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I like your optimism especially when my pd is feb 26, 2009. :)
Your Receipt number should be fine. Since they check your legal presence and staying with Receipt number during the H1B extension is legal. What I am not sure is, is it upto 180 days or 240 days.
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Originally Posted by manzoorraza
Feb262009,
Thanks for the response and goodluck to you too. I think the period is 240 days and am pretty sure I will get some sort of answer before that elapses.
After what happened Jan visa bulletin, nothing seems to be too radical to expect. I just don't wanna be caught with my pants down if and when it comes down to it. Any immigration related documentation is like a condom.....better to have it and not need it rather than need it and not have it.
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Originally Posted by Feb262009
If indeed demand gathered is low due to demand destruction, then 2007 will be cleared in this FY.Quote:
Originally Posted by dec2007
Retrogression you are correct in assuming around worst case of August 2007. It will only happen if the demand starts creeping up to a level which QSP cannot pacify. The point to which to retrogress will also be based on QSP available and demand getting ready.
For example, Q2 starts in January. If CO is able to have 7k QSP, and the Nov VB batch, which is from July 15th 2007 to Nov 1st 2007 (3.5 months) starts getting demand ready in this Q2, assuming around 8k demand coming from that intermittently, the 7k should be just enough to satisfy this batch whilst 1k would show up in Demand data at some point, but by that time, the next batch would be getting ripe intermittently and new QSP might be available.. This 1k should not cause panic bells to CO. But suppose, he can only project / allocate 5k QSP in Q2, then he would retrogress to say October 1st 2007, and 3k around would show up in demand data. Just thinking aloud here, not saying these are actual numbers etc. I am not sure how CO does QSP allocations, in Q1 he clearly has done that on a monthly basis. Also if Q1 he has done QSP and not the entire annual allocation of 5.6k he would still have that annual allocation up his sleeve.
You need to put your current job title. They really don't expect your title to stay the same from when you filed PERM several years back. I know mine has changed and so have the roles as I've got promotions along the way. That won't impact the application as green card is for future employment.Quote:
Originally Posted by gc2008
Thanks for a detailed answer.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
I became current in last bulletin. However, I am currently single and going through matrimonial process. So I want to delay filing my i-485 to avoid any issues later on if I-485 is approved before I get married. I am thinking of a scenario described below, do any of gurus see any issues/downside with it?
What if I keep all documents ready to file before next bulletin (around 10th Jan) and if dates don't retrogress wait until next bulletin, dates retrogress than file immediately? ( I suppose I have until 31 Jan to file even if date retrogress) any issues or troubles anyone can think of? Do any of the prepared documents "expire"?
if dates don't retrogress how long I can defer filing my i-485?
really appreciate any answer and help.
Thanks.
Its a solid plan. Even if dates retrogress in Feb VB, you have until Jan 31st to file 485. You can file any time up to the time when a retrogressed PD becomes effective - there is no expiration.
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Originally Posted by PD2008AUG25
Marry in court now and get the marriage certificate and file now while you're current along with your wife assuming you have found a girl.Quote:
Originally Posted by PD2008AUG25
Ceremonies can be held later. IMO. If you haven't found a girl, you can delay.
You will have until Jan-31, if dates retrogress. But even if retrogresses your PD will be current again next FY hopefully.
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Originally Posted by PD2008AUG25
Deleted since already answered
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Originally Posted by smuggymba
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Originally Posted by mygctracker
Thanks imdeng, mygctracker and smuggymba for answers. I haven't found the girl yet, which is turning out to be very difficult.Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng
I was not hoping to face this weird situation for at least one more year, but sudden movement of PD changed everything.
I will keep defering application for i-485 until it retrogresses or I get married.
If I just get marriage certificate, won't it arouse suspicion related to visa fraud?
My wife had the same situation ,I requested my company to file H4 Visa and My attorney rejected saying she will be covered under AOS based on I485 receipt number ( it seems they don’t want to waste money for H4visa).
I raised the same concern whatever you have presented here and I am waiting for the response from my company attorney. I will update you if i hear anything from them.
Any ways lets wait for the Inputs from our Experts.
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Originally Posted by memk26
Hi Guys,
I was wondering if somebody can answer my previous question about my wife having a different A number compared to her previous A number on OPT EAD card... please... i appreciate the help (please feel free to remove the post from this thread)
But on a 2nd note, all our receipts are in order LIN *******219 to 224, can we figure out how many 485 were filed based on that?
just an idea!!!!
If you marry a real girl in a real court and really bring her in the US as your wife - that's not fraud.Quote:
Originally Posted by PD2008AUG25
Coming up with a fake marriage certificate when a wife does not exist is fraud.
