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For those interested in the figures.
Q1-Q3 FY2014 figures are from the official OFLC Disclosure Data. July and August figures are from the DOL LCR.
a) PERM Certifications by FY of Decision by DOL.
Attachment 675
b) Perm Certifications by CY of Priority Date (as derived from A-number).
Attachment 676
No idea. But I would imagine the intent of an EO is to make it happen immediately.Quote:
Originally Posted by EB2IndSep09
To do a h1 transfer, the new employer will have to file paperwork. It is not like an EAD where u get more freedom.Quote:
Originally Posted by Praslee
USCIS have updated the Dashboard with the figures for June 2014.
I saw March 2009 cases approved from NSC - They were current in Sept. What does this mean? NSC is done with 2008 cases or what? Will TSC follow?
Quote:
Originally Posted by sportsfan33
Its a good thing. As much of 2008 and early 2009 we can finish, easier it will be for the next spillover season considering all the headwinds anticipated. Retrogression in Nov is a near certainty irrespective of the current approval pace.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sportsfan33
It only means that the window of approvals is moving forward and has reached Sept current folks. It does not mean that NSC is done with 2008. I am sure NSC will also start approving scattering of Feb-Mar-Apr 2009 folks as well.
Quote:
Originally Posted by qbloguser
It seems like we will not be carrying too much of an inventory overhang into the next FY. Depends on when they do an internal retrogression and throttle the approval pace - but I can see entering 2015 with just a couple thousand inventory overhang for EB2I (meaning folks who were current but did not get approved hence they are carried over to the next FY). A good number of these should then be cleared in Oct - giving us a clean slate for FY2015.
It seems like we will not be carrying too much of an inventory overhang into the next FY. Depends on when they do an internal retrogression and throttle the approval pace - but I can see entering 2015 with just a couple thousand inventory overhang for EB2I (meaning folks who were current but did not get approved hence they are carried over to the next FY). A good number of these should then be cleared in Oct - giving us a clean slate for FY2015.
A clean slate for 2015? Are you anticipating inventory build up?Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng
A clean slate for 2015? Are you anticipating inventory build up?Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng
Per July 21st 2014 485 inventory, there are 17890 EB2I applications up to PD May1st 2009(of which 1086 are prior to 1st Jan 2007). As per the tracking spread sheet, so far 900 have been approved from July1st. If we deduct the approvals till July21st, net approvals will be 900-165 = 735.
If trackitt conversion ratio is 13, so far 735*13 = 9555 green cards been issued. I doubt USCIS will approve (or have that much spill over left) additional 8335 (17890-9555) GCs in next 27 days to clear out the backlog.
If at least additional 5000 is cleared in September, around 3000 will be carried to FY2015.
Total 485 inventory starting Oct 2014 would be 3000+13344(from may2009 till May2010)+New applications from July to September 2014+2014 porting.
There are fair chances that dates would progress starting October 2015 and clear out the backlog if we get atleast 15000(spill over plus regular quota) in FY2015.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1073280392
Per July 21st 2014 485 inventory, there are 17890 EB2I applications up to PD May1st 2009(of which 1086 are prior to 1st Jan 2007). As per the tracking spread sheet, so far 900 have been approved from July1st. If we deduct the approvals till July21st, net approvals will be 900-165 = 735.
If trackitt conversion ratio is 13, so far 735*13 = 9555 green cards been issued. I doubt USCIS will approve (or have that much spill over left) additional 8335 (17890-9555) GCs in next 27 days to clear out the backlog.
If at least additional 5000 is cleared in September, around 3000 will be carried to FY2015.
Total 485 inventory starting Oct 2014 would be 3000+13344(from may2009 till May2010)+New applications from July to September 2014+2014 porting.
