Self Service Forecast @ WWW.WHEREISMYGC.COM

Printable View

03-23-2012, 07:42 AM
qesehmk

Self Service Forecast @ WWW.WHEREISMYGC.COM

Dear Friends,

Happy new Indian year to all of you! Happy Ugadi & Gudhi Padwa!

On this occasion, it gives me great pleasure to introduce to you a new Self-Service at www.WhereismyGC.com. This site offers a Self Service GC Forecasting Tool (SSFT) for all EB applicants. It will help them forecast when an average candidate might obtain Green Card based on factors such as Spillovers, Processing Times, 485 Decline Rates, and even customized Data Adjustments (e.g. to take care of Demand Destruction.).The tool will feature a default forecast and will also allow one to customize the forecast. We will improve on it on a continuous basis. The idea as always is to present as clear picture (literally this time since there are 4 graphs there!) as possible about Green Card backlog and its future to enable individuals to allow make better decisions about their life and career.

We have tried our best to maintain privacy of a candidate. The tool forecast doesn’t require your personal information other than PD, Country,and EB Category. So please rest assured of that.

I would like to disclose that this site is a commercial site. Today we are offering the tool FREE for initial few weeks. After the initial FREE period we will charge minimal amount to offer Daily, Weekly, Monthly subscription.

This tool and site doesn’t change www.qesehmk.org in any shape way or form. I will continue to participate here and when I update my forecast on SSFT, I will also update it here. This forum will continue to run as a FREE / PUBLIC forum for everybody just as we have in the past. There is absolutely NO binding for you to use the paid service of SSFT whatsoever.

I thank with all my heart to Teddy, Spec, Veni and Nishant for their help and constructive suggestions about this tool. I look forward to your feedback as well. Please feel free to make suggestions here or in the tool itself. My best wishes to you all in your GC journey and I hope this tool helps you one step further.

Best Regards,

Q
03-23-2012, 08:14 AM
mesan123

Hi,

Happy Ugadi & Catulations for the new site...i accessed the site and have couple of doubts...when i enter my priority date with out spill over it estimates the date should be current by may 2017 & i will get green card by july 2017....

i want to know this date is with out spill over right?
can i know with spill over when my date can be current?( with normal yearly spill over)

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

Dear Friends,

Happy new Indian year to all of you! Happy Ugadi & GudhiPadwa!

On this occasion, it gives me great pleasure to introduce to you a new Self-Serviceat www.WhereismyGC.com. This siteoffers a Self Service GC Forecasting Tool (SSFT) for all EB applicants. It willhelp them forecast by themselves when an average candidate might obtain Green Card based ondifferent factors such as Spillovers, Processing Times, 485 Decline Rates, andeven customized Data Adjustments (e.g. to take care of Demand Destruction.).The tool will feature a default forecast and we will improve on it on acontinuous basis. The idea as always is to present as clear picture (literallythis time!) as possible about Green Card backlog and its future to enableindividuals to allow make better decisions about their life and career.

We have tried our best to maintain privacy of a candidate. Thetool forecast doesn’t require your personal information other than PD, Country,and EB Category. So please rest assuredof that.

I would like to disclose that this site is a commercialsite. Today we are offering the tool FREE for initial few weeks. After theinitial FREE period we will charge minimal amount to offer Daily, Weekly,Monthly subscription.

This tool and site doesn’t change www.qesehmk.org in any shape way or form. Iwill continue to participate here and when I update my forecast on SSFT. I willalso update it here. This forum will continue to run as a FREE / PUBLIC forumfor everybody just as we have in the past. There is absolutely NO binding for youto use the paid service of SSFT whatsoever.

I thank with all my heart to Teddy, Spec, Veni and Nishantfor their help and constructive suggestions about this tool. I look forward to your feedback as well.Please feel free to make suggestions here or in the tool itself. My best wishesto you all in your GC journey and I hope this tool helps you one step further.

Best Regards,

Q
03-23-2012, 08:59 AM
qesehmk

Mesan,

At the bottom of the forecast, there is a link for creating your own forecast. IT will allow you to adjust spillovers.

Quote:

Originally Posted by mesan123

Hi,

Happy Ugadi & Catulations for the new site...i accessed the site and have couple of doubts...when i enter my priority date with out spill over it estimates the date should be current by may 2017 & i will get green card by july 2017....

i want to know this date is with out spill over right?
can i know with spill over when my date can be current?( with normal yearly spill over)
03-23-2012, 09:04 AM
essenel

Q, congrats on the new website! I think it is very generous of you to continue your main blog as an open forum. It looks like the tool will be very helpful to those people who ask specific questions about their priority dates, where as the blog will be helpful to those interested in a broader analysis. Wish you success in your new venture!
03-23-2012, 09:07 AM
pdfeb09

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

Dear Friends,

Happy new Indian year to all of you! Happy Ugadi & GudhiPadwa!

On this occasion, it gives me great pleasure to introduce to you a new Self-Serviceat www.WhereismyGC.com. This siteoffers a Self Service GC Forecasting Tool (SSFT) for all EB applicants. It willhelp them forecast by themselves when an average candidate might obtain Green Card based ondifferent factors such as Spillovers, Processing Times, 485 Decline Rates, andeven customized Data Adjustments (e.g. to take care of Demand Destruction.).The tool will feature a default forecast and we will improve on it on acontinuous basis. The idea as always is to present as clear picture (literallythis time!) as possible about Green Card backlog and its future to enableindividuals to allow make better decisions about their life and career.

We have tried our best to maintain privacy of a candidate. Thetool forecast doesn’t require your personal information other than PD, Country,and EB Category. So please rest assuredof that.

I would like to disclose that this site is a commercialsite. Today we are offering the tool FREE for initial few weeks. After theinitial FREE period we will charge minimal amount to offer Daily, Weekly,Monthly subscription.

This tool and site doesn’t change www.qesehmk.org in any shape way or form. Iwill continue to participate here and when I update my forecast on SSFT. I willalso update it here. This forum will continue to run as a FREE / PUBLIC forumfor everybody just as we have in the past. There is absolutely NO binding for youto use the paid service of SSFT whatsoever.

I thank with all my heart to Teddy, Spec, Veni and Nishantfor their help and constructive suggestions about this tool. I look forward to your feedback as well.Please feel free to make suggestions here or in the tool itself. My best wishesto you all in your GC journey and I hope this tool helps you one step further.

Best Regards,

Q

Congratulations on the launch of this new website. Happy Gudhi Padwa and Happy Ugadi !!
03-23-2012, 09:20 AM
qesehmk

Essenel,

This forum was always non-profit and will remain so. It is enabled by many many people. I only initiated it! Thanks for your kind words.

Quote:

Originally Posted by essenel

Q, congrats on the new website! I think it is very generous of you to continue your main blog as an open forum. It looks like the tool will be very helpful to those people who ask specific questions about their priority dates, where as the blog will be helpful to those interested in a broader analysis. Wish you success in your new venture!

Quote:

Originally Posted by pdfeb09

Congratulations on the launch of this new website. Happy Gudi Padwa and Happy Ugadi !!

Thank you Pfeb!
03-23-2012, 10:13 AM
ontheedge

Congratulations and best wishes, Q! And thank you for keeping the forum public. I appreciate the fact that you distinguish between the forum and any for-profit venture clearly.
03-23-2012, 10:39 AM
qesehmk

Onthedge, Thank you. Appreciate kind words. I hope people find value in the tool and we will keep improving it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ontheedge

Congratulations and best wishes, Q! And thank you for keeping the forum public. I appreciate the fact that you distinguish between the forum and any for-profit venture clearly.
03-23-2012, 12:04 PM
skpanda

Congratulations Q!!
03-23-2012, 12:50 PM
qesehmk

Thank you skpanda!
A request if I may to you and everybody. Please feel free to provide feedback so that we can improve the tool. Any suggestion - howsoever simple and complex is welcome.

Quote:

Originally Posted by skpanda

Congratulations Q!!
03-23-2012, 01:48 PM
mesan123

Q one suggestion, just a suggestion ....the own forecast link is not user freindly...i mean for a new user it is not clear what all he needs to select...i meant there are many tabs there....can you put some details how to play with that forecast :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

Mesan,

At the bottom of the forecast, there is a link for creating your own forecast. IT will allow you to adjust spillovers.
03-23-2012, 03:56 PM
mbasense

Q, the real benefit of this tool will be if it can calculate atleast the most generally acceptable spillover factors or a historic average or something like that to predict the GC date. that might attract people who are not as familiar with the calculations and those who don't frequent this forum as much.

just my 2 cents. good initiative though, keep up the good work.
03-23-2012, 04:01 PM
qesehmk

Mesan

Thank you. Will work upon it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by mesan123

Q one suggestion, just a suggestion ....the own forecast link is not user freindly...i mean for a new user it is not clear what all he needs to select...i meant there are many tabs there....can you put some details how to play with that forecast :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by mbasense

Q, the real benefit of this tool will be if it can calculate atleast the most generally acceptable spillover factors or a historic average or something like that to predict the GC date. that might attract people who are not as familiar with the calculations and those who don't frequent this forum as much.

just my 2 cents. good initiative though, keep up the good work.

mbasense, thank you too! The tool actually is a bit more sophisticated than that. It has future demand built into it and then it simulates how the visa allocation might happen month by month. So the spillover calculations are quite precise as long as the demand we project for future is reasonable accurate. I agree that the tool will be more useful for somebody who doesn't want to spend too much time on Forum understanding these things. For people on the forum who have a good understanding of all these things, if they need visualization and want to create scenarios, the tool will be useful. But if they just need a pointer tehn the forum already provides that.
03-23-2012, 04:26 PM
self.coach

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

Dear Friends,

Happy new Indian year to all of you! Happy Ugadi & GudhiPadwa!

