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Does anyone know in which processing center the renewal of "AOS - Employment based" EAD happens? How would one know which processing center to select while checking the processing times before applying for a renewal?
Earliest one can apply EAD renewal is 180 days prior to expiration. Earliest one can apply AP renewal is 120 days prior to expiration.
Can one apply for a EAD/AP combo 180 days prior expiration? Or one has to apply EAD and AP renewal separately?
you can apply for EAD/AP combo 180 days prior to expiration. Thats what my company's lawyers did last time.
Renewal application should go to the same service center which approved it last time unless you have moved to a different state which comes under a different jurisdiction.Quote:
Originally Posted by swaugh
There is no AP renewal. It is always a new AP. You can apply for a new AP at any time. EAD renewal can be applied 180 days before expiration at the earliest. You can apply for both EAD and AP at the same time to get a combo card.
mcmilers/gcwiat - thank you for your response.
Last time, I sent to Dallas Lockbox and the application was routed to NBC. The processing center was chosen by USCIS. Are you saying that the renewal application will also go to NBC automatically?
If the priority date is not current(and will not be current anytime soon), how to request for a 2 year EAD/AP validity? Is this something we can do?
Thanks again for your responses.
Filing as a immediate relative of U.S. Citizen -
Friends,
Once the kid turns 21 he/she can sponsor for the parents under "immediate relative of U.S. Citizen" category and there is no waiting time for this category other than processing time.
Do we have some idea when we think this would start happening in large numbers? Ex: I've a 10 year old, and technically she can sponsor for me in the year 2031, provided I can survive until then :(
I think once we reach that point we should see a reduction in backlog. Just wanted to understand your thoughts :) I know this is a long short.
Dont know about the processing center. I dont think you can ask for 2 years or 1 year on the app. form.Quote:
Originally Posted by swaugh
A "LOT" can happen in 11 years.Quote:
Originally Posted by Nov2010
Multiple governments will change, and multiple regulations will pass/fail.
I would advise you not to assume the success of this 11 year plan.
If you have long term plans for USA and are stuck in EB2/3 route, think of another country or EB1A/B/C route.
Just got a mail from USCIS Form I-797, Notice of action.
Case type: I485J - CONFIRMATION OF BONA FIDE JOB OFFER OR REQUEST FOR JOB PORTABILITY INA SEC204(J)
Just to let you know When I filed my 485, I sent an employer verification letter with all other EAD/AP forms.
Notice Type: Receipt Notice Fee Waived
Just wanted to know what are they asking for ? BTW I have my Biometrics appointment this Thursday.
Should I be concerned?
Thank you.
I've updated the FACTS & DATA PERM section to include the FY2019 Q4 data recently published.
Spec,Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Thanks for the data. As always, extremely useful.
I am comparing PERM numbers from FY 2018 and FY2019 and seems like the numbers in FY 2018 (10955) is larger than FY 2019 (93865). Then why in the world did EB2I and EB3I receive SO in FY 2018 and not in FY 2019. What and I missing.
Iatiam
Without looking at it much, I would guess it was because there's a lag time from PERM certification to I-485/CP approval that you're not factoring in.Quote:
Originally Posted by iatiam
Simplistically, if you said that was a year, then FY2017 PERM Certifications (87,609) was a relatively "lighter" year.
In FY2019 (and so far in FY2020) there have really been any PD2019 approvals (bar the odd outlier).
Makes sense.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
I know you don't make predictions any more given the sparse data but directionally is it safe to say that PERM filings have slowed down and this could increase SO this FY.
Iatiam
You've used the term PERM filings and they have not slowed down. There is a general upward trend in the number of PERM applications received by DOL YoY. There's a judgement to be made about how many might be new PERM for people who have already established a PD with a previous PERM.Quote:
Originally Posted by iatiam
The speed of processing by DOL and therefore how many are certified in a FY does vary. The relationship between the two of course affects the backlog of cases to be processed.
The table below shows the figures for the last 10 FY. Processed = Certified + Denied + Withdrawn.
