 and Oct 2009. He will likely give it a couple of months before moving things.
Looking at the available Pending Employment-Based I-485 Inventory charts for the last few years:
MM/Year Grand Totals
01/2015 117,466
04/2015 124,521
07/2015 120,902
10/2015 120,127
01/2016 124,092
04/2016 117,731
10/2016 120,573
01/2017 130,900
04/2017 128,873
08/2017 144,223
10/2017 133,502
01/2018 103,675
04/2018 48,190
07/2018 29,471
If 140,000 are the available numbers given for employment based. Is the current inventory 29,471 as of July ?
Shouldn't the CO build the inventory for next year ?
Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
I was comparing August 17 Demand data and July 18 Demand data.
EB3 I total numbers reduced from 8877 - 473 (Last quarter movement in 2017 and Last quarter movement in 2018 will be a factor with the actuals) ball park 8400
EB2 I total numbers reduced from 19104 - 15826 ball park 3300.
Total visas for 2018 for EB2/3 I might be around 11700. Visa statistics release later this year will get us to the actual variance.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketfast
So - with my priority date 21 August, 2009, EB2 - India, am I looking at 2021 to be just current with just 2 months movement in a year?
I will prepare myself psychologically rather than look forward to in 2019. Thanks
Looks like perfect receipe for chocking downgrades and using extra EB3 numbers for EB1 at the end of FY.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
I would agree with you, but I expect EB3I filing date to jump into 2010 sometime soon. It should be before April VB though, because it takes a minimum of 6 months to approve those applications.Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
Quote:
Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar
Do you think EB3 I filing date would jump to October 2010 in FY 2020?