EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

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Originally Posted by delguy

Could you please post the link?

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Here you go.............

https://www.uscis.gov/tools/reports-...ion-forms-data

Hello Spec,
Do you think there will be at least one month movement in eb2i before the end of this fiscal?

Thanks for the link. How does these numbers look compared to previous Quarterly Reports? Sorry I did not go back to those reports. Will do at my earliest opportunity.

Application for Adjustment of Status (Form I-485) Quarterly Report (Fiscal Year 2019, 1st Quarter, Oct. 1-Dec. 31, 2018)

Employment-based received at service center
Applications Received 27,893
Approved 33,181
Denied 1,543
Pending 154,616

What does this mean in terms of PD movement.

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Originally Posted by swordfish380

Hello Spec,
Do you think there will be at least one month movement in eb2i before the end of this fiscal?

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I expect EB2 I to get around 2900-3000 visas for FY 2019. Based on July 2018 demand data, the best case can be June 1st 2009.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

I expect EB2 I to get around 2900-3000 visas for FY 2019. Based on July 2018 demand data, the best case can be June 1st 2009.

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485 inventory is bogus. You can't base anything off of it. Q and Spec have weighed in on this before.

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Originally Posted by swordfish380

485 inventory is bogus. You can't base anything off of it. Q and Spec have weighed in on this before.

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That's the last good known data you can base your predictions off. Few 485's before that had inaccurate numbers. Without it every prediction is going to be a shot in the dark.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

That's the last good known data you can base your predictions off. Few 485's before that had inaccurate numbers. Without it every prediction is going to be a shot in the dark.

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There is no way to validate the accurecy of last 485 inventory.
Spec and Q are of the opinion that the reports are not accurate.

If you are using this date to predict then it is equal to looking at the sky and predicting 10 day forecast.

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Originally Posted by swordfish380

There is no way to validate the accurecy of last 485 inventory.
Spec and Q are of the opinion that the reports are not accurate.

If you are using this date to predict then it is equal to looking at the sky and predicting 10 day forecast.

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I rely on the EB2 numbers shown in that report, and I based my prediction of that. We can see in the next few months if it is accurate or not.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

I rely on the EB2 numbers shown in that report, and I based my prediction of that. We can see in the next few months if it is accurate or not.

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I wish your prediction comes true plus one more month.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

I expect EB2 I to get around 2900-3000 visas for FY 2019. Based on July 2018 demand data, the best case can be June 1st 2009.

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No chance of any spillover ? My PD is May 22, 2009 EB2-I

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Originally Posted by lville

No chance of any spillover ? My PD is May 22, 2009 EB2-I

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Very meagre, similar to 2879 we got for EB2 I in FY17.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

Very meagre, similar to 2879 we got for EB2 I in FY17.

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How far will EB2I go in FY 2019? My PD is in September and H visa expiring in August. Thinking of not renewing it.

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Originally Posted by ak7419

How far will EB2I go in FY 2019? My PD is in September and H visa expiring in August. Thinking of not renewing it.

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Stop thinking and renew it NOW. don't assume and don't expect, keep docs and status up to date.

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Originally Posted by ak7419

How far will EB2I go in FY 2019? My PD is in September and H visa expiring in August. Thinking of not renewing it.

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Don't renew h1 . It's too risky

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Originally Posted by swordfish380

Don't renew h1 . It's too risky

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Not sure about the risk here. He has a EAD/AP to fall back on in the worst case. If the employer and position is solid, the risk of rejection is lower.

Based on the DOS visa usage report how may GC's were issued to eb2i this fiscal year?

Job hopping in US gets tougher for H-1B visa holders

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com...w/69091798.cms

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Originally Posted by abcx13

Job hopping in US gets tougher for H-1B visa holders

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com...w/69091798.cms

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I have a friend whose H1 extension was denied - same company, same address, same role, same client...he had to go through some hoops but finally got the approval.

On L1-A side, consultants and testers continue to come from TCS/Genpact/Infosys/Capgemini (some in my company) and file in EB1-C. Absolutely no issues there.

One need to ensure they use the best immigration person or attorneys to handle their case of H1B these days. Also make sure to ask questions about how their case is presented, though law firms discourage it. Many law firms are not keeping up with how to present the petition as per new USCIS expectation. Also they allow paralegals to work on the case due to their over sight or heavy work load. I was miss-guided by a paralegal and had worst consequences in sixth year of H1B. That is when things take bad turn for us. I learnt not to TRUST any one and have been asking lot of questions when petition is being prepared and submitted even though they assure every thing is taken care from their side. I have proved them wrong many times.

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Originally Posted by sudiva

One need to ensure they use the best immigration person or attorneys to handle their case of H1B these days. Also make sure to ask questions about how their case is presented, though law firms discourage it. Many law firms are not keeping up with how to present the petition as per new USCIS expectation. Also they allow paralegals to work on the case due to their over sight or heavy work load. I was miss-guided by a paralegal and had worst consequences in sixth year of H1B. That is when things take bad turn for us. I learnt not to TRUST any one and have been asking lot of questions when petition is being prepared and submitted even though they assure every thing is taken care from their side. I have proved them wrong many times.

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This is unfortunately true for many things such as immigration, tax filings, pharmacies, travel agents etc etc. Far too many mistakes are made by people who should know better just due to incompetence or uncaring attitude where they have nothing to lose due to an error, but the cost is huge for the person on the other side.