On this occasion, it gives me great pleasure to introduce to you a new Self-Serviceat www.WhereismyGC.com[FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3].

Congrats Q! I used it; although have to admit that I am a bit more optimistic than the forecasted date for my case (Jul 2015).

Overall, it looks like a slick tool. My best wishes!!
03-23-2012, 04:37 PM
geevikram

Quote:

Originally Posted by self.coach

Congrats Q! I used it; although have to admit that I am a bit more optimistic than the forecasted date for my case (Jul 2015).

Overall, it looks like a slick tool. My best wishes!!

Me too. For Jul 2008, the tool forecasts a date of Jul 2014, two years from now. Kinda looks out of place, something to consider may be.
03-23-2012, 04:38 PM
qesehmk

Self coach, me too am more optimistic. I will be finetuning the tool as we go ahead. I was so much deep into getting the tool developed that i only entered directional info right now.

I am sure there are quite a few things we will be straightening out. Thanks a lot for note!

Quote:

Originally Posted by self.coach

Congrats Q! I used it; although have to admit that I am a bit more optimistic than the forecasted date for my case (Jul 2015).

Overall, it looks like a slick tool. My best wishes!!
03-23-2012, 08:12 PM
HR3012

Congratulations Q! We are grateful to you for all the efforts you put in here for the community. Its little bit hard to digest I have to wait till July 2014 (almost 6 years) for me to get the GC, but I understand it is a conservative estimate.
03-23-2012, 08:24 PM
qesehmk

Right now the estimate shown is very conservative. Over next two weeks I will adjust better.

Quote:

Originally Posted by HR3012

Congratulations Q! We are grateful to you for all the efforts you put in here for the community. Its little bit hard to digest I have to wait till July 2014 (almost 6 years) for me to get the GC, but I understand it is a conservative estimate.
03-24-2012, 09:52 AM
Kanmani

Q,
Congratulations! on the launch of new tool for Immigration Community. I personally like the 'own forecast' part .
The tool is more sophisticated and user-friendly only to our Q-forum members, I must say it should be Beginner-friendly for others in the immi-community to understand and use this tool.
03-24-2012, 09:59 AM
qesehmk

Kanmani

Thanks ! We will work towards making it beginner friendly!! Great feedback!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kanmani

Q,
Congratulations! on the launch of new tool for Immigration Community. I personally like the 'own forecast' part .
The tool is more sophisticated and user-friendly only to our Q-forum members, I must say it should be Beginner-friendly for others in the immi-community to understand and use this tool.
03-24-2012, 05:25 PM
essenel

Q, I have a comment - I noticed that you have advertised it on this blog too. Users who visit this site might see the ad, but may not realize that it is being launched by you. You could consider adding something like - 'The creators of qesehmk.org/Q's Blog bring you WhereIsMyGC.com' or something like that...
03-24-2012, 08:01 PM
qesehmk

essnel, thanks again. Good suggestion. Appreciate it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by essenel

Q, I have a comment - I noticed that you have advertised it on this blog too. Users who visit this site might see the ad, but may not realize that it is being launched by you. You could consider adding something like - 'The creators of qesehmk.org/Q's Blog bring you WhereIsMyGC.com' or something like that...
03-26-2012, 04:28 PM
HR3012

Quote:

Originally Posted by qesehmk

gc_usa - I will move this to the junk folder and we can play mud there.

But to answer your question - I think the answer is simple - do not use it if you don't find it valuable.

This forum was and is and will be free. What we have created is a totally separate website that is commercial.

This makes perfect sense.
gc_usa, if you look at the website, you will understand the amount of time and effort it takes to create a tool like that. Since you already got the GC, it might not be useful to you. But for the other people who did not get the GC, it is a REALLY useful one. Again, it is not a magical tool that tells you the date when you get the gc, rather it gives you the option to play with different scenarios.
04-16-2012, 11:51 PM
qesehmk

Latest updates from WhereisMyGC.com

Dear Friends,

We are pleased to announce that today our beta version has moved into full production version.

With this the forecast is now expanded to EB3, includes NVC data especially for categories such as EB3 philipines and is much more improved for EB2. Thanks to all of you for your suggestions.

Very soon, you should expect to see a much simpler interface and monthly updates on latest situations around middle of every month.
You can continue to access the site for free for some more time. If you like the site, please spread the message to other EB folks. And as always - please continue to provide us
feedback so that we can provide more value to you.

Best Regards,

Team WhereismyGC.com
www.whereismygc.com
05-09-2012, 07:14 PM
qesehmk

Friends,

Another update from www.whereismygc.com :

Today we rolled out a simplified interface with some basic free information. I hope you find it useful. Try it out. I would appreciate any feedback you may have.

p.s. - In a week max - i will incoprorate the new pending inventory data into the tool wihch will make the tool predictions even more accurate.

Best Wishes,
Q