- FY --- Filings - Certified - Processed -- Backlog
FY2010 -- 43,984 ---- 70,237 ---- 81,412 --- 29,993
FY2011 -- 67,383 ---- 59,863 ---- 73,207 --- 19,807
FY2012 -- 69,738 ---- 54,616 ---- 63,793 --- 22,860
FY2013 -- 72,462 ---- 35,202 ---- 44,147 --- 49,826
FY2014 -- 74,936 ---- 62,633 ---- 70,997 --- 59,901
FY2015 -- 87,644 ---- 78,938 ---- 88,994 --- 58,926
FY2016 -- 97,504 --- 115,933 --- 126,143 --- 30,941
FY2017 - 105,007 ---- 87,609 ---- 97,603 --- 38,819
FY2018 - 104,360 --- 109,550 --- 119,776 --- 24,052
FY2019 - 113,014 ---- 93,865 --- 102,655 --- 34,677
Sources:
Some early figures from Annual DOL report.
Filings & Backlog from DOL Selected Statistics reports.
Certified and Processed from DOL Disclosure Data (also matches Selected Statistics reports).
Spec this is a good post. If you have the certified column available please add it to your post.
Done.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Also updated a few of the early figures with numbers from a better source.
Thanks. Again, makes sense.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Let me re-phrase the question. While PERM filings have increased, the processed numbers have reduced. Is this a fair statement? If so, given the lag you mentioned in the previous post, does it, in some time reduce the ROW demand? Also, when is a PERM withdrawn? Is it when an employer decides not to go to I-140 stage?
Iatiam
In theory there should be a correlation, but it's probably not a simple one.Quote:
Originally Posted by iatiam
Withdrawn means the employer requested withdrawal of the PERM application before DOL could render a decision on it (either to certify or deny it). The only ones that can proceed to the I-140 stage are those that are Certified.
Based on the above backlog table, just to clear 2010, 2011 EB2, EB3 backlogs we need to have 120k visas (50k total applicants, 50k spouses, and if 1 kid per family)..is that correct Spec ?
These PERM numbers are for India + ROW. Looking at PERM stats which SPEC had put together and throwing in some of my analysis, the number of primary applicants (EB2 and EB3) from India who have priority dates in 2010 and 2011 are:Quote:
Originally Posted by vbollu
2010 - 22328
2011 - 29938
I have used case received year (A-XX) as an indicator for determining priority date. For ex: Count of A-10's (excluding Denied and Withdrawn) spanning across multiple years
DOL Report FY 2010 - 9157
DOL Report FY 2011 - 12958
DOL Report FY 2012 - 184
DOL Report FY 2013 - 15
DOL Report FY 2014 - 14
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Thanks!
1) Is the 2010 pending backlog for India ~ 22.5K above including active processed awaiting I-485 applications?
2) What's your estimate for similar backlog of applications left in 2009?
3) Also, out of curiosity, how many visas were allocated to EB2 and EB3 India in FY 2018 and 2019 and estimated for 2020 (million dollar question :))
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Thanks!! Couple of quick questions on your EB2/3 India backlogs -
1) Does your backlog for 2010 - 22328 just primary and we need to factor in the multipliers for actuals?
2) Do you have a similar number for remaining cases in 2009?
3) How many visas EB2/3 India got in FY 2019, 2018?
The DOL report shows FY2010 - 28930 and FY2011 - 31273 (includes every PERM with no idea on porters and both husband and wife having their own PERMs_. How did you manage to get 22,328 and 29,938? Do you have info on porters or people who have got their GCs?Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Priraj,Quote:
Originally Posted by Priraj
Spec has explained how to interpret his tables in the posts. I am, honestly, not smart enough to understand it. Also, the 2009 and 2010 numbers seemed too low. Again, I might be reading it all wrong. If you understand it, let us know.
Iatiam
PrirajQuote:
Originally Posted by Priraj
DOL report shows the cases for which a decision was made in FY 2010. However, its not necessary that all those cases were created (factor which determines the priority date for the case) within that FY. For ex: look at these cases in FY2010
CASE_NO APPLICATION_TYPE DECISION_DATE CASE_STATUS
A-08352-14939 PERM 11/9/2009 Certified-Expired
A-08352-14940 PERM 11/19/2009 Certified-Expired
The first two number after A (highlighted in RED) mean that these cases were created in year 2008 (hence will have a priority date in 2008) but were processed only in FY2010. I excluded all such cases to determine the exact number of process-ed cases for 2010 in FY2010 report and arrived at 9157. Likewise, a bunch of cases created in 2010 were actually in DOL FY2011 report (12,958 to be precise).
