1 Attachment(s)
FY 2012 EB2-IC pipe line projection
Hi All,
I am not an expert, but after learning a lot from Guru's on this forum, i am trying to publish analysis of my own. I have not really made new calculation, but I tried to depict an intake and outlet pipeline for EB2-IC during FY 2012.
These are the assumptions in my analysis:
1. Spill over to EB2 IC is about 30K (H6 to H17 and I6 to I17) and is even across months
2. There were about 8K Summer 07 filers (D6 and D7 in my sheet))
3. Spill over is done with in the month itself, not Quarterly, not in last quarter
4. It takes cases 5 months to become approvable demand after filing. E.g cases filed in Oct 2011 (E6) becomes approvable in Mar 2012 (F11)
5. In any month approvable demand is total of cases approvable in that month and left over's from prior month
6. In any month, available visa's are, spill over from EB2-ROW and spill over from EB1(Indirect EB4->5->1)
7. All upper categories EB4, EB5, EB1 will have excessive visa's each month
My conclusions are:
1. All FY 2012 approvable cases has to be allowed to be filed latest by April 2012.
2. Column B has indicative PD movement
3. All FY 2012 numbers are highlighted in Red color.
4. Column K has indicative demand left to be met (-ve numbers), available visa's are (+ve numbers)
Excuse my mistakes and I would like to mention that, the whole analysis is dependent on different assumptions and you may differ on those assumptions.