There are fair chances that dates would progress starting October 2015 and clear out the backlog if we get atleast 15000(spill over plus regular quota) in FY2015.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1073280392
Nah - I meant clean slate up to 01MAY2009. We will have approx 15K inventory left after this FY. Add few thousand porters and some new filers. Conceivably, EB2I inventory can handle a good 18K visa supply for next FY - so as such there is no urgent need of new inventory in FY2015. Of course, considering various contingencies and to keep some buffer in hand, CO might still want to do so - but then who knows CO's mind.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gten20
Nah - I meant clean slate up to 01MAY2009. We will have approx 15K inventory left after this FY. Add few thousand porters and some new filers. Conceivably, EB2I inventory can handle a good 18K visa supply for next FY - so as such there is no urgent need of new inventory in FY2015. Of course, considering various contingencies and to keep some buffer in hand, CO might still want to do so - but then who knows CO's mind.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gten20
Inventory never really gets fully cleared. There always are cases that are abandoned or get extended review or even rejected. For example - 2004+2005+2006 has 1000 EB2I demand sitting in the inventory. We can expect another ~1000 such demand in 2007, 2008 and 2009.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bluelabel
Inventory never really gets fully cleared. There always are cases that are abandoned or get extended review or even rejected. For example - 2004+2005+2006 has 1000 EB2I demand sitting in the inventory. We can expect another ~1000 such demand in 2007, 2008 and 2009.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bluelabel
is there a chance to get an approval this year? PD is December 2008. Got an RFE on june 5 and the RFERR date is Jul 25. Also used AC21 as I changed employer this year in march and am working on H1b visa. Not sure if these things delay the approval. The case is in Initial review status for me and my dependents. Really getting anxious about this with a prospect of waiting for one more year or more.
is there a chance to get an approval this year? PD is December 2008. Got an RFE on june 5 and the RFERR date is Jul 25. Also used AC21 as I changed employer this year in march and am working on H1b visa. Not sure if these things delay the approval. The case is in Initial review status for me and my dependents. Really getting anxious about this with a prospect of waiting for one more year or more.
Im fairly sure you will get approved but that is an awfully long time to respond to the RFE. Open a SR online and hope for the best.Quote:
Originally Posted by anasha1721
Im fairly sure you will get approved but that is an awfully long time to respond to the RFE. Open a SR online and hope for the best.Quote:
Originally Posted by anasha1721
So, I hear a lot of people saying that dates are going to retrogress in November. Does this mean retrogression is effective Nov 1, 2014 or the Nov bulletin will announce that retrogression shall start on dec 1, 2014.
I'm a first-time end august, 2008 filer, if anybody is wondering why this question :rolleyes:
So, I hear a lot of people saying that dates are going to retrogress in November. Does this mean retrogression is effective Nov 1, 2014 or the Nov bulletin will announce that retrogression shall start on dec 1, 2014.
I'm a first-time end august, 2008 filer, if anybody is wondering why this question :rolleyes:
It is more likely that dates will retro in Dec .. not November. The reason is .. Nov bulletin comes in first week of Oct. There is virtually no data available in first week of Oct for CO to make a decision. Thus he can only make a decision and publish as part of Dec bulletin.Quote:
Originally Posted by IsItWorthTheTrouble
Aug 2008 and if you are not approved ... you need to start making noise and explore why.
It is more likely that dates will retro in Dec .. not November. The reason is .. Nov bulletin comes in first week of Oct. There is virtually no data available in first week of Oct for CO to make a decision. Thus he can only make a decision and publish as part of Dec bulletin.Quote:
Originally Posted by IsItWorthTheTrouble
Aug 2008 and if you are not approved ... you need to start making noise and explore why.
Hi Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Other than opening a SR what steps are recommended? Is there a posting/thread that explains these steps?
My PD is Jun 30 2008 and it says RFE RR since June 30 2014, I waited for 60 days and opened a SR this week, Is there anything else I can do?
Hi Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Other than opening a SR what steps are recommended? Is there a posting/thread that explains these steps?
My PD is Jun 30 2008 and it says RFE RR since June 30 2014, I waited for 60 days and opened a SR this week, Is there anything else I can do?
Internal retrogression may happen anytime in Nov. That happened last year.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
I think he is a first time filer and I think none of the first-time filer have gotten GC / EAD until now.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Internal retrogression may happen anytime in Nov. That happened last year.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
I think he is a first time filer and I think none of the first-time filer have gotten GC / EAD until now.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
It is true that when CO sets the November VB he won't have a great deal of information on actual approvals in October.
