EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

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12-06-2018, 12:18 AM
Blue_fairy

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blue_fairy

Here is my situation..
Me: EB2 PD Oct 2009.
Wife: EB3 PD Sept 2009
With me as primary, we got our EADs back in 2012.

With the way EB2/EB3 dates are moving, it's almost certain that sept EB3 will happen before Oct EB2. My question is when that happens, will we have to file 485 for both of us again with my wife as the primary? If yes, do you think doing so will get us the GC faster compared to doing not hu ing and waiting for EB2 PD to advance to Oct 2009?

Thoughts anyone??
12-06-2018, 10:28 AM
EB2/eb3

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blue_fairy

Thoughts anyone??

I think you will have to withdraw current 485 and apply a new one with your wife as primary. If you are okay with the extra costs and interview to get your GC 2/3 months faster then you should go this route. Eb3 inventory is a black box without knowing the exact number it is difficult to predict at this time, By April we should have a better picture .
12-06-2018, 11:41 AM
iatiam

Downgrade - I140 Premium is Possible

All,

Had a chat with my immigration attorney and she confirmed that it is possible to file for I140 as premium even if the original PERM is with some other employer.

Iatiam
12-06-2018, 11:51 AM
Prabhas

Quote:

Originally Posted by iatiam

All,

Had a chat with my immigration attorney and she confirmed that it is possible to file for I140 as premium even if the original PERM is with some other employer.

Iatiam

Thanks for Info Iatiam!

Could you please throw some more light?. Are you saying that if you are with the same employer you can apply for I140 under premium processing when downgrading from EB2 to EB3? This is contrary to some of the discussions , opinions posted here and that you can downport EB3 -I140 under regular processing only.

P
12-06-2018, 01:01 PM
iatiam

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prabhas

Thanks for Info Iatiam!

Could you please throw some more light?. Are you saying that if you are with the same employer you can apply for I140 under premium processing when downgrading from EB2 to EB3? This is contrary to some of the discussions , opinions posted here and that you can downport EB3 -I140 under regular processing only.

P

I am not with the same employer who filed for PERM, I140 or 485. In fact, I have changed my job several times since getting EAD and the attorney knows this very well. But they said they can do premium for downgrading from EB3 to EB2. I did not ask if this is because they are filing in the same service center. As for the attorney credentials go, they are in the top 5 immigration firms and have a great track record. And it's not one of those desi ones (Murty, Reddy etc)

So I think it's doable in most cases.

Iatiam
12-06-2018, 10:00 PM
saagar_is_cool

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blue_fairy

Thoughts anyone??

I know someone who had this, he was 2007 eb3 while she was late 2009 eb2 with ead in 2012. No camcelling or re-finig as far as i know. they just did interfile and got gc within a month or two.
12-07-2018, 12:29 PM
Blue_fairy

Quote:

Originally Posted by EB2/eb3

I think you will have to withdraw current 485 and apply a new one with your wife as primary. If you are okay with the extra costs and interview to get your GC 2/3 months faster then you should go this route. Eb3 inventory is a black box without knowing the exact number it is difficult to predict at this time, By April we should have a better picture .

Thanks.. not worth the hassle for 2-3 months. I will stay put!
12-07-2018, 12:31 PM
Blue_fairy

Quote:

Originally Posted by saagar_is_cool

I know someone who had this, he was 2007 eb3 while she was late 2009 eb2 with ead in 2012. No camcelling or re-finig as far as i know. they just did interfile and got gc within a month or two.

Thanks. Sent a note to the immigration lawyers for a clarification. Will share what I learn here.
12-08-2018, 11:10 AM
SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.
12-08-2018, 06:24 PM
Spectator

Quote:

Originally Posted by SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.

SV2007,

Congratulations.

That's a long time to wait and it must be a tremendous relief.

I'm not sure I would have had your patience.
12-09-2018, 02:13 PM
qesehmk

Congrats SV. All is well that ends well. Enjoy your freedom :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.
12-09-2018, 03:28 PM
newyorker123

Off topic question :

I am on full time employment on H1b. My visa/I94 as per passport is only until July 2018. But my H1b extension was filed in March 2018 with premium processing and it was approved(with attached I94) until 2021.
I am working on a job change now, also thinking of joining new company with receipt.

Does it make sense to get my H1b stamped from my current company before joining new company ? Will it help if I have a visa stamped and an actual I94 until 2021 before initiating a job change now ? Does it help me somehow even if my transfer is denied ?
12-09-2018, 08:21 PM
kumar777

Hello Guys,
My priority date is Dec 15th, 2009. is there any possibility of getting greened this year? I got an offer from another employer, but does it worth taking the risk of moving to a new employer now? Appreciate your response.
12-10-2018, 08:40 AM
qesehmk

Let me say this for everybody's benefit.