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

Freedom at last. Many congratulations Nishant and wish you the very best in life ahead.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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I' wish everyone who gets green card a happy green card life and great carear ahead

Folks who are getting green card must be in 40s or late 30s. Should have sacreficed their social life.
Lost connection with extended family
Were is poor socioeconomic status as they couldn't afford decent home/cars,etc as they had single earning family member.
Couldn't meet old friends back home as they couldn't travel due to various fears.
Couldn't fulfill dream of European vacation or african safari with family due to fear of being held in immigration upon return.
There may be few who didn't attend immediate family members funeral or could not see them when they were terminally ill.

And many more...

Most of these are irreversible or even if can be done may not be as much fun when done at right time.

After 40 you don't have same energy level which you had in 20s or 30s.

Will share how it feels after getting GC.
May have diabetes or High BP by then.��

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Nishant,

That's happy, happy news indeed!!

It's always nice to hear that an old timer like yourself has finally got their Green Card.

Thanks for letting us all know.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Many congratulations Nishant!

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Congratulations Nishanth!! Enjoy the freedom!!!

Thanks much spec. I have sent you a personal message.

Thanks everyone and good luck.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Congratulations my friend ..! Enjoy the freedom.

Congratulations Nishant !!!

Congratulations Nishant..

Big Thanks to Q, Spec and all other active members of this forum who provide valuable information.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Best wishes for your future.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Congratulations!

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Originally Posted by swordfish380

I' wish everyone who gets green card a happy green card life and great carear ahead

Folks who are getting green card must be in 40s or late 30s. Should have sacreficed their social life.
Lost connection with extended family
Were is poor socioeconomic status as they couldn't afford decent home/cars,etc as they had single earning family member.
Couldn't meet old friends back home as they couldn't travel due to various fears.
Couldn't fulfill dream of European vacation or african safari with family due to fear of being held in immigration upon return.
There may be few who didn't attend immediate family members funeral or could not see them when they were terminally ill.

And many more...

Most of these are irreversible or even if can be done may not be as much fun when done at right time.

After 40 you don't have same energy level which you had in 20s or 30s.

Will share how it feels after getting GC.
May have diabetes or High BP by then.��

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@swordfish380 That is so true and sad. The cost of being in immigration limbo is so high. One of the worst periods in my life was the 3 years from 2012-2015 where i restarted my EB-2 process in 2012 and was working with a consulting company . I became an expert in the dreaded E-V-C client letter issues. Mind you it was still not as bad as now where this model is pretty much under intense scrutiny. My life became so much simpler and stress free once i filed my I485 and got some great jobs using EAD.
I sometimes think - is the opportunity cost, stress and arrested career really worth the GC? I know there is significant inertia of being here and having a life here but not having a basic right to work while being highly educated, talented and hard-working. And the thousands of dollars sent to USCIS and thousands more to lawyers.
Sometimes it feels like there is a deliberate attempt to retain this system in place.

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Originally Posted by Nishant_imt

Hey guys,
After 10 years and 1 month, I finally got the message that the card is being produced. This after RFE at each step before I 485 and 6 RFEs after at I-485 stage ( all medical and job related), $13k spending in different fee (other then what company paid) and mistakes on USCIS end in 2014 ( sent the same RFE that I already responded and they accepted).

My biggest thanks to Big Brother Q and Spec. You guys may not know what this blog means to people like me. It gave me continuity in a process that is totally, otherwise, opaque. Thank you so very much.

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Congratulations! You made it.

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Originally Posted by aquatican

@swordfish380
I sometimes think - is the opportunity cost, stress and arrested career really worth the GC? I know there is significant inertia of being here and having a life here but not having a basic right to work while being highly educated, talented and hard-working. And the thousands of dollars sent to USCIS and thousands more to lawyers.
Sometimes it feels like there is a deliberate attempt to retain this system in place.

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We may recoup or survive a 3 to 5 year loss in career growth but beyond that like the current scenario of 10 years leaves us no where for sure. The estimate of 2 to 3 years to get a EAD when we filed under EB2 between 2008 and 2011, has snowballed to 10 years and once you go past the initial 5 years and kids start building roots here, it because difficult to relocate and we just have to leave it to fate.

Green Card is of course quite liberating. But don't give Green Card the power to take away key moments of your life or career. If you feel like buying a house, moving to a new job, having kids ... go for it. Of course there is risk ... but lost time does not come back. Remember that too.. Good luck to you all friends.

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Green Card is of course quite liberating. But don't give Green Card the power to take away key moments of your life or career. If you feel like buying a house, moving to a new job, having kids ... go for it. Of course there is risk ... but lost time does not come back. Remember that too.. Good luck to you all friends.

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Well said Q, Live life to the fullest, with no regrets.

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Originally Posted by AceMan

Well said Q, Live life to the fullest, with no regrets.

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I’ve been a passive member here for quite sometime now.

I agree that even though we are waiting for around 10+ years for a piece of plastic, we should not forget that life is a journey, a ride that only stops when you die. Spend time with your family, your kids. Buy that house that you want for your kids to grow up in. Take vacations and stay connected with family members. Otherwise you will end up with lot of regrets later in life.

Avoid that feeling of helplessness by staying connected to people and relationships that matter.