IMHO, this is to ensure that no EB2IC trumps a deserving EB2ROW.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sandeep11
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IMHO, this is to ensure that no EB2IC trumps a deserving EB2ROW.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sandeep11
I took that to mean the number of approved I-140 pending with USCIS with a PD of 15 Aug 07 or later.Quote:
Originally Posted by sandeep11
USCIS have previously said they do not capture any information on Category, PD and Country of Chargeability until the I-140 is adjudicated.
No one knows for sure whether USCIS have fully compiled a list of Approved I-140 by Category, PD and CofC. It took them long enough to compile one for I-485.Quote:
In instances where the green card application and the petition for an alien worker are filed concurrently, and the petition has not yet been adjudicated – meaning country of chargeability, preference, and priority date are as yet unknown – the green card application does not appear in the inventory.
I am almost certain one does not exist for I-140 that have yet to be adjudicated.
This was my interpretation as well...as applicable to September vb. Not sure about the retrogression though, he'll gradually catchup with the monthly allocation, without actually moving the dates until next May.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
this is in fact, a really great find. thank you.Quote:
Originally Posted by cantwaitlonger
"only if the alien beneficiary is married", I believe good chunk of EB2 advanced degree applicants may not be married at the time of applying i140.Quote:
Originally Posted by cantwaitlonger
Example: I am not married at the time of my i140 filing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Agree, it's a good idea.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
FYI. Guys it is confirmed from mitbbs that the well-discussed "19k" figure reduced to less than 7K for EB2 for Sept only. It is not nearly enough to clear the prior "Wave" numbers. Sorry but it may mean no BTM this year, I guess.
If that's the case, I think there will be hardly a few weeks to a month of forward movement and the likely dates for EB2-I/C will be anywhere between 1st May and 1st June.
Hello all, This is my first post on this forum. Thank you very much for all that you do here. I feel that I know most of you, they way you answer, the way you react, etc. In short, I feel that I am in a good company of friends. I have been following this thread for a few months now and watched all the major milestones. For the last couple of days I did not read here. Like a novel, I bookmark every time I visit and am done reading and then continue from there during my subsequent visit. What prompted me today to register and finally speak up is the post by qblogfan. I am really sorry that you are in a situation that you are in. Unless you are in a God forsaken state, most of the states have right to work laws. The BS contract that your employer made you sign may in some cases be deemed as illegal. Just because your company lawyer is in bed with this will not make it an legal. There are a lot of unscrupulous lawyers out there. For a hundred or two, you can have your contract examined by an Employment lawyer and they should be able to tell you if the contract would hold water. Stick it to the man, man! There is no point in working for such a company. They cannot force you to pay money for the fees spent till now. When you resign and leave, if they hold the paycheck, it is illegal. You can sue them for it. You can complain to DOL, etc. There are options. As I said before, stick it to the man!
Good luck!
Quote:
Originally Posted by qblogfan
Quote:
Originally Posted by myfr66
Honeymoon ain't even started yet and bride ran away!
:p
19k was for the whole of EB community and not just for EB2. per the discussionsQuote:
Originally Posted by myfr66
it was concluded that it was for aug and sept.
myfr66,Quote:
Originally Posted by myfr66
Any chance of posting a link to the thread(s) on mitbbs.com where this was discussed?
I had a look, but couldn't find anything beyond the original threads.
Thanks.
Thank you Spec, Can you also add a comment at the end of post #1 that more information available in post #3 just to make sure people scroll down there.
I have already referred to that table many times, today when myfr66 quoted the available number reduced down to 7K I went back to refer your table to see where the cut of date might end. Thank you for putting this table together.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
sorry dude... but here we are happy... one less dependent visa number for GC ;-) ... jokes apart... this news is still waiting for authenticity approval from fab 4... dont worry, rumours float around...Quote:
Originally Posted by shivarajan
harick,Quote:
Originally Posted by harick
Glad you find it useful. Post #1 updated to refer to it.
I wanted to post this for some time, I like your quotaion "Without an irritant, there can be no pearl". I am thinking about adding a improvised version to my profile like "Without a movement, there can be no GC"
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
My bad, i didn't notice the numbers were only for India and i was looknig at wrong column.
Spec
I appreciate the number crunching here but for some reason I am trying to co-relate it, since the demand prior to 2008 is 6400 and they have known demand until Aug 15 (july fiasco) but for some reason it doesn't make sense 6400 v/s 8256. the 6400 includes both cis and nvc numbers combined.
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Empl...utOffDates.pdf
#############################################
Originally Posted by Spectator
Here is a table that shows how much spillover is required in September to reach a particular Cut Off Date (CUD).
It is based purely on the numbers in the USCIS Inventory as at June 2011.
It does not include any Porting or PWMB numbers that might be required, nor the small number of CP cases, but gives a rough idea of where the CUD might move to for a given spillover.
-- CUD -- -- China -- India -- Total --- Diff
22-Apr-07 ---- 138 ---- 318 ---- 456 ---- 456
01-May-07 ---- 336 ---- 773 -- 1,109 ---- 653
08-May-07 ---- 453 -- 1,014 -- 1,467 ---- 358
15-May-07 ---- 571 -- 1,255 -- 1,826 ---- 359
22-May-07 ---- 688 -- 1,497 -- 2,185 ---- 359
01-Jun-07 ---- 855 -- 1,842 -- 2,697 ---- 512
08-Jun-07 ---- 982 -- 2,139 -- 3,121 ---- 424
15-Jun-07 -- 1,109 -- 2,436 -- 3,545 ---- 424
22-Jun-07 -- 1,237 -- 2,733 -- 3,970 ---- 425
01-Jul-07 -- 1,400 -- 3,116 -- 4,516 ---- 546
08-Jul-07 -- 1,788 -- 3,477 -- 5,265 ---- 749
15-Jul-07 -- 2,176 -- 3,839 -- 6,015 ---- 750
22-Jul-07 -- 2,564 -- 4,200 -- 6,764 ---- 749
01-Aug-07 -- 3,118 -- 4,717 -- 7,835 -- 1,071
08-Aug-07 -- 3,197 -- 4,835 -- 8,032 ---- 197
15-Aug-07 -- 3,286 -- 4,970 -- 8,256 ---- 224
My estimation for September is a little conservative because I feel we have almost run out of SOFAD, I feel that there is absolutely no chance of the inventory running out. IMHO the SOFAD that we could see in the September bulletin may just be ~ 3K this will push the dates likely to the range 01-JUN-2011 to 08-JUN-2011 (Based on Spec's table). I wish you and all PWMB's/PWBA's the very best, looks like you will have a touch and go case I sincerely wish you are on the better side.Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
I agree with you only BTM can happen in September or for that matter any time to their discretion, CO's statement is really intended for next year. CSFM or any form of SFM will happen in the coming year after they have made an assessment. One critical thing would be how fast can I485 be processed, veni has provided 1 example of 2 months, if however we see many constant examples of 2-3 months range then it will be CSFM / SFM and not the BTM approach. It’s really wait and watch and a little bit of luck. When the new year starts the rates of approval will be like an early lead, comparable or lower approval rates for EB1 and EB2 ROW will be catalyst for anything to happen earlier.
We'll have to take into account total demand before 2008, which is 10,450.
Which btw, will NOT include PWMB after march 8th 2007 and spouses and children if any to the original 485 applications.
Quote:
Originally Posted by meso129
Thanks Q once gain for your detailed explanantion. Let us hope he would go this route.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
But I believe that he would prefer SFM (a month or two in the first few months and bump it up to 4-5 months in the last Q) for the reason that they would want to stream line the 485 process with all the mess they had for the last few years. The important question remains though is that with the SFM way would they be sure not to waste any numbers.
Extremely well said. Makes complete sense.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
btw, for those of you who want to find out comparable salaries being given in comparable companies or titles, positions etc, I found a website salaryquest.com, what these guys have done is grabbed the publicly available labor and PERM data for H visas and GC (you can get txt as well as mdb and data structure also explained on http://www.flcdatacenter.com/ and they have put it in their Database, and made search available against it.
I found it really really interesting, it is very genuine, I found my own stuff in it.
Might help give an insight on how much to ask employer in next raise, or if the employer is fleecing you, or if changing job, what these guys are already giving to foreign immigrants!
Thanks TK.
I can see your point. You are one of the few guys who never let any bias get-into your calculations, although you are very close to the date. I like it that way, actually.
I have a wide range though,as it could be any where b/n 8th June 2007 to 1st August 2007. I obviously don't prefer the low end.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
My take is, if they won't do BTM in sep then , its not likely to happen until July 2012 unless CO does qtr spillover. then it may happen in dec 2012 or march 2012 depends on available sofad and pwmb , porting demand.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Excellent find Nishant. I have downloaded everything from FLCDataCenter for my research - but SalaryQuest is much easier to query. I wish they would give row-by-row details rather than just summary statistics.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
USCIS has just announced that they are launching a new website which is intended to provide new data reports covering agency performance in a number of areas.
The website can be accessed at http://www.uscis.gov/data/.
Data Reports Available
Currently, there are ten data sets available on the website. Four of the data sets will be updated monthly; they include processing times and performance data for Form N-400, Application for Naturalization; performance data for Form I-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status; and statistics on Form I-914, Application for T Nonimmigrant Status, and Form I-918, Petition for U Nonimmigrant Status. Forms I-914(T) and I-918(U) are used for victims of trafficking and victims of crime.
Additionally, information about the total number of receipts and approvals by quarter and year-to-date for all form types will be published quarterly.
The USCIS Ombudsman office has released a report and a recommendation to USCIS regarding changing policies with respect to I-765 Application for Employment Authorization Document (EAD) cases.
The Problem
Many employers and individuals who rely on EAD cards for employment find it frustrating that there are no reliable processing times for the EAD cards. For most employment with EAD cards, employment is authorized only when the employee has a valid EAD card. In other words, if an EAD card expires and a renewal is not filed on time (with or without fault of the employee) or if the EAD application takes long time to be approved, then the employee, upon expiration of the EAD card and while waiting for the renewal to be approved, must stop working. This brings a lot of difficulty to employees and employers.
USCIS is required to issue EAD cards within 90 days. However, often USCIS is not able to do so. Several years ago, local service centers were permitted to issue interim cards for EAD applications pending for more than 90 days. This option is not currently available and the only redress an EAD applicant has is to seek expedited processing of his or her EAD application. Expedited processing, however, is discretionary and unpredictable.
The Ombudsman’s Recommendations
To address some of the problems with the current EAD application process, the Ombudsman makes several recommendations to USCIS, after making a very thorough, interesting (for some) and somewhat critical review of the current EAD application review framework.
The Ombudsdam report, after reviewing the currently-available options for EAD applicants, and after concluding that such options are inadequate, makes five recommendations.
1. Establish methods at local USCIS offices where EAD applications can be resolved;
2. Establish a uniform processing time goal of 45 days for adjudication and 60 days for issuance of an EAD;
3. Improve monitoring and ensure real-time visibility through an automated system for tracking processing times;
4. Follow established internal procedures for issuing interim EADs in cases where background checks are pending; and
5. Issue replacement EADs with validity dates beginning on the date the old EAD expires.
Teddy,Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
I agree that 3-4k is a reasonable number, if approvals carry on as they have over recent months.
I suspect EB1 and EB2-ROW might slow slightly, so more might be available.
I think it is a bit of a stretch to clear the backlog entirely. Possibly it can get as far as 22JUL07 Cut Off Date, if the Chinese figure of 7k mentioned earlier today is correct.
I find that hard to say, knowing that your PD is 24 Jul 2007.
Leo,Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
My table is for September only, so it takes into account the 2.6k allocated in the August VB to EB2-IC, leaving 7.8-7.9k demand going into September itself.
The USCIS Inventory figures slightly overstate that number at 8.2k.
Thanks Spec. I appreciate it.
is it possible to assume that the delta(10450 - 8256 =2194 ), could be some PWMB's + spouses + new EB2ROW + porting in one month? ( i.e June 1st to July 10th 2011)
trying to see if it's even worth to reconcile those numbers. ( actually that 2194 could make or break lot of our cases :))
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Thanks for the clarity JJ bhai, I was confused about this too !Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
guys..
someone on trackitt is arranging for a phone conference on GC issues, not a lawyer but might be one of those experienced persons... Just thought it might help some1 if i post it here...
http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussi...page/last_page
The delta on the Demand Data figure of 10,450 versus the USCIS Inventory would be 304 or 2.9% (USCIS Inventory = 10,754 for 08 March 2007 to end of backlog).Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
The 8,256 represents the number left on the USCIS Inventory after incorporating the movement of the Cut Off Date to 15APR07 in the August VB.
In fact I noticed a small mistake, so the 8,256 has become 8,159. Therefore the movement in August VB used 10,754 - 8,159 = 2,595 visas from the USCIS Inventory.
I will update the tables.
perfect. In order to move to 1st August 2007, we will need exactly 7,835 + PWMBs uptil April 15th 2007 + any new apps(spouses etc)
Is it safe to say the remaining all will add up to 1000 max? ( so that the grand number is 8835 visas needed )
Small correction...in order to move to Aug 1st 07 we need just 7835.. In order to approve all cases until Aug 01 2007 we would need what you mentioned... moving dates at this point doesnt really count PWMBs and Porting... think about it...Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
Leo,Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
I have updated the tables now, so the figure to move to 01AUG07 Cut Off Date has become 7,738.
Given that the USCIS Inventory figures are slightly higher than the DOS Demand Data figures, then the numbers in the table probably incorporate some extra demand already. Personally, I doubt PWMB etc that can get approved in time will add up to 1k in September anyway.
As I said, treat the table as a ready reckoner and add what you feel is correct. If you think it needs another 1,000, then the the figure would become 8,738 to reach a Cut Off date of 01AUG07.
http://translate.googleusercontent.c...30txQy9a1XFstQ
Found this in mitbbs. Im still going thu it.
Thanks Spec. I agree that 60 days is too less for any pwmb to grab a visa number. ( 30 days much less). 22nd July looks likely, but I'm thinking DOS would like to err on the higher side and 01 August 2007 is not very unrealistic at this time.
qblogfan can you translate the above information correctly for us. We appreciate your help.