1) You can hold multiple H1s .. and actually work for multiple employers at the same time. That's ok.
2) H1 stamped in Passport can never be current. Your valid and approved H1 notice is what indicates your latest authorization.
3) Stamping visa in your passport is only required when you are concerned about coming back to US after leaving it for whatever reason. Otherwise you can continue to live here on your extension.

Quote:

Originally Posted by newyorker123

Off topic question :

I am on full time employment on H1b. My visa/I94 as per passport is only until July 2018. But my H1b extension was filed in March 2018 with premium processing and it was approved(with attached I94) until 2021.
I am working on a job change now, also thinking of joining new company with receipt.

Does it make sense to get my H1b stamped from my current company before joining new company ? Will it help if I have a visa stamped and an actual I94 until 2021 before initiating a job change now ? Does it help me somehow even if my transfer is denied ?
12-10-2018, 08:53 AM
AceMan

Quote:

Originally Posted by SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.

These are the special moments when you feel genuinely happy for a person whom you have known only through the forums. We all share a common pain, while occasionally people vent out their steam out of frustration, there is nothing malicious about it.

Wish you all the best from the bottom of my heart.
12-10-2018, 09:22 AM
srimurthy

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

Let me say this for everybody's benefit.

1) You can hold multiple H1s .. and actually work for multiple employers at the same time. That's ok.
2) H1 stamped in Passport can never be current. Your valid and approved H1 notice is what indicates your latest authorization.
3) Stamping visa in your passport is only required when you are concerned about coming back to US after leaving it for whatever reason. Otherwise you can continue to live here on your extension.

As Q shared your extension with the new I-94 is good for Job change. You would only need stamping if you travel out of the country.
I have done two job changes and my company was merged or acquired thrice while my H1s got extended with I-94 attached. My family travelled out of the country and when ever they did they went to the consulate to get the visa stamped.
12-10-2018, 10:14 AM
SV2007

Thank you very much Spec, Q and Aceman !
12-10-2018, 11:00 AM
Suva2001

Quote:

Originally Posted by SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.

Congratulations to you. I agree with you about this forum. I am active in immigration forums since 2007. But I found this forum to be most accurate and well balanced.

Thanks
12-11-2018, 12:10 AM
Moveon

If you have had your EAD for more than 180 days then its safe to move. The new company will anyway file your AC-21 and you will be safe even if the dates get current. If you do not have an EAD then I would advise you to weigh the options carefully as you would need to file a new application all over.
Chances of getting greened this fiscal year seems very remote for EB2-I for Dec 09. I am in the same month too. Not pinning much hope
12-11-2018, 12:26 AM
bluelabel

A question on EAD/AP renewal- My EAD/AP renewal application was received at NSC on 10/23 and received Card production emails for mine and spouse EAD today but AP status for both of us still showing as case received and pending. My previous EAD/AP renewal applied in Dec 2016 also followed similar pattern. 2016 Advance parole is still pending, never received case status updates or AP approval notice but received combo card with EAD approval.

Is it a trend that USCIS does not approve AP or update case status website for AP but send Combo card valid for travel as well? Anybody in similar situation? how would i absolutely make sure my AP is indeed approved if i again receive a combo card but not AP approval letter or update in case status website.
12-11-2018, 03:09 PM
aquatican

You have answered your own question. You received combo card ( EAD + AP) without AP approval notice in Dec 2016 which implies that you got your AP. It will happen again now. Look at your new card. if it says - Valid as Advance Parole then you are good.

Quote:

Originally Posted by bluelabel

A question on EAD/AP renewal- My EAD/AP renewal application was received at NSC on 10/23 and received Card production emails for mine and spouse EAD today but AP status for both of us still showing as case received and pending. My previous EAD/AP renewal applied in Dec 2016 also followed similar pattern. 2016 Advance parole is still pending, never received case status updates or AP approval notice but received combo card with EAD approval.

Is it a trend that USCIS does not approve AP or update case status website for AP but send Combo card valid for travel as well? Anybody in similar situation? how would i absolutely make sure my AP is indeed approved if i again receive a combo card but not AP approval letter or update in case status website.
12-11-2018, 03:12 PM
Progress

My priory date is July 2013 . Any idea how long would be the wait
12-11-2018, 03:16 PM
imdeng

Quote:

Originally Posted by SV2007

Spec / YTEleven / Q / Aceman - I am super happy to share that I received my green cards this morning after waiting for 11 years and 2 months in EB3I queue. This forum and insights from the 4 of you have tremendously helped to tone my expectations during the past several years of frustration and hopelessness.

Special thanks to YTEleven, your prediction charts 4 years back for EB3I post July 2007 filers were spot on. When my job was going great, I was not sure if I needed to change my job and port to get my GC sooner. Your charts/predictions along with detailed logical explanations have given me hope. I continued to stick to my job and wait for my GC in EB3I. Thank you very much :)

Good luck and wishing the very best for everyone else waiting in the line.

