EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nishant2200

:) I am already eternally here, refreshing every few so often. My own mind internally I was saying, countdown begins, until the next 10th of August. As the D-day comes, my sleeplessness will rise exponentially.

Man proposes, God disposes. However much we may calculate and analyse, CO has the power to dispose all of us in one shot!

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So true Nishant, I feel the same way !
May the force aka CO be with us :) :)

Q, you are right.

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by 03May07

rest of the 300 will be returning soon.../ sleepless nights to nishant will return again..../
.....
BTW, I'm making note of everyone who is predicting 01-May 07 ;)

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Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...



Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

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Yipeee..... finally some good news.
Q, thanks for the update !
PS: Looks like I will have to learn to decipher Chinese after all !!! :)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Monica12

Yipeee..... finally some good news.
Q, thanks for the update !
PS: Looks like I will have to learn to decipher Chinese after all !!! :)

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Love the words "BBS Unnamed Space Station". Reminds me of radio days.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...



Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

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Q
That's a good new. ...I want to ask one question though. If 5k is left for EB2 than should we not add to this number meaning we should have 5k +1K+2k = 8K fpr September VB

Quote:

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Originally Posted by sandeep11

Friends you all are doing a great job by maintaining the sanctitiy of this forum.

Q, Spec, Teddy and all other contributors thanks for your time a patience. Believe me this forum turned out to be a kind of addiction for me for the last few days. I inadvertantly go into the forum and check if there are any positive updates almost every hour or so.

We all are waiting for our turn to be greened and the wait is frustrating for few. It is the same with me too (PD 11/2007). Infact this frustration is so bad to few that I have personally seen two of my collegues disappointed and leave office the day VB was released.

You guys keep up the good work and good luck to you all.

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Man..are you one of colleague..just kidding.
I left my office early with out telling any one...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

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Q,
Won't another 5K of spillovers move the EB2-I/C dates to end of June or even 1st week of July. The # of pending visas for EB2-I for after 15th April to end of June (assuming 50% of April pending numbers are after 15th April) is 3047 and the same for EB2-C is 1370. So, overall pending EB2-I/C #'s from mid-April to end of June is 4417 and another 5K spillovers (if available) might push dates into 1st week of July.

The entire 5K available to EB2 will not go to EB2IC. However including FD from EB1 and EB5 the SOFAD should easily be 5K.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by 28thJune2007

Q
That's a good new. ...I want to ask one question though. If 5k is left for EB2 than should we not add to this number meaning we should have 5k +1K+2k = 8K fpr September VB

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Or even further if its more than 5K....
Yep ... absolutely agree.
So Aug bulletin is not that bad afterall!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by pch053

Q,
Won't another 5K of spillovers move the EB2-I/C dates to end of June or even 1st week of July. The # of pending visas for EB2-I for after 15th April to end of June (assuming 50% of April pending numbers are after 15th April) is 3047 and the same for EB2-C is 1370. So, overall pending EB2-I/C #'s from mid-April to end of June is 4417 and another 5K spillovers (if available) might push dates into 1st week of July.

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I think you should use more appropriate language in your post #3958 on page 159. we are all foreigners and should respect each other.

To put things in perspective, the chinese (especially EB3) have been pissed off for a while that EB india takes away most of the spillover (ratio of 3:1 or 5:1 or 6:1 depending on which analysis you look at). Their main focus of all their analysis is to add to their constant campaign to push DoS/USCIS not to allott spillover numbers based on PD. But then I wonder what else could visa numbers be based on.
Anyway, I have followed that forum for a while and their attitude towards EB-India is belligerent at best. Their goal is for EB-India to NOT receive ANY spillover visas until EB-China backlog is eliminated. The same was one of the points in their failed lawsuit. And I of course find that idea ridiculous.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Monica12

Yipeee..... finally some good news.
Q, thanks for the update !
PS: Looks like I will have to learn to decipher Chinese after all !!! :)

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Guys, Please let's not start any kind of war here. We are all going through this painful process together and should help each other in any way we can...
We will benefit if we work together on this and will not gain anything by attacking each other.
Your co-operation is highly appreciated.
PEACE !!!!!! :) :) :)

Guys,

What does this mean? Does it mean my case has been approved?