The A number on your OPT card is really your work card number. It is not the same as the A number assigned at 140/485 stage.Quote:
Originally Posted by doctorp
I know it sounds confusing, but that is how it is.
The A number you get on your EAD (based on 485 filing) will be different than the A number on the EAD recd during OPT.
thanks a ton... i was very confusedQuote:
Originally Posted by zenmaster
GC is for future employment. So what has been mentioned in PERM doesn't matter. Please mention the current job title.
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Originally Posted by gc2008
Gurus,
When Dec Bulletin came out, lot of noise around. But this Jan Bulletin, I feel comparatively lesser noise. Does this indicate the people with 2008 PD are not too much?
I know lot of people bought the EB3 labor around july 2007 to get in. May be lot of 2008 Perms were to port that PD to EB2.
It just means people are busy getting their stuff together. If anything less noise means more people are busy.Quote:
Originally Posted by Feb262009
Two reasons - first - a lot of very active people on the board have already become current - so their focus has shifted from analysis/calculation/anticipation to prepare-for-485 and post-485 stuff. Second, people with 2009/2010 PD, who should ideally be the main audience of this thread, have just not become pained and frustrated enough with the GC process to create much noise (compared to 2007 and 2008 PD people, who despite the EAD/AP bonanza for pre-07/07 people, suffered one of the longest waits for EB2IC).
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Originally Posted by vizcard
KD this is really good research. Since everything is by PD ideally the trend does indicate significant demand destruction if we read it quite literally for 2008. However what happened in 2008 was quite unusual after mid 2008 every perm went for an audit, so potentially these people may have lost interest in tracking itself for 140. What is important is how many people simply had to leave because they were in their 6th year so could not extend H1 or some who just switched employers so the perms became redundant. Porting was not a phenomenon in this time. Normally I have used Trackitt just for I485 over corresponding periods it works well for EB2 ROW here we are trying to relate 2 different entities perm & I140 ideally we would expect the audience level to be similar as it is for 2009 and 2010. One thing to note is that the 2008 perm figures are now low by any means but resulted in significantly lower I140, this lends good credibility to the research. On another note Trackitt ratios keep changing. However I must agree that this is the first research that indicates demand destruction for 2008.Quote:
Originally Posted by kd2008
Now let’s try to use your research in 2009 and 2010 trend is closer to the 60% line whereas the 2008 figure points to closer to 33%. This might imply 27% extra demand destruction, so we should move closer to the transformation ratio of .73 instead of 1. If the transformation ratio is 0.7 then this means 2200 *.73 ~= 1600 + 250PM porting = 1850. Thus far we have had 16.5 months of intake so this makes the gross intake 30525, this makes the Nett SOFAD required to cross 01-JAN-2009 as 30525 + (8.5 -9)K – SOFAD Consumed ~ 40K. So we are kind of closer to the 40K mark. This would mean that there is probably a 10K buffer but CO and the agencies can quite literally see it only once they monitor the Jan filings, else they can still have their foot on the gas pedal and the intake can go on further. Intake is completely in the discretionary domain, IMHO when the Jan bulletin was released only Nov filings could at best be tabulated and this zone does not come at all closer to the time when perm issues started in 2008 (Time of significant demand destruction), so looks like they expected higher filings even in later 2007 PD zone that they actually got. Hopefully the inventory will clear everything out.
But I don't see a huge increase in the 485 thread too. Not just it. When the Jan Bulletin is twice the size (9.5 months) of Dec Bulletin, The people crying out in joy should be twice too. But I don't see many shouting out here, neither in other forums.
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Originally Posted by imdeng
Yay for empirical evidence. I am enthused by the extent of the movement in the last VB (almost feels like panic on DoS' part) and the language that did not close the door in future movement. Qualitative evidence does point towards future movement - and now we are getting quantitative data to support the qualitative assessment as well.
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Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng
My point was most of the FY2008 and FY2009 PERM filings are certified by FY2010. From the statistics we know that EB2IC received at least 25k VISA per year for last couple of years (total 50K).Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
Ron is saying ~70% of FY2008&FY2009 PERMs are indeed EB3-->EB2 conversions, if that is true then EB3I and EB3ROW inventories should have decreased significantly instead we saw the decrease in EB2IC inventory.
Bottom line is, data does not support Ron's conversion (upgrade) theory. Hope i am clear this time!
IMO- actually they did NOT get the number of filings they were looking for hence this drastic movement. And remember most of PWMBs would be in too. So probably both numbers were short of their expectation. ( If reasoning in the VB is to be believed :) )Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu