Q/Spec, how will the EB5 higher payments rule impact EB2/3 dates [Assuming there is a reduction in the rate of EB5 applications next year] ?
This rule will become effective starting Nov 2019.
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Q/Spec, how will the EB5 higher payments rule impact EB2/3 dates [Assuming there is a reduction in the rate of EB5 applications next year] ?
This rule will become effective starting Nov 2019.
I think it's likely to be some time before any effect is seen.Quote:
Originally Posted by newyorker123
Existing I-526 applications will likely continue under the existing rules and there are a lot of them to be processed.
On November 2018, NVC held 39,001 EB5 applications awaiting a visa (including dependents).
At the end of Q2 FY2019, USCIS had a backlog of 13,105 I-526. With the current approval rate of 84.53% and a dependent ratio of 2.81, this equates to a possible 31,129 EB5 visas.
Altogether, that's a potential 70,130 EB5 visas, which at 9,940 / year equates to around 7 years to clear the EB5 backlog.
It may be shorter than that, but any EB5 change, such as that proposed, is not going to have any immediate effect on the number of EB5 approvals.
After that, it's possible the numbers will be lower, but I wouldn't underestimate the number of Chinese who could still comfortably afford $900k instead of $500K.
I don't see much impact on China. The Indian and other numbers will certainly reduce. How much? Its anybody's guess!Quote:
Originally Posted by newyorker123
Can anyone clarify this question?
After several years of being backlogged, EB3 -most of the candidates might have ported to EB2 and EB3 must be way ahead than still lingering in and around 2009, what could be the reason? I understand that EB2 is clogged because there are no spillovers from EB1 but lot of porters from EB3.
Thanks
there is no Eb2/3 line of india. its two long lines where everyone steps to the fastest line and than if the next one gets faster they step to that one. so all lines become slower cause everyone is in every line. its like the matrix neo is everywhereQuote:
Originally Posted by canada
A couple of explanations:Quote:
Originally Posted by canada
1. There are folks with both EB3 and EB2 I-140's in the months of April, May and June 2009. It is possible they are getting GCs in the EB3 category and not EB2. Also the reason EB2 is trudging along 3 days a month.
2. Not every EB3 applicant ported to EB2. There are a few people who have not and they probably have spouse+children also filing in EB3.
What's astounding is that, us desis found a way to file for GC in the peak of great recession :). Between EB2 and EB3, the average filings per month may have taken some dip during the time, but does not reflect the overall job loss around that time.
2010 was the recovery period. 2007/8/9 was peak recession. i dont think dates will move out of 2009 for another 10 years
I would say the worst case is 3-4 years. Not 10 years.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dondraper
I don't think we need to be that pessimistic. The remaining inventory of approx 9000 EB2I till end of 2009 should clear in a maximum of 3 years (assuming no spillover). However, EB3I will probably have 3000 people (guess; 6months x 500 numbers) who have not filed their AOS till end of 2009. The downward porting from EB2I to EB3I should make EB2I move faster. I wish, CO would move EB3I dates aggressively and then retrogress. This will allow people to file for EAD+AP and start their 180 day AC21 clock. However, he seems to be extremely cautious and does not want retrogression.Quote:
Originally Posted by vyruss
I am hoping that by end of 2020 (Say DEC2020), EB3I will reach end of 01JAN2010 (subject to retrogression).
I agree if the Pending Inventory of July 2018 has correct figures. 2023 is when 2009 clearsQuote:
Originally Posted by vyruss
Still can't understand why the USCIS weed out two applications or treat a candidate with a PD in EB2 and EB3 as one applicationQuote:
Originally Posted by Dondraper
I agree that the GC filings were really aggressive between April, May, June of 2009 and remember those times in 2009 when everything appeared gloomy as far as economy was concerned but I still think one line is empty if the other line is clogged up and the dates are not moving faster in the empty line, in fact its retrogressed:confused:Quote:
Originally Posted by vyruss
Posting here for better visibility, any inputs:
Field 485 back in 2012. Working on EAD since 2014. I work in a different location than where my perm was filed and indicated. I understand GC is for future job. But is there any risk working at different location than the one mentioned in perm ? Appreciate any inputs.
Thanks in advance.
As EB-3 India is retrogressed, any idea how much EB-3 India will move forward in October 2019 bulletin?
You have NOT clearly stated whether you are working for the same company and in the same job description that filed for your PERM & I140? I believe we had a similar question earlier in this forum. For AC21, location change should not affect your AOS. As you are on EAD, you don't need to do H1B amendment for location change. You may need to file an AR-11 form and you might get an RFE for I-485 Supplement J. Consult with your attorney on the best strategy.Quote:
Originally Posted by karukon
Updated:
If you decide to file I-485 Supp J, then an AR-11 may not be needed.
Thanks much idliman. Working for the same employer with same job duties and don’t have an intention for job change with a JUN PD. Just wondering as I have seen some weird RFE's for 485 adjudication on the other forum (track..). Thanks again for the reply.Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
You are in much better shape than most of us (same employer, same job). Stay put. Hopefully you will be current once the next fiscal year starts. Don't worry. Your attorney should be able to handle any issues. There are a lot of experienced folks (experts) here and will help you out if there are any weird RFEs. Good Luck.Quote:
Originally Posted by karukon
Thanks again, that's comforting!
Dear All,
My date (May 1st 2009) just became current in the August Bulletin. Anyone able to advise what to expect or how it does (or can) pan out. Any insight would be much helpful. I have a few things lined up in anticipation of the GC and don't want to waste anymore time then I have to. If there is anything that can be done to expedite it then that would be much appreciated?
Thanks in advance
AR-11 is an easy online thing and should be done by default IMO. Its just a change of address for your pending application.
Quote:
Originally Posted by idliman
Stay put for a little bit and let USCIS do its job. Its likely that your date will remain current in future. If there is no progress, then you can do usual follow-ups with USCIS and more aggressive follow-up such as Congressman/Senator office enquiry.
Quote:
Originally Posted by almost
Almost there .... perhaps simply call USCIS for case status after mid august or better yet have your congressman / senator call them. I had requested late Sen. John McCain to do so and boy oh boy he at least responded to me. God bless his soul. Whether he did something or anything I don't know. But I did receive my GC within a couple of months max.Quote:
Originally Posted by almost
Take it easy ... 99.99% chance you should get it within month.
there are about 80,000 indians ( just the applicants ) in 2010 both EB2+3. Hmm lets think about how long that will take. Any guesses ??
To clear just the applicants-it would take 14.5 years in 2010 for EB2 and EB3.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dondraper
80000/5600
5600=2800+2800
Now factor in dependents too.... Its pretty bleak
Interesting Q. late Sen. John McCain's office also helped me get my AP (a couple weeks earlier than I was expecting) as I had to leave the country due to a family member's medical condition.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Good guy! Wasn't he? I never knew you were in AZ. There are a few others like suninphx.Quote:
Originally Posted by vyruss
Here’s a thought experiment . When amnesty comes up and they have a rule saying that
If you have lived here for past 3 years they will setup a pathway for you to get permanent green card and
You would rather join that queue and not wait 14 years - in that case
If you go to Mexico and then cross the border illegally and take a picture of you crossing the border does it make you eligible for amnesty?
^ please don’t do this without adequate legal consultation. Desperate times desperate measures :)
Not sure where you are getting that figure from. Care to elaborate?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dondraper
There were about 22.4k PERM certifications for India that approximately correspond to a 2010 PD.
There'll be a few more NIW and Schedule A cases, but that would still be a long way away from your 80k figure.
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You may want to look at the below for accurate data:Quote:
Originally Posted by Dondraper
https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...hina-amp-India
First time poster here. Can I get your best guesses for when I might be able to file my I-485 with my EB2 India PD of July 7, 2009? This process has been one long tease over the last couple of years...Thanks much!
May 22, 2009 here. Was hoping to get GC 3 yrs ago when I moved cross country, changed job to jump in EB2 from EB3. It's been painful. Last year when they accepted filing dates, it was stuck on May 22, 2009 and I could not file it.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLureoftheGreen
Just curious. Were you not able to use EB3 date of May 22, 3009 (like use the I-140 from EB3) to get GC when dates became current recently. I read elsewhere that USCiS was in fact reaching out to folks with I-140s in multiple categoris and asking which one they would like to proceed with. Not sure how that worked in their case.Quote:
Originally Posted by lville
Thanks for this. Am I reading this right? There were approximately 3,800 EB2 and EB3 PERM certifications made in the months of May, June and July 2009. Assuming that 2,800 of those were EB2 petitions, can we expect EB2 petitions filed through, say June 2009, to clear in FY 2020?Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
With 2,800 GCs EB2 is entitled to, I think that you are almost there. Perhaps the October 2019 bulletin gets it done for you. Hang in there.Quote:
Originally Posted by lville
I don't work for the same employer anymore that sponsored me in EB3.Quote:
Originally Posted by vyruss
There were 3800~ primary PERM applications during that period. Once you count the dependents, the number of people waiting to be greened in EB2 will be higher. Its really hard to predict considering people are moving from one queue to another. Maybe the other gurus on this forum can chime in...Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLureoftheGreen
Pending Inventory released in July 2018 (which includes both the applicant and the dependents) shows 1400 for May 2009, 1400 for June 2009 and 800 for July 2009.Quote:
Originally Posted by NJMavarick
So based on that by October 2020-it should reach July 1st, 2009.
However consular processing numbers are not included in PI.
Also applicants are moving between EB2/EB3 resulting in slowing the process in my opinion
Are there any chances of Filing Dates movement in October 2019 ?Quote:
Originally Posted by canada
Its anybody's guess because we don't have any information for the last one year regarding pending inventory.Quote:
Originally Posted by IamGSN