Card/ Document Production

"On July 14, 2011, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283."

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...



Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

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Damn... So hopes going high again? Also these 121k used visas are excluding aug month right...

As some one said, hope is a tough weed, the more I try to keep it underwraps... The more it grows up....

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Feb2008

I think you should use more appropriate language in your post #3958 on page 159. we are all foreigners and should respect each other.

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Feb2008, the post you mentioned does not have anything offensive about it or at least I'm pretty sure it was not meant to be be offensive to anybody. Its a common phrase which you may have interpreted out of context.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Guys,

I have been looking a little more at this.

Here's a more detailed breakdown (correcting a small error I found).

- Inv Date ---- Total ---- EB2 ----- EB1

11 Dec 2009 --- 8,918 --- 5,950 --- 2,968
08 Mar 2010 --- 5,964 --- 3,657 --- 2,307
27 May 2010 -- 14,138 --- 6,763 --- 7,375
01 Oct 2010 -- 17,510 --- 9,915 --- 7,595
05 Jan 2011 -- 17,388 --- 8,935 --- 8,453
-- Jun 2011 -- 20,130 -- 10,142 --- 9,988

The Kazarian case was heard in March 2010, so the rise in numbers is post Kazarian.

Is it possible that the rise in pending EB2 cases represent NIW (which generally are also Exceptional Ability cases)?

It does seem possible that a final decision might have been postponed until the adjudicators received training on adjudicating EB1 and EB2-NIW after the decision.

Subsequent processing times seem to have increased substantially, which would also raise the figures.

I have never found any statistics as to what % of total EB2 approvals that NIW represent. I don't think that Trackitt necessarily provides reliable figures, but it suggests around 10% for ROW (excl. M-P).

Post Kazarian, NIW should also become more difficult and perhaps less people will therefore apply or get approved, just like EB1A and EB1B.

Just talking out loud to add to the discussion.

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Teddy I agree with you.

If the VO are purely moving by the numbers and give the same amount in September as August, the CUD might scrape to 01JUN07. The absolute best I can see is 22JUN07, but that would require more visas in September than August, which would be unusual.

The trend for total numbers of pending cases for EB1 and EB2-ROW-M-P in successive USCIS Inventories tells a chilling tale.

11 Dec 2009 --- 8,934
08 Mar 2010 --- 5,964
27 May 2010 -- 14,138
01 Oct 2010 -- 17,510
05 Jan 2011 -- 17,388
-- Jun 2011 -- 20,130

Bear in mind that, according to the Ombudsman's response document last year, an I-485 where the Category/Country is Current is not shown in the Inventory unless the underlying I-140 has already been adjudicated, so these cases are merely awaiting adjudication of the I-485 itself.

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Spec,
That may be true for the monthly demand data used for VB cutt-off dates.
Looking at i140 receipts(EB1/EB2-NIW) data is telling me it is not the case for i485 inventory.

it means you can thank your Pravara men loudly :) ( in your office if you wish)

Good Luck!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by pravara

Guys,

What does this mean? Does it mean my case has been approved?

Card/ Document Production

"On July 14, 2011, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283."

---

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by hoping4thebest

To put things in perspective, the chinese (especially EB3) have been pissed off for a while that EB india takes away most of the spillover (ratio of 3:1 or 5:1 or 6:1 depending on which analysis you look at). Their main focus of all their analysis is to add to their constant campaign to push DoS/USCIS not to allott spillover numbers based on PD. But then I wonder what else could visa numbers be based on.
Anyway, I have followed that forum for a while and their attitude towards EB-India is belligerent at best. Their goal is for EB-India to NOT receive ANY spillover visas until EB-China backlog is eliminated. The same was one of the points in their failed lawsuit. And I of course find that idea ridiculous.