Its confusing math but I hope i am making sense here.
Also, my own case confirms this hypothesis. I have a priority date in April 2013 and my PERM case starts with A-13XXXX. However, my case didn't show up in DOL reports for FY2013 and FY2014. It's in FY2015 report as a decision was taken in Oct 2014 after an audit.Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Whats this number for FY 2009Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Iatiam
Here's what i have done so far:Quote:
Originally Posted by iatiam
Priority Year-----Total Cases Processed (India)
2008-------------15638
2009-------------16661
2010-------------22328
2011-------------29938
2012-------------36488
2013-------------28210
Again, it's doesn't give you an accurate picture of the people in backlog (they might have multiple PERMs, multiple I-140s etc). But at least a rough guesstimate on the size of queueQuote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
You'll find the accurate figures for numbers based on PD by A number from all the FY PERM data disclosures in this post.Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
No point reinventing the wheel and putting a lot of hard work in.
Based on the above calculations, assuming that just to clear 2010 EB-2 backlog (20k primary applicants) it will take another decade. if we club current EB2 backlog with 2009 all together takes 15 years.
Sounds about right. Since your PD is in 2011,you should consider plan B - like moving to India and coming back and applying in EB1C or self-petitioning for EB1A etc.Quote:
Originally Posted by vbollu
Unless there is legislative relief, people with 2011 or beyond have limited chance.
Without more data its hard to tell whether it will take 10 or 15 yrs. You never know
How many of these folks have abandoned their petitions
How many are for both husband and wife
How many left country and came back and filed in EB1
There might be cases where person may have married to USC or from other country and did Interfiling.
Too many unknowns to predict.
2010 PERM number is EB2-I + EB3-I. And worst case supply of GC is ~5600/year (EB2-I + EB3-I).Quote:
Originally Posted by vbollu
Earlier we have a ray of hope that in every election year they move the dates for a year or 2, but this time we don't have any chance. Any how it's game close for people who applied on or after Jan 2011 and if every thing goes well their US kids will apply for GC. Bad luck for Indian child who moved to this country whose age is greater than 5 and all should left to the home country at the same time.Quote:
Originally Posted by iatiam
About a year and a half ago I got my EAD for 2 years and AP for a year as I travelled to India while my AP was being processed. Anyway I applied for my AP renewal Mid June this year (5 months before expiry) and my application still shows "in-progress" .
I checked the Web site and it says
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estimated time range | Form type | Receipt date for a case inquiry
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 Months to 6 Months | Permanent resident applying for a re-entry permit | May 29, 2019
5 Months to 7 Months | All other applicants for advance parole | April 29, 2019
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Which Category do I fall into as my application is "AOS(I-485) EB2-I" . My AP expires this week and I will not be able to travel outside the country in case of any emergency.
Any help in determining which category I fall into will help me estimate how long it will take me as Its moving at the rate of one day per day for the last month
How come my PERM has A-09---- but my priority date is Feb 2010? Is it an error?Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
You should fall under "All other applicants", I had applied on July 12th. I didn't realize they were still processing the ones from June.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moveon
Let's say we have the following -
Pending backlog (based on the calc above) -
1) EB2/3 (2009) - 7000
2) EB2/3 (2010) - 20,000
Total - 27000
With a multiplier of 2.5 to account for spouse and kids on an average - 27000 * 2.5 = 67,500 in total
Now with EB2 and EB3 combined we get 5600 visas allotted per year. Assuming a modest spillover of just 1,500 visas on a average per year per category we get 3K in spillover combined. That puts our overall visas granted to be ~ 9K per year. At that rate wouldn't it take close to 7.5 years to clear 2010?
Am I missing anything here? Thoughts??
Btw my PD is Dec 20 2010 ;)
In that case they are processing April and not June (Nebraska). This means that you cannot travel outside the country for 7 out of 12 months in a year. I had travelled to India for 2 weeks in 2017 when AP was in process and they rejected it due to travel while in progress and I reapplied . So I got AP for only one year and looks like AP renewals are for only one year and not two when you apply for a combo card.Quote:
Originally Posted by anfu02
Anyone else who filed for AP at Nebraska Mid of this year ?
Any predictions on how the PDs are going to move for the next few months? The next VB should come out this week.