Congratulation, Now i can say it is raining. I have gone through each of your posts and other seniors and I am very happy for you. You have gone through the worst and finally you made it.
Once again Enjoy your freedom....
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Guys - first of all congrats to all who went green , Qblogfan dude thank god for getting making you green.
Alright question is this -
I will be closing on our new home end of month , my PD is oct 2008 and so I dont think I would be green by then , having said that Please walk me through the steps towards CHANGE OF ADDRESS.
Thanks in advance
Arun
QBF - I can not tell you how happy I am for you. You have been part of our journey here and we have all shared in your frustrations in dealing with your evil employer. I hope the GC allows you to take the necessary steps forward and makes a meaningful difference to your life. We have all missed your presence here past couple months and I hope that you (and other folks who are now done with their GC journey) will occasionally drop by and continue our association. Congratulations again!
On looking at the NVC notices issued over the last year, time taken for the PD to become current has dropped from 7 months to just 1 month.
PD 07/01/2011 can become current in APR VB or May VB.
Attachment 242
Note: NVC notices data collected from trackitt posts, Q's blog & Ron Gotcher's forum.
Many congratulations to you and your family. I do hope that this news makes you feel relaxed and gives you the much needed peace of mind. For sure now your employer will treat you differently, else you have all the freedom in the world to make a job change after a reasonable span of time.
Hi Qblogfan,
I was reading the birth-certificate thread today when I read this message (Originally Posted by qblogfan 07-19-2011 09:31 AM) from you.
It made me root for you...
I tried looking up if you had already obtained your GC but did not find anything of a casual lookup. Glad to hear you got CPO email today!!! Congratulations!!
There surely is something about this blog... :-)
Very happy for you my friend. Many many congratulations. Hopefully, this GC will change your life for good so you can move on to a better employer, visit your loved ones back in China frequently and do whatever you want to in your life with freedom. Very good news indeed. Again, hearty congratulations to you and good luck for the future.
Hope to see you at least sporadically if not regularly on this forum for your important suggestions like other Gurus who are slowly obtaining their GCs and ending their journeys.
Enjoy :D
As nice as this appears to be, it is highly unlikely that this drives date movement. This is a lagging coincidental indicator. Perhaps not even an indicator. I'm not saying that dates won't move to whatever date but if they move it won't be because of this. Personally I hope they do move at least another 5 months. My brother would get current.
PS: excellent effort in tracking down the data.
vizcard, who knows really? Both POV seem to be correct depending on how you want to think of it. I do not want to be harbinger of bad news, but if we track the actual bursts of movements, it started out with 3.5 months, then 4 months, then 9 and half months, then one year, and then 4 months, so if we follow the curve, the best case you would suggest for this next April VB would be something less than or equal to 4 months, and worst case but a possible case would be no movement. I don't think he will retrogress, but no movement is a possibility. USCIS approved low hanging fruits on a rapid pace, definitely to try to convince CO of their processing prowess.
Vizcard, you stole my words.
Roshan, this is really an excellent work. One that must have taken a lot of efforts. It certainly gives us a historical view. However, past performance is not a guarantee of future gains !! The dates were proabably driven forward by other considerations. Although, there is a calculated anticipation on DOS's part while handing out the NVC notices, and therefore a reasonable expectation for them to make the dates current in a reasonable time, it is, however, not binding on them to follow the trend or to even make the dates current within a year.
I hope what you have found out holds true and the trend continues. It will make a lot of people happy. Heck, I wish they just made the whole darn thing current.
I agree with Nishant - i can totally see a scenario where CO holds movement for now and once he gets a better picture on SOFAD, starts issues Greencards and correspondingly moving dates forward by the reduced inventory. But this is more a Q4 event (July-Sep). I hope I'm wrong with a PD of Sep 2010 - but lets see...
pdfeb09,
I agree that having enough demand is the most important concern for CO, but I also believe we are already way past that being a consideration.
Even with the Trackitt numbers to date (which are very incomplete for later VB), EB2-I has probably reached 25k new applications and EB2-IC is beyond 30k. That will include some porters and PWMB. The real figure is likely far higher than that.
Further movement isn't really going to help with demand equation at this point, unless a huge proportion of the existing cases from VB movements to date are either unapprovable or very difficult to approve. Also, movement of the COD generates so few CP cases for EB2-IC, it is almost inconsequential.
My perspective, anyway.
Spectator,
You are absolutely right about there being enough applications to cover the count. The question would be, how would CO justify halting the movement? From the technical point of view, would he not be compelled to move the dates under the pretext of getting more demand if he cannot "show" that there is enough demand now?
Would it not be a case where, even if CO can "see" the demand in future, he cannot "show" it technically? And in that case, be compelled to move the dates further?
I think there will be a small forward movement for a couple of months unless we exhaust the visas. It will give USCIS some time to work on the existing cases and not worry about sending out as many Receipts and worry about EADs and APs. This may create more 485s ready for approval (demand). This will continue until there is enough demand OR CO sees that the demand will not be generated in time to cover the annual quota and hence tries to be aggressive to cover his own side.
Bottom line:
1. I don't think the dates will halt or retrogress just yet.
2. I don't think there will be a big forward movement just yet.
I think May/June/July bulletins will be important bulletins, since Dec/Jan/Feb filers will start hitting the database by then and if Jan/Feb bulletins cannot generate enough demand (whether for lack of USCIS' capability OR demand destruction OR RFEs OR Denials OR whatever), then nothing short of making the dates current will suffice... OTOH if enough demand is generated, the dates will halt/retro during these months... I am betting on JUNE Bulletin IMHO..
I am still not clear about a lot of things that make up the process and therefore am very likely to say something stupid. Please correct me if I am wrong and pardon my mistakes.
pdfeb09,
If I were to play devil's advocate, I would reply as follows.
a) Part of the justification was a low rate of filing (information provided by USCIS). As a result of the Q1 figures released recently, that does not appear to be the case, so he can say filings are higher than previously estimated.
b) Part of the justification was also the slow processing speed by USCIS. That no longer appears to be the case.
As I said before, as far a date progression goes, I think CO will do what he wants to do - it is easy to justify a decision either way. The later we get into the year, if slow processing is a concern, the less likely that any new applications would reach adjudication.
All I am saying is that, while I hope the dates continue to progress, it wouldn't be a complete surprise if he halts the movement now. I don't think retrogression is a possibility at all.
Good luck to everybody.
qblogfan, many congratulations brother
I'm sure everyone on this forum is very excited to hear about your approval, there is an indian movie called K3G about family unions (definitely nothing to do with CO or GC) and you beat that here in a good way, enjoy the freedom
EB2I/C didn't move. :(
Bummer! So likely holding then till SOFAD season at the very minimum. Funny, a guy on Trackitt started a thread saying his contact told him dates would be unchanged and that bulletin would be out before noon EST
Whatever that number is for, CO just miffed me. It is about 17 minutes to 5pm in London and I need a beer.