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Good one. I agree.

btw, I could not help notice on their website they refer it EB2CI:) It's only natural instinct, I guess, for all humans/animals alike.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

---

I thought the 19k referred from FOIA might be of April 30th?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...



Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

---

They say they expect 19K to be distributed in Sep.
19K is a good number even otherwise.
140/12 = ~12K.

Indicating 12K would be normal monthly allocation. So why 19K left. May be that's 7K SOFAD rather than 5K!!! ;)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by leo07

I thought the 19k referred from FOIA might be of April 30th?

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

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Qblogfan, well said !!!!
I sincerely hope you are not leaving us :)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

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qblogfan,

I too hope you will not be abandoning us. I like your contributions and personally value the different perspective you bring to the discussion.

I am sure no offence was intended.

On a lighter note - Google Translate or any other similar service are absolutely crap (if you'll excuse my French) at translating Chinese into plain English!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

They say they expect 19K to be distributed in Sep.
19K is a good number even otherwise.
140/12 = ~12K.

Indicating 12K would be normal monthly allocation. So why 19K left. May be that's 7K SOFAD rather than 5K!!! ;)

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Guys

I tried using google translation to make sense of the mitbbs post. It mentioned something about extra CIS. Could anyone do correct translation (Maybe qblogfan can help us)......Thanks in advance

Quote:

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Originally Posted by leo07

I thought the 19k referred from FOIA might be of April 30th?

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Leo,

At the moment, that is what concerns me as well. The Google Translation says:

Quote:

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Sender: NIUNATIONAL (NIU), the letter area: EB23
Title: NIU government relations group to obtain the approval letter stand progress data: BBS Unnamed Space Station (Thu Jul 14 11:47:42 2011, U.S. East)

Government Relations Group ERIC JI through FOIA channels have access to employment-based immigration approval of FY 2011 data, in the first half ended April 30, approved a total payment of employment-based immigration quota of 52,475 a green card. Oppenheimer also public relations group of volunteers and the communication, as yesterday informed career has approved a quota of 121,000 green cards.
NIU volunteers will be on data and analysis obtained from the first half of 2011 FOIA monthly approval data for further analysis, looking forward to their follow-up discussion and analysis

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That is a bit ambiguous. It can be taken to mean 121k as of 13 July, 2011 or it could be the figure as at the end of July.

Since 14 July, 2011 post dates the August VB date of July 11, 2011, it is also possible that it includes visas allocated to August, but not actually used yet, since USCIS have not made the final approval.

Without more explanation, I can't decide what the figures mean.

Subsequent discussion in the thread seems to confirm equal confusion and I did not see a definitive answer. There were plenty of posts where they were discussing 19-20k over 2 months - in fact that seemed the general consensus.

The second thread seems to start with the presumption that the full 19k are available in September, but that seems to be an assumption, rather than fact.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by 28thJune2007

Guys

I tried using google translation to make sense of the mitbbs post. It mentioned something about extra CIS. Could anyone do correct translation (Maybe qblogfan can help us)......Thanks in advance

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Not too much info beyond the first post. I only half believe it on the claim that it is from a personal phone call with co.
CIS is USCIS, I believe.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

Leo,

At the moment, that is what concerns me as well. The Google Translation says:



That is a bit ambiguous. It can be taken to mean 121k as of 13 July, 2011 or it could be the figure as at the end of July.

Since 14 July, 2011 post dates the August VB date of July 11, 2011, it is also possible that it includes visas allocated to August, but not actually used yet, since USCIS have not made the final approval.

Without more explanation, I can't decide what the figures mean.

Subsequent discussion in the thread seems to confirm equal confusion and I did not see a definitive answer. There were plenty of posts where they were discussing 19-20k over 2 months - in fact that seemed the general consensus.

The second thread seems to start with the presumption that the full 19k are available in September, but that seems to be an assumption, rather than fact.

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Spec, I am on vacation on friday. On Monday, I will try to enlist help of a Chinese co-worker in company to translate this. Meanwhile, if any of you guys have a Chinese co-worker, just get help from them.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

3M you are really funny!! You cracked me big with these two ...



