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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

  1. #2451
    When we talk about so called EB1C abuse - it automatically gives credence to theories about H1B abuse.

    This is no different than victimshaming victims of rape.

    That is why I am opposed to it.

    As per my identity - quite a few people on this forum know me. You need to be in the circle of trust to know it.

    If you remember I tried to reach you long time back for a cup of coffee given that your name suggested you are in Phoenix. I never heard back.


    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    I was speaking for the rest that think there is injustice here -->>
    Umm - selective injustice ?

    As per the EB1C - why don't you give it a shot? -->>
    Well I could have obtained it long time back.... but I decided to move on as conscious career choice and I don't regret that decision AT ALL

    The reality is obtaining EB1C is much harder than mugging some stupid exam, following the herds to US and then sweating in pants about could've been and should've been.-->>
    None of this applies to me ...so not going to answer

    PS: People who got lucky and got GC in 3-4 years will NEVER understand pain
    PPS: If you think you have not followed the herd to US and achieved something great ...please please prove it with real identity and I would be very happy that a fellow Indian reached to such heights
    The purpose of this site is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better. Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
    Please follow the Forum Rules and Guidelines as you participate or view the forum contents. | Forum Glossary

  2. #2452
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    When we talk about so called EB1C abuse - it automatically gives credence to theories about H1B abuse.

    This is no different than victimshaming victims of rape.

    That is why I am opposed to it.

    As per my identity - quite a few people on this forum know me. You need to be in the circle of trust to know it.

    If you remember I tried to reach you long time back for a cup of coffee given that your name suggested you are in Phoenix. I never heard back.
    Comparison you are making is beyond my comprehension so let me leave it at that.

    Thanks for invitation (frankly I don't remember it)... Not in PHX currently, but some day...sure.

  3. #2453
    My point is ... lets not do victimshaming. Lets not do anything that badmouths fellow immigrants who have already suffered way too much.

    As per Phoenix - I no longer live there. Miss Arizona.

    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    Comparison you are making is beyond my comprehension so let me leave it at that.

    Thanks for invitation (frankly I don't remember it)... Not in PHX currently, but some day...sure.
    The purpose of this site is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better. Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
    Please follow the Forum Rules and Guidelines as you participate or view the forum contents. | Forum Glossary

  4. #2454
    I am newbie here; however, it seems this forum is also going down the path like so many other forums have in the past. I really come here regularly with a hope to get some intel on things are shaping up for the legal immigrant community. However, these series of posts "personal attacks" in the last couple of days are bothersome.

    I have been hoping to bring some sense to the excruciating wait for the EB3-I community. I think it was Q who had a post sometime earlier regarding EB3-I predictions. Not putting you on the spot but can you please help reason the stand UCSIS has taken in FY 2018 by not accepting the filing dates? To make things worse, the state dept seems to want to continue its method of allocating monthly quotas and appear to wait till the last quarter for spillover. This is just un-explainable when 1) EB3 ROW is current since August 2) EB3 spillover visas were allocated not EB3-I but to other categories in the last month 3) Processing delays due to 485 interview requirements.

    Can one of the "SMEs" here explain this phenomenon.

  5. #2455
    You guys are awesome and have fantastic insights and are an excellent support to the immigrant community here. God bless you all with a long healthy life and may all your good wishes come true!

  6. #2456
    Quote Originally Posted by maverick23 View Post
    I am newbie here; ...
    Maverick - I restored the post you deleted. We try to keep freedom of speech on this forum. But if you feel like then of course go ahead and delete.

    As per EB3I - DoS should be applying quarterly spillover. But they are not. In fact now a days they don't even apply spillover in the last quarter. They wait right till last month.

    As I keep saying .... these are all tactics to keep Indians from getting visas. This is sick.

    On a general note - this forum is available to you but nobody really controls it. You guys need to be SMEs for each other.
    The purpose of this site is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better. Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
    Please follow the Forum Rules and Guidelines as you participate or view the forum contents. | Forum Glossary

  7. #2457
    Hello

    Hope you are all doing great!

    I need your valuable help with my situation here. I have new job offer from top most company and don’t want to let it go. My current ead is expiring in February and my ead extention is pending. Due to new rule I will have 180 days after next month to wait for new ead.

    Do you think it’s advisable to change job while ead extension is pending. Gurus please help.
    Thanks in advance!

  8. #2458
    Quote Originally Posted by maverick23 View Post
    I am newbie here; however, it seems this forum is also going down the path like so many other forums have in the past. I really come here regularly with a hope to get some intel on things are shaping up for the legal immigrant community. However, these series of posts "personal attacks" in the last couple of days are bothersome.

    I have been hoping to bring some sense to the excruciating wait for the EB3-I community. I think it was Q who had a post sometime earlier regarding EB3-I predictions. Not putting you on the spot but can you please help reason the stand UCSIS has taken in FY 2018 by not accepting the filing dates? To make things worse, the state dept seems to want to continue its method of allocating monthly quotas and appear to wait till the last quarter for spillover. This is just un-explainable when 1) EB3 ROW is current since August 2) EB3 spillover visas were allocated not EB3-I but to other categories in the last month 3) Processing delays due to 485 interview requirements.

    Can one of the "SMEs" here explain this phenomenon.
    This is an intentional move by Visa office to deny visas to EB3-I. It is up to us to fight against this "illegal" discrimination. Nobody seems to willing to "bell the cat". I am a GC holder for the past 2 years.

  9. #2459
    Quote Originally Posted by dreamze View Post
    Hello

    Hope you are all doing great!

    I need your valuable help with my situation here. I have new job offer from top most company and donít want to let it go. My current ead is expiring in February and my ead extention is pending. Due to new rule I will have 180 days after next month to wait for new ead.

    Do you think itís advisable to change job while ead extension is pending. Gurus please help.
    Thanks in advance!
    Friends,
    Any input on this? Please share if you know any of such situation. Happy Sunday!

  10. #2460
    Quote Originally Posted by dreamze View Post
    Friends,
    Any input on this? Please share if you know any of such situation. Happy Sunday!
    EAD is not really dependent on employer. It is only dependent on your pending I-485. As long as your pending I-485 is in good standing you should be good. The worst case scenario in this situation is USCIS could issue and RFE for EVL. Make sure you have an offer letter from your prospective employer that is AC21 compliant ( Same or similar job)

  11. #2461
    Guru imdeng's Avatar
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    If I were in your situation, I would accept the job. EAD is not linked to your job - you filed for renewal on time, all paperwork is in order - then you are good.

    Quote Originally Posted by dreamze View Post
    Hello

    Hope you are all doing great!

    I need your valuable help with my situation here. I have new job offer from top most company and donít want to let it go. My current ead is expiring in February and my ead extention is pending. Due to new rule I will have 180 days after next month to wait for new ead.

    Do you think itís advisable to change job while ead extension is pending. Gurus please help.
    Thanks in advance!
    EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary

  12. #2462
    Quote Originally Posted by imdeng View Post
    If I were in your situation, I would accept the job. EAD is not linked to your job - you filed for renewal on time, all paperwork is in order - then you are good.
    Thanks a lot! I really appreciate your prompt response imdeng and gcq.

  13. #2463
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Maverick - I restored the post you deleted. We try to keep freedom of speech on this forum. But if you feel like then of course go ahead and delete.

    As per EB3I - DoS should be applying quarterly spillover. But they are not. In fact now a days they don't even apply spillover in the last quarter. They wait right till last month.

    As I keep saying .... these are all tactics to keep Indians from getting visas. This is sick.

    On a general note - this forum is available to you but nobody really controls it. You guys need to be SMEs for each other.
    .

    I firmly believe that "IT Serve" is instrumental in making filing dates go back in October 2015.
    They heavily lobbied against Indians getting visa.
    Rahul Reddy was main person in this saga...

    Regards
    Tatikonda.



  14. #2464
    Quote Originally Posted by tatikonda View Post
    ,

    Kevin Yoder is up for reelection in 2018. He is trying to appease Indian community and don't know his sincerity.
    I doubt it because, with 300 co-sponsors this bill will pass easily in house but he is not making any attempt to bring it to house vote floor.
    getting many co-sponsors in just time consuming effort. Even if it passes in House in March/April 2018. There is no guarantee that this will become LAW.
    As there is absolutely no effort for this legislation in Senate. Please do not have any hopes on this.
    Similar Bill was passed in 2012 with 395 Votes but no action in Senate.
    I reached to Kevin Yoder's Office on his plans to bring his Bill in early November.
    They told me that they are planning to attach this bill with DACA but now looks like most legislators want to attach DACA with Continuing Resolutions to fund Temporarily the Federal Government. So chances of attaching DACA to HR392 are slim to none.

    I am guessing Bill HR392 will never go to house floor.
    Last edited by tatikonda; 12-05-2017 at 11:35 AM.

  15. #2465
    Guru
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    To Tatikonda
    There are still a lot of moving parts in this story. I agree with you that DACA is not going to be a part of the must pass Continuing resolution. Even Chuck Schumer has played down the chances of any Government shutdown over this issue

    http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3...ver-daca-fight

    On the other hand the GOP Senators have introduced the following legislation today

    https://www.grassley.senate.gov/news...needed-reforms

    The complete text of the Bill will be available shortly so we can see what the basis of the reforms in the EB system will be. The DACA legislation is most likely to originate in the Senate where the lead Senator is going to be Grassley and we all know what his opinion of HR 392 bills are.
    In short my feeling is that DACA is a standalone Bill next year which will include some increased border security funding and enforcement measures in exchange for legalization of the Dreamers.

  16. #2466
    DOS have started publishing the FY2017 Visa Statistics.

    Meanwhile, DHS has just started to publish FY2016 statistics. I think that says everything about the efficiency of USCIS.

    There's not much of interest published to date in the DOS Visa Statics for FY2017. Only part of the Consular Processing figures are available.

    CONSULAR PROCESSING ONLY (EXCLUDES AOS APPROVALS)

    Category ----------- FY2017 --- FY2016
    Family Based ------ 212,155 -- 215,498
    Employment Based --- 23,814 --- 25,056


    Employment Based --- FY2017 --- FY2016
    China --------------- 8,039 ---- 8,673
    India ----------------- 756 ------ 676
    Mexico ---------------- 278 ------ 241
    Philippines --------- 4,278 ---- 5,664
    ROW ---------------- 10,463 ---- 9,802

    Total -------------- 23,814 --- 25,056


    Category ----------- FY2017 --- FY2016
    EB1 ----------------- 2,529 ---- 2,361
    EB2 ----------------- 3,223 ---- 2,155
    EB3 ----------------- 7,893 --- 10,301
    EB4 ----------------- 1,755 ---- 1,734
    EB5 ----------------- 8,414 ---- 8,505

    Total -------------- 23,814 --- 25,056


    Only when Table V is published will we know the total approvals for the FY. This is usually one of the last tables to be updated.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  17. #2467
    The annual report of Consular Processing cases waiting at NVC has been published.

    You can find it here.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  18. #2468
    Video leak of IT Serve alliance and Immigration lawyers colluding with senators and USCIS to derail Immigration reform, enslave H1B workers indefinitely, displace US workers and artificially depress wages, manipulate market activity. Modern day Slavery, Bonded Labor.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGnB...ature=youtu.be

    Quite interesting. Not sure on the veracity of this video to keep H1b's against getting Green Card. Corporations are raising upto $100,000 to exclude any GC legislation for H1b and this is quite sickening.

  19. #2469
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yMW-TP6Gfs

    Check out this video... Guess who is in it... Rahul Reddy and Sheela Murthy with IT Serve Alliance. These are the real scumbags and the reason there has been no relief for GC or I-140/Ead for Indians. They have been boycotting all Obama legisilations all way along pretending they are there to assist H1b community.

  20. #2470
    Friends - you don't need any video to understand this. Just give it a good think. Who would benefit by keeping you on H1B. If an H1B person gets GC - more often than not in 3 years or less s/he could be earning anywhere between 25% to 100% more.

    Quote Originally Posted by altek001 View Post
    Video leak of IT Serve alliance and Immigration lawyers colluding with senators and USCIS to derail Immigration reform, enslave H1B workers indefinitely, displace US workers and artificially depress wages, manipulate market activity. Modern day Slavery, Bonded Labor.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGnB...ature=youtu.be

    Quite interesting. Not sure on the veracity of this video to keep H1b's against getting Green Card. Corporations are raising upto $100,000 to exclude any GC legislation for H1b and this is quite sickening.
    The purpose of this site is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better. Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
    Please follow the Forum Rules and Guidelines as you participate or view the forum contents. | Forum Glossary

  21. #2471
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Friends - you don't need any video to understand this. Just give it a good think. Who would benefit by keeping you on H1B. If an H1B person gets GC - more often than not in 3 years or less s/he could be earning anywhere between 25% to 100% more.
    To add to your point, which i agree. Lawyers and IT Serve alliance get to benefit from cheap programs such as STEM OPT- EAD, h4 ead and DACA EAD as there is no prevailing wage in these categories. These programs suppress wages to a great extent. Time to get rid all of them.

    Obama needed all these programs to appease the tech giants and which is why he enacted them by bypassing congress.

  22. #2472
    Guru
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    This is an interesting article which looks ahead to the next congress. If conditions are not optimal at this time for favorable immigration reform then we have to look ahead to the next chairman of HJC. Goodlatte who voted for HR 3012 has shown no willingness to bring similar bills up after he took over the job in 2013. Labrador would have been helpful but is going to run for ID governor. A Democratic takeover and Lofgren chairmanship would be the best scenario.

    http://thehill.com/policy/national-s...r-up-for-grabs

  23. #2473
    Someone posted this on trackitt comparing the PERM numbers between 2016 and 2017. There is a visible reduction in PERM numbers in 2017. Does it mean there will be some spillover this year for EB2/EB3 India?

    https://www.permchecker.com/2016

    https://www.permchecker.com/2017
    | EB2-I | PD: Nov 29, 2010 | Filed 485: ? (NSC) | Receipt Date: ? | Notice Date: ? | FP Date: ? | AP Approval: ? | EAD/AP CPO: ? | GC Approval: ?????? |

  24. #2474
    Quote Originally Posted by feedmyback View Post
    Someone posted this on trackitt comparing the PERM numbers between 2016 and 2017. There is a visible reduction in PERM numbers in 2017. Does it mean there will be some spillover this year for EB2/EB3 India?

    https://www.permchecker.com/2016

    https://www.permchecker.com/2017
    Does not matter much. CO does not apply SO till the last month of the year and does not move dates aggressively enough. By the time he does it, it is too late to approve those cased within the same FY. He will then complain that applicants are late in sending their RFE documents which is why he needed to divert GCs to another category so that they are not wasted. It is the same story for the past 3 years even since EB3ROW started giving some SO to EB3Is.

    This is an ongoing conspiracy to prevent giving GCs to Indians as much as possible.

  25. #2475
    I agree on Lawyers and IT serve alliance. But Obama is in a different league - individually and as a president.

    What makes the world complex is motivations and values of individuals and entities. Too many shades of grey and too little b&w!

    STEM OPT - EAD is a legitimate policy decision to retain talent in US. DACA EAD is a political calculation and a fiscal decision too since it generates revenue. H4 EAD must be result of corporate lobbying.

    Any interest of immigrants is collateral and incidental. All 3 decisions above are driven by various motivations.

    p.s. - While I do agree that immigrants are paid less - I am not sure about H1Bs ability to suppress wages beyond. I think American economy is too big to be influenced like that.

    Quote Originally Posted by altek001 View Post
    To add to your point, which i agree. Lawyers and IT Serve alliance get to benefit from cheap programs such as STEM OPT- EAD, h4 ead and DACA EAD as there is no prevailing wage in these categories. These programs suppress wages to a great extent. Time to get rid all of them.

    Obama needed all these programs to appease the tech giants and which is why he enacted them by bypassing congress.
    The purpose of this site is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better. Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
    Please follow the Forum Rules and Guidelines as you participate or view the forum contents. | Forum Glossary

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