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S,
I am new in this forum but had been closely following this for a while. Where do u see EB3 P be at Dec 2013 VB? Also, what is ur best projection as to when my PD (Jun 9, 2009) will become current? EB3 P. With CIR and other possible legislation being disregarded. Your reponse will be much appreciated and hope u can respond before 2/18 for my reference in making my decision. Thanks in advance
slave4now,Quote:
Originally Posted by slave4now
Welcome to the forum.
I am not sure where EB3-P will be in December 2013.
There is precious little information about EB3-P numbers.
In part, this is because EB3-P have a high rate of CP because many RN and PT do not qualify for H1B.
Another problem is that until very recently, EB3-P demand was understated, since the Cut off Date has just passed the point that was covered by 50k visas previously recaptured for Schedule A. Since EB3-P has a large number of RN & PT, they were the biggest users of these visas. That is at least one of the reasons why EB3-P is now moving so slowly.
The November 2012 NVC report said there were 38.3k people with cases at NVC under EB3-P. That includes dependents where they were noted in the I-140. That figure will include PD up to some time in 2012.
In FY2012, EB3-P received 6.5k visas and it moved the Cut Off Date about 8 months. That translates into roughly 10k to move the COD 1 year.
Currently, your PD is about 2.75 years away. That would translate to about 27.5k more approvals. At 6.5-7.0k approvals per FY, that would take around 4 years to reach your PD. However, I think their is a risk that 2007 (and possibly 2008) are relatively "heavy" years.
However, within that time frame, the current backlog to July 2007 will be cleared and the dates are likely to be advance to create a new Inventory. My guess is that it would probably not be sufficient to include your PD.
Please bear in mind that this is very much a "back of the envelope" calculation and is subject to a wide error margin. Do NOT rely on it to make important decisions.
Thanks a lot S. I was guessing 3-4 yrs from now for my PD to become current which is consistent to your expert analysis. I will start the porting asap been discussed and agreed already with employer and lawyer but with little string attached. I should have done this last year or so but had been too busy. The 5 years since my LC started have been infuriating and brutal not to mention that most of my previous colleagues from my 1st company are now all greened. This is my 3rd company and with 15yrs of progressive experience. Thanks again
The problem with Philippines unfortunately is that there are way too many cp cases in EB3 Philippines. That's the reason eb3p doesn't move as fast as we would've thought.
Thanks Q. I have fully decided now to do porting to EB2.