Anyway .... listen guys here is some interesting information to support decent september movement.

The chinese it seems have pretty credible sources .... so thanks to them all. Take a look at these two pages.

http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31370131.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31369099.html

Basically they are saying that 19K or so is left over for the entire EB category. It implies 5K is left for EB1, EB3, EB2 each and 3-4K for EB4. So if conservatively if you take 1K from EB5, 2K from EB1 and 2K from EB2... there is your 5K for Sept bulletin which is equivalent to more than 6 weeks of movement!!

The info looks credible and thanks again to our friends on the other side of the hill.

---

The first link says the following:

"19k could be for September. please get excited. he (inside connection in "0" aka USCIS office? ) says that in recent months, every month USCIS approves a few k more. Now we need to see how much is approved for July and August. The rest is for September.

The key data in the second link are:

"52,475 GC has been allocated by April 30th (CP not included)
121,000 EB GC is approved by July 13th"

BTW, wanted to say Hi to all. I have just registered today. It is a great forum.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by myfr66

The first link says the following:

"19k could be for September. please get excited. he (inside connection in "0" aka USCIS office? ) says that in recent months, every month USCIS approves a few k more. Now we need to see how much is approved for July and August. The rest is for September.

The key data in the second link are:

"52,475 GC has been allocated by April 30th (CP not included)
121,000 EB GC is approved by July 13th"

BTW, wanted to say Hi to all. I have just registered today. It is a great forum.

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Actually the author mentioned that there is no end date associated with 121,000 number

myfr66 appreciate your help. Welcome to the forum!

Somebody said to me that 121K is through August. That's why I mentioned 19K for september. 121K through august is believable because first half only allocated 52K. (although first half ended on Mar 31st rather than Apr 30th!!). At 52K for 6 months, 78K would be consumed in 9 months leaving 62K for Q3. If you take a third in each month then that gives you approx 20K. So 19K for September is in my opinion more logical.

The reason why USCIS probably slowed down movement in August is probably to ensure that PWMBs don't file now. Probably USCIS wants to defer those case to 2012. Another piece of the same "THEORY" is that by making a small movement in August and having large visas available, they can justify a huge movement in September. But this one is just a theory. I have nothing to back it up.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by myfr66

The first link says the following:

"19k could be for September. please get excited. he (inside connection in "0" aka USCIS office? ) says that in recent months, every month USCIS approves a few k more. Now we need to see how much is approved for July and August. The rest is for September.

The key data in the second link are:

"52,475 GC has been allocated by April 30th (CP not included)
121,000 EB GC is approved by July 13th"

BTW, wanted to say Hi to all. I have just registered today. It is a great forum.

---

Quote:

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Originally Posted by myfr66

Actually the author mentioned that there is no end date associated with 121,000 number

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The problem is the ambiguity of the statements. Without input from the person who actually talked to CO, It is probably unresolvable.

Having slept on it, I think the more conservative interpretation is more likely.

There is ambiguity even about the 52,475. In one breath it says the first half of the year, but then say it is to 30 April, which is 7 months.

A low amount is not inconsistent. In that period, EB1 had low demand and no spillover had been allocated. Since then, to the end of July, a large amount of spillover has been released, so a big acceleration might be expected.

After 10 months, we would expect a figure of 122k [((9 * 9) + (19 / 3))% * 140], so 121k is about the correct figure to the end of July.

19k for 2 months is potentially not a huge amount to cover the EB1-EB5 normal run rate, so it would explain the relatively low amount of spillover released in the August VB. We have already surmised that 2.6k has been released for spillover in the August VB, so that leaves 16.4k to cover that normal run rate in August/September and any additional spillover in September.

Any final amount can be released after observing actual demand.

I don't think it alters the numbers we were talking about before the news.

I think it is something we will not get unanimous agreement upon and only the September VB can resolve it.

Until then, I will refrain from further comment on these figures.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

Spec thanks for all the details, you always provide the best information. Its a really scary situation of all these cases have an approved I140 and are just awaiting I485 adjudication. I believe 95% or even 98% of them will materialize and this is very scary for the coming years SOFAD. I think in the next inventory it will be very prudent to see the number of I485's for EB1 and EB2 ROW.



I believe that Aug and Sep will be a 30-40% of these cases being approved but when the next inventory comes out we may not see any changes. Such a large backlog of EB1 and EB2 ROW cases could diminish next year’s SOFAD to a level of ~ 20-22K. In that case assuming extra intake is done in a timely manner your case may become borderline, this however is a worst case scenario. In normal scenario or a good one you will definitely be covered to be able to file for 485 if not GC. Your chances of getting GC by Sep 2012 are definitely higher than 80%.

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Teddy,
I140 receipts data does not support that, please see my response to Spec's post.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

---

These are some great thoughts, I believe we should have empathy and support all those who are in the legal immigration queue, waiting and waiting irrespective of which country or category we may belong to.

So, Will it move till End of 2007 in Sep Bulletin?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

myfr66 appreciate your help. Welcome to the forum!

Somebody said to me that 121K is through August. That's why I mentioned 19K for september. 121K through august is believable because first half only allocated 52K. (although first half ended on Mar 31st rather than Apr 30th!!). At 52K for 6 months, 78K would be consumed in 9 months leaving 62K for Q3. If you take a third in each month then that gives you approx 20K. So 19K for September is in my opinion more logical.

The reason why USCIS probably slowed down movement in August is probably to ensure that PWMBs don't file now. Probably USCIS wants to defer those case to 2012. Another piece of the same "THEORY" is that by making a small movement in August and having large visas available, they can justify a huge movement in September. But this one is just a theory. I have nothing to back it up.

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Q!!
So, Will it move till End of 2007 in Sep Bulletin?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kpt112107

Q!!
So, Will it move till End of 2007 in Sep Bulletin?

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Everybody's hopes are are raising again. We need little of this after disappointed last week. After seeing all the calculation i personally feel that it really difficult to predict as there are many assumptions.
example: 2 months ago i thought 3-4 of my friends where telling that they already started porting process, but now some how they are asking me if there are chances of eb3I becoming current. Similary EB1 is in the same stage as they are not accepting everybody and we are not certain if investment visas spill over will be 5k or 8k ( huge difference now as July has over 3k pending).

Out of all these Odds, one should appreciate Q, Veni,Spec, Teddy( and also qblogfan for bringing some news from our counterparts) for calculating almost right numbers. Let us hope there me atleast 3k to 5k number spill overs.

I request all immigrant community to sign this petition and ask all your friends and family members to sign and send emails to congress and President.
Link to the petition: http://www.petition2congress.com/477...grants-in-usa/

Thank you

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

All of us came here to look for a better life. Both Indian and Chinese folks have the same goal. We want to have GC to travel freely and change job easily. There is not much difference between an Indian and a Chinese immigrant.

I wish all of our Indian and Chinese folks can get GC as soon as possible. I feel sad when I read some posts that EB2/EB3 applicants can not see their families because of the GC issue. It's inhumane. We have missed too many opportunities to have reunions with our families back home.

No matter you are an Indian guy or a Chinese guy, I wish you get your GC and spend more time with parents back home. That's my final and best wish to all our friends here.

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Its disheartining to listen when one says i am in virtual Jail ( My parents visa got rejected twice with out any reason couple of months back). I sincerely wish dates move to atleast 2009 and people get chance to file their I-485 and get chance to go to India/China.

I dont know my friend. Based on August Bulletin I would;ve said no. Based on the new information about what's used and left I feel decently optimistic.

In terms of SFM (sustainable forward movement) - Dec 2007 is just not possible. In terms of BTM yes its possible. But I can't say with any confidence how much BTM if any at all will DoS undertake and when.

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Originally Posted by kpt112107

So, Will it move till End of 2007 in Sep Bulletin?

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