Congratulations SV! Very happy for you and your family. Enjoy the freedom!
12-11-2018, 04:37 PM
swordfish380

Quote:

Originally Posted by aquatican

You have answered your own question. You received combo card ( EAD + AP) without AP approval notice in Dec 2016 which implies that you got your AP. It will happen again now. Look at your new card. if it says - Valid as Advance Parole then you are good.

How much time is USCIS taking to issue ead/ap for renewals
12-11-2018, 05:10 PM
Progress

I am new to this forum. My priority date is July 2013. My wife is also the same . Separate perm applications.Have been in the USA since 2008.Could apply for GC after completion of residency. Demoralized to see the recent predictions my CO on the murthy law website.
12-11-2018, 05:56 PM
newyorker123

Quote:

Originally Posted by srimurthy

As Q shared your extension with the new I-94 is good for Job change. You would only need stamping if you travel out of the country.
I have done two job changes and my company was merged or acquired thrice while my H1s got extended with I-94 attached. My family travelled out of the country and when ever they did they went to the consulate to get the visa stamped.

Thank you Srimurthy and Q! Ability to go abroad is one of my big concerns (in the specific case that I join on receipt)
Lets say I have H1b approval with current company until 2021, and I change companies and join new company on H1b receipt. New H1b is not approved. Can I even go abroad and re-enter in the following 2 cases ?
1) if I have my H1b stamp on passport with old company only until 2018 ?
2) if I have my H1b stamp on passport with old company until 2021 ?
12-12-2018, 08:45 AM
mar2010er

Congratulations. I agree the analysis here is extremely valuable. On a side note, I am always curious on the cryptic website name "qeshmk" does anyone have any idea what it stands for?
12-12-2018, 10:08 AM
Tandav

Quote:

Originally Posted by Progress

My priory date is July 2013 . Any idea how long would be the wait

I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.
12-12-2018, 10:32 AM
Progress

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tandav

I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.

👍👍👍👍 good to know
12-12-2018, 10:51 AM
bluelabel

Quote:

Originally Posted by swordfish380

How much time is USCIS taking to issue ead/ap for renewals

Mine took 6 weeks at NSC and one my friend had approval in 4 weeks at TSC. USCIS improved on EAD/AP renewal timelines i guess, most of them i heard were approved between 4-8 weeks.
12-12-2018, 12:47 PM
smuggymba

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tandav

I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.

I'm 30th March, 2010 EB2..I was hoping 2020...looks like 2021 ouchh!!
12-12-2018, 01:10 PM
shekhar_kuruk

Quote:

Originally Posted by smuggymba

I'm 30th March, 2010 EB2..I was hoping 2020...looks like 2021 ouchh!!

Anybody with a priority date later than Sep 2009 should seriously consider downgrading to EB3, it is going to go way faster.
12-12-2018, 02:12 PM
Progress

Why do you say any body. Looks like 2013 is a very long way to go.
12-12-2018, 02:24 PM
shekhar_kuruk

Quote:

Originally Posted by Progress

Why do you say any body. Looks like 2013 is a very long way to go.

Fair enough, for 2013 priority dates it is better to wait a couple of years and see how it goes.
12-12-2018, 07:18 PM
smuggymba

Quote:

Originally Posted by shekhar_kuruk

Anybody with a priority date later than Sep 2009 should seriously consider downgrading to EB3, it is going to go way faster.

I don;t have this option; I will just have to wait it out. People who can port to EB3 from EB2, please do so :)
12-13-2018, 10:33 AM
Immigo

January 2019 visa bulletin released. https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...uary-2019.html

EB3-I filing date moved to April 1, 2010. Good movement, hopefully this will be honored by USCIS for AOS.
12-13-2018, 10:33 AM
NJMavarick

Visa Bulletin out - EB3 India Filing Dates @01-APR2010
12-13-2018, 11:13 AM
bloddy1

Quote:

Originally Posted by Immigo

January 2019 visa bulletin released. https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...uary-2019.html

EB3-I filing date moved to April 1, 2010

Wow!! Soaring like an eagle but no movement on the FA date though.
12-13-2018, 11:31 AM
GCkaLADDU

Good movement indeed. Very interesting thing to note is the NVC data included in the bulletin:

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2018.pdf

Looks like a lot of China folks are applying via Consular route in EB1 category.
12-13-2018, 11:37 AM
iatiam

Quote:

Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU

Good movement indeed. Very interesting thing to note is the NVC data included in the bulletin:

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2018.pdf

Looks like a lot of China folks are applying via Consular route in EB1 category.

Baby steps, people. Three month movement for EB3I FD is really good. The last time we had such good news in January, it was year 2012.

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