I do think he will have sufficient information to retrogress the COD, if he feels that will be necessary.
a) He knows USCIS can approve 5-6k EB2-I cases in a month.
b) He will know, from the Demand Data, how many cases were left unapproved from FY2014.
c) He will know, with reasonable certainty, how many spare FB visas are available to EB in FY2015.
With that information, CO will be able to set a figure for the number of visa numbers he can make available to EB2-I at the beginning of the FY.
To me, that is sufficient information to decide whether to retrogress in the November VB or not.
If the November VB does not retrogress, it is probably a sign that a reasonable number of FB visas are available to EB in FY2015.
Q,Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
It is true that when CO sets the November VB he won't have a great deal of information on actual approvals in October.
I do think he will have sufficient information to retrogress the COD, if he feels that will be necessary.
a) He knows USCIS can approve 5-6k EB2-I cases in a month.
b) He will know, from the Demand Data, how many cases were left unapproved from FY2014.
c) He will know, with reasonable certainty, how many spare FB visas are available to EB in FY2015.
With that information, CO will be able to set a figure for the number of visa numbers he can make available to EB2-I at the beginning of the FY.
To me, that is sufficient information to decide whether to retrogress in the November VB or not.
If the November VB does not retrogress, it is probably a sign that a reasonable number of FB visas are available to EB in FY2015.
Yesterday only somebody posted very nice steps. Search in 485 discussion forum. Basically he recommended 4 steps.Quote:
Originally Posted by Seeking_GC_Since_Jun_2008
Yesterday only somebody posted very nice steps. Search in 485 discussion forum. Basically he recommended 4 steps.Quote:
Originally Posted by Seeking_GC_Since_Jun_2008
Thanks. i missed he having filed only recently.
As per internal retro .. first of all there is no such thing. But I think I know what you are saying. They will stop allocating visas when they run out of visas. It is as simple as that.
But if dates are current people can still continue to file 485s. So what you call IR is not what we were discussing. We were discussing VB dates being retro'd in Nov vs Dec.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Spec thanks. To retro he doesn't need a great deal of accurate information. He can easily retro in Oct bulletin itself. But the fact he waits even one month tells me that he might as well wait for two because that 1 month doesn't really add more value. Also I think just because dates are current doesn't mean DOS is obligated to release visas. Absolutely not. They can keep dates current and yet continue to allocate as per their framework.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Thanks. i missed he having filed only recently.
As per internal retro .. first of all there is no such thing. But I think I know what you are saying. They will stop allocating visas when they run out of visas. It is as simple as that.
But if dates are current people can still continue to file 485s. So what you call IR is not what we were discussing. We were discussing VB dates being retro'd in Nov vs Dec.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jagan01
Spec thanks. To retro he doesn't need a great deal of accurate information. He can easily retro in Oct bulletin itself. But the fact he waits even one month tells me that he might as well wait for two because that 1 month doesn't really add more value. Also I think just because dates are current doesn't mean DOS is obligated to release visas. Absolutely not. They can keep dates current and yet continue to allocate as per their framework.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Thanks Q, found it!Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Thanks Q, found it!Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Can you please send me the link?
I'm June 2008 with no signs of approval. Opened SR and contacted Congressman, planning to follow-up with them on Monday
Its really disappointing - First it was TSC who hardly approved any cases in July, then when they finally started approving in August it was all random and now in September there are busy approving 2009 cases.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seeking_GC_Since_Jun_2008
Can you please send me the link?
I'm June 2008 with no signs of approval. Opened SR and contacted Congressman, planning to follow-up with them on Monday
Its really disappointing - First it was TSC who hardly approved any cases in July, then when they finally started approving in August it was all random and now in September there are busy approving 2009 cases.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seeking_GC_Since_Jun_2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by venkat
I hear you man....I'm in the same boat as you June 2008 PD with TSC :confused:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...